Photo: Gerald England · CC BY-SA 2.0In Urmston, heavy rain puts more homes at risk than rivers or the sea: 2.5%, against 0.2%
On the Environment Agency’s maps, which allow for flood defences, “high or medium” means at least a 1 in 100 chance of flooding from rivers or the sea in any year. For hazard risk, Urmston grades B−: #38 of 81 in Greater Manchester.
What stands out about Urmston’s hazards
From the Environment Agency’s maps and records and the BGS radon atlas, below.
What Urmston faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Rivers and the sea
Surface water
The River Mersey
Flood warnings
Radon
Urmston grades B− for hazard risk
Flood risk from rivers and the sea, against all UK towns.
The share of homes at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea, ranked against every UK town of 1,000 or more: fewer homes at risk is better. Towns with none at high or medium risk are ordered by their share at low risk, so they don’t all share one score. Surface water and radon aren’t graded: they are described below.
Where the water goes in Urmston
Turn layers on and off. Blue is the risk from rivers and the sea; pink is where heavy rain collects. Both allow for flood defences.
The river and sea risk follows the River Mersey and the Old Eea Brook. Surface-water risk is spread across the town, in dips, underpasses and along small streams, which is why more homes are exposed to it.
0.2% of Urmston’s homes are at high or medium risk from rivers or the sea
The Environment Agency’s national map, allowing for defences. A further 1.7% are at low risk.
Share of each UK town’s homes at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea. 35% of UK towns have none; Urmston has more than 48% of towns.
| # | Town | People | High or med. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Smethwick West Midlands | 56,343 | 0% | |
| 2 | Bootle Merseyside | 53,722 | 0% | |
| 3 | Bloxwich West Midlands | 51,891 | 0% | |
| … | ||||
| 58 | Pudsey West Yorkshire | 34,853 | 0.2% | |
| 59 | Blyth Northumberland | 39,731 | 0.2% | |
| 60 | Urmston Greater Manchester | 41,728 | 0.2% | |
| 61 | Bebington Merseyside | 57,607 | 0.2% | |
| 62 | Winchester Hampshire | 48,486 | 0.2% | |
| … | ||||
| 177 | Cleethorpes Lincolnshire | 29,660 | 27% | |
| 178 | Spalding Lincolnshire | 30,552 | 84% | |
UK towns of 29,000 to 58,000 people.
The Environment Agency’s Risk of Flooding from Rivers and Sea (NaFRA2, June 2026) counts each postcode’s homes by band; the shares weight those postcodes by Census 2021 households. The EA counts include homes built since 2021.
Heavy rain puts about 13.9 times as many Urmston homes at risk as rivers and the sea do
Surface water is rain that falls faster than drains and the ground can take it. It is mapped separately from rivers and the sea, and it is not in the Hazard risk Grade.
About 0.5% of homes are at high risk of surface-water flooding (a 1 in 30 chance or more each year) and 2% at medium risk: roughly 450 households. A further 7.3% face a low risk from surface water. That is more than 33% of UK towns.
Our estimate: every address in the town (ONS NSUL) read on the Environment Agency’s Risk of Flooding from Surface Water map (NaFRA2, 2025), each postcode’s share weighted by its Census 2021 households. Neither agency publishes a count of homes for surface water, so treat it as a guide; one street can differ from the next.
The River Mersey in January 2025 rose to its highest level since 1990
The highest level each winter (October to September) at the Environment Agency’s Ashton Weir gauge, since 1990. The river normally runs between 0.29 m and 3.50 m here.
- 1 January 20254.15 m
- 21 January 20213.91 m
- 21 February 20223.82 m
- 22 November 20163.69 m
- 29 July 20193.67 m
- 6 November 20003.64 m
The River Mersey has topped its normal range on 16 days since 1990, most in the winters of 1991–92 and 1998–99. By its highest day, the winter of 2025–26 was the 17th-highest of the 33.
Environment Agency Hydrology API, Ashton Weir (station 692726), daily maximum level; the record and normal range from the EA’s stage scale. Live river levels are on GOV.UK’s Check for flooding.
No flood warning or alert is in force for Urmston · 1 warning in 20 years
The Environment Agency has 3 flood warning areas and 1 alert area reaching into the town; warnings since the service began in 2006.
Of the 1 warnings, 1 were for Old Eea Brook at Urmston. 2025 had the most warnings (1); 2019 the most alerts (16).
The most recent warning was on 1 January 2025.
Show the 4 warning and alert areas
| Area | Kind | Since 2006 | Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Old Eea Brook at Urmston | Warning area | 1 | None |
| River Mersey at Flixton Village | Warning area | 0 | None |
| River Mersey at Flixton Rural | Warning area | 0 | None |
| Middle River Mersey catchment including areas near Bramhall, Stockport, Sale, Altrincham and Urmston | Alert area | 115 | None |
Environment Agency Historic Flood Warnings (first issues only, not updates; “flood watch” counted as an alert before 2011) and the real-time flood-monitoring API. Sign up for free warnings on GOV.UK or call Floodline, 0345 988 1188.
