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BHazard risk Grade
Flood & hazards in Ashley Heath · Environment Agency

Surface water, more than the river, is Ashley Heath’s flood risk: 1.6% of homes, against under 0.1% from rivers or the sea

On the Environment Agency’s maps, which allow for flood defences, “high or medium” means at least a 1 in 100 chance of flooding from rivers or the sea in any year. Ashley Heath’s Hazard risk Grade is B: #11 of 30 in Dorset.

In brief

What stands out about Ashley Heath’s hazards

From the Environment Agency’s maps and records and the BGS radon atlas, below.

By hazard

What Ashley Heath faces

Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.

Not on this page: coastal erosion, subsidence and shrink-swell ground (the British Geological Survey licenses it), groundwater flooding and reservoir failure.
Hazard risk Grade

Ashley Heath grades B for hazard risk

Flood risk from rivers and the sea, against all UK towns.

Homes at high or medium flood risk (under 0.1%)Fewer than 59% of UK towns

The share of homes at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea, ranked against every UK town of 1,000 or more: fewer homes at risk is better. Towns with none at high or medium risk are ordered by their share at low risk, so they don’t all share one score. Surface water and radon aren’t graded: they are described below.

Flood map

Where the water goes in Ashley Heath

Turn layers on and off. Blue is the risk from rivers and the sea; pink is where heavy rain collects. Both allow for flood defences.

Recorded flood: 1959Recorded flood: 1979Recorded flood: 1982Recorded flood: 1996Recorded flood: 2003Recorded flood: 2014© OpenStreetMap contributors · EA NaFRA2
HighMediumLowrivers & seaHighMediumLowsurface waterAshley Heath’s built-up area

The river and sea risk follows the Hampshire River Avon, the River Allen and the River Stour. Surface-water risk is spread across the town, in dips, underpasses and along small streams, which is why more homes are exposed to it.

Rivers and the sea

Under 0.1% of Ashley Heath’s homes are at high or medium risk from rivers or the sea

The Environment Agency’s national map, allowing for defences. A further 0.2% are at low risk.

High riskunder 0.1%of homes · 1 in 30 a year or more2 homes, EA count
Medium riskunder 0.1%of homes · 1 in 30 to 1 in 1001 homes, EA count
Low risk0.2%of homes · 1 in 100 to 1 in 1,0006 homes, EA count
Where Ashley Heath sits among 3,735 UK towns
35%None
23%Under 0.5%Ashley Heath
9%0.5–1%
11%1–2%
11%2–5%
5%5–10%
3%10–20%
2%20% +

Share of each UK town’s homes at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea. 35% of UK towns have none; Ashley Heath has more than 41% of towns.

Towns its size: 217th of 538 from the fewest homes at risk
#TownPeopleHigh or med.
1Kings Hill Kent9,9630%
2Whitchurch Shropshire9,8560%
3Queensbury West Yorkshire9,7070%
…
215South Kirkby West Yorkshire8,880under 0.1%
216Ashbourne Derbyshire8,854under 0.1%
217Ashley Heath Dorset7,151under 0.1%
218Cottenham Cambridgeshire6,156under 0.1%
219Thrybergh and Dalton South Yorkshire5,858under 0.1%
…
537Sutton on Sea and Trusthorpe Lincolnshire5,04242%
538Stainforth South Yorkshire5,99963%

UK towns of 5,000 to 10,000 people.

The Environment Agency’s Risk of Flooding from Rivers and Sea (NaFRA2, June 2026) counts each postcode’s homes by band; the shares weight those postcodes by Census 2021 households. The EA counts include homes built since 2021.

Surface water

1.6% of Ashley Heath’s homes are at high or medium risk from surface water

Surface water is rain that falls faster than drains and the ground can take it. It is mapped separately from rivers and the sea, and it is not in the Hazard risk Grade.

Surface water1.6%
Rivers and the seaunder 0.1%
0%7%14% of homes

About 0.8% of homes are at high risk of surface-water flooding (a 1 in 30 chance or more each year) and 0.8% at medium risk: roughly 50 households. A further 4.3% face a low risk from surface water. That is more than 19% of UK towns.

~50
households at high or medium risk
4.3%
of homes at low risk
19%
of UK towns have a smaller share
4,067
addresses read on the map

Our estimate: every address in the town (ONS NSUL) read on the Environment Agency’s Risk of Flooding from Surface Water map (NaFRA2, 2025), each postcode’s share weighted by its Census 2021 households. Neither agency publishes a count of homes for surface water, so treat it as a guide; one street can differ from the next.

Flood history

Ashley Heath has flooded in 6 recorded years since 1959

Every flood the Environment Agency has mapped inside Ashley Heath’s built-up area, newest first. The record is fullest for big river floods; small and surface-water floods are often missing.

  1. 2014January and February 2014: River flooding recorded1 hectare inside today’s built-up area · This represents flooding in the area in
  2. 2003January 2003: River flooding recordedUnder 1 hectare inside today’s built-up area · This represents flooding in the area in
  3. 1996March 1996: River flooding recordedUnder 1 hectare inside today’s built-up area · This represents flooding in the area in
  4. 1982March 1982: River flooding recorded1 hectare inside today’s built-up area
  5. 1979March 1979: River flooding recorded1 hectare inside today’s built-up area · This represents flooding in the area in
  6. 1959January 1959: River flooding recorded2 hectares inside today’s built-up area · Avon & Frome

15 of Ashley Heath’s households today live inside the outline of a recorded flood.

River levels

The Bickerly Mill Stream in January 2026 rose to its 4th-highest level since 2015

The highest level each winter (October to September) at the Environment Agency’s Ringwood Old Cottage gauge (Ringwood), since 2015. The river normally runs between 0.00 m and 0.90 m here.

Highest level each winter, metres
Winter 2015–16: highest 1.17 m · 52 days above the normal rangeWinter 2016–17: highest 1.07 m · 19 days above the normal rangeWinter 2017–18: highest 1.44 m on 11 April 2018 · 143 days above the normal rangeWinter 2018–19: highest 1.20 m · 63 days above the normal rangeWinter 2019–20: highest 1.55 m on 16 February 2020 · 195 days above the normal rangeWinter 2020–21: highest 1.27 m · 84 days above the normal rangeWinter 2021–22: highest 0.98 m · 6 days above the normal rangeWinter 2022–23: highest 1.42 m · 58 days above the normal rangeWinter 2023–24: highest 1.51 m on 5 January 2024 · 184 days above the normal rangeWinter 2024–25: highest 1.48 m on 27 November 2024 · 106 days above the normal rangeWinter 2025–26: highest 1.50 m on 27 January 2026 · 68 days above the normal range’19–20’23–24’25–26Record 1.55 m, 2020Top of normal range
2015–162025–26
The highest days on record
  • 16 February 20201.55 m
  • 5 January 20241.51 m
  • 15 January 20201.50 m
  • 27 January 20261.50 m
  • 19 February 20261.49 m
  • 27 November 20241.48 m

The Bickerly Mill Stream has topped its normal range on 978 days since 2015, most in the winters of 2019–20 and 2023–24. By its highest day, the winter of 2025–26 was the 3rd-highest of the 11.

Environment Agency Hydrology API, Ringwood Old Cottage (station 431117), daily maximum level; the record and normal range from the EA’s stage scale. Live river levels are on GOV.UK’s Check for flooding.

Flood warnings

No flood warning or alert is in force for Ashley