Urmston is in the lowest radon band
Radon is a natural radioactive gas from the ground; long exposure raises the risk of lung cancer. The atlas gives the chance that a home in each 1 km square is above the UK action level (200 Bq/m³).
Every 1 km square over Urmston is in the lowest band: fewer than 1 in 100 homes are expected to be above the action level.
BGS/UKHSA Indicative Atlas of Radon in Great Britain, version 3. Check an address at UKradon.org.
Flood risk in the places around Urmston
Share of homes at high or medium and at low risk from rivers and the sea. Tap a town for its page.
| Town | People | High or medium | Low | Hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urmston | 41,728 | 0.2% | 1.7% | B− |
| Stretford | 28,010 | 0.3% | 6.2% | B− |
| Eccles | 41,116 | 0.8% | 4.3% | C+ |
| Irlam | 19,714 | 1.6% | 4.6% | C− |
| Sale | 62,545 | 0.9% | 2.6% | C |
| Partington | 7,706 | 0% | 0% | A |
| Altrincham | 49,672 | 1.6% | 2.6% | C− |
| Worsley | 11,958 | 0.7% | 4% | C+ |
Irlam, 2.6 miles west, has the most homes at risk around Urmston (1.6% at high or medium). Partington has none.
Get ready for what Urmston faces
Free warnings, what to do in a cloudburst, and what to check before you move.
- Sign up free for Environment Agency flood warnings by text, call or email.
- Floodline: 0345 988 1188, 24 hours.
- Urmston’s warning areas include River Mersey at Flixton Village and River Mersey at Flixton Rural.
- Surface water rises in minutes, often with no warning issued: stay out of underpasses and dips.
- Keep the gullies and drains outside your home clear of leaves.
- Report a blocked road drain to the council.
- Never walk or drive through floodwater: 30 cm of moving water can float a car.
- Move valuables, papers and medicines upstairs.
- Turn off gas, electricity and water if you’re told to.
- Check the address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service: it gives rivers and sea and surface water separately.
- Ask whether the home has flooded or had a flood insurance claim; the TA6 property form asks the seller.
- Homes built before 2009 can get flood cover through Flood Re, the government-backed scheme; newer homes can’t.
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Defences are counted. Both agencies’ maps allow for flood defences and the chance they are overtopped or fail, so a town behind a defence scheme can show few homes at high risk and many at low risk.
- Surface water is our estimate. Neither agency publishes a count of homes at risk from surface water, so we read each address on the map. A flat on a hill and a basement in a dip can share a postcode.
- One town, many streets. Risk is street by street. Check a specific address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service before you buy or rent.
Questions about flooding and hazards in Urmston
Does Urmston flood?
0.2% of homes are at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea on the Environment Agency’s maps, which allow for flood defences. About 2.5% of homes are at high or medium risk from surface water, when heavy rain overwhelms the drains. Urmston grades B− for hazard risk against UK towns.
Which parts of Urmston are at risk of flooding?
From rivers and the sea, the places the Environment Agency warns directly: Old Eea Brook at Urmston, River Mersey at Flixton Village and River Mersey at Flixton Rural. Surface water can collect in low spots anywhere in the town. Check a specific address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service.
Is Urmston at risk of surface water flooding?
About 0.5% of homes are at high risk and 2% at medium risk from surface water, against 0.2% at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea. Surface water floods come with little warning, and the agencies don’t issue warnings for them.
Is radon a problem in Urmston?
Not by the atlas: every 1 km square over Urmston is in the lowest band, where fewer than 1 in 100 homes are expected to be above the action level.
Are there flood warnings in Urmston now?
No flood warning or alert was in force near Urmston at 12 November 2026, 18:32. Live warnings are on GOV.UK’s Check for flooding service and Floodline, 0345 988 1188.
Contains Environment Agency information © Environment Agency and/or database right 2026. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026.
Sources: Environment Agency Risk of Flooding from Rivers and Sea, postcodes in areas at risk (June 2026); Natural Resources Wales Flood Risk Assessment Wales (May 2026); ONS Census 2021 households by postcode · Environment Agency Risk of Flooding from Surface Water (NaFRA2, 2025) and Natural Resources Wales Flood Risk Assessment Wales surface water and small watercourses, read at every address (ONS National Statistics UPRN Lookup, September 2026) and weighted by Census 2021 households by postcode · Environment Agency Hydrology API (daily maximum river level) and flood-monitoring stage scales · Environment Agency real-time flood-monitoring API · Environment Agency Historic Flood Warnings (January 2006 to June 2026) and flood warning and alert areas · BGS/UKHSA Indicative Atlas of Radon in Great Britain, version 3, by 1 km square · TownRatings grades: our own summary of the data, ranked against UK towns only. All under the Open Government Licence v3.0.
Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Contains HM Land Registry data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026 (ONS boundaries). Northern Ireland: Source: NISRA; contains Land & Property Services data and Ordnance Survey of Northern Ireland information, © Crown copyright, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Scotland: contains National Records of Scotland data, Registers of Scotland data and SEPA data, © Crown copyright / © SEPA 2025, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.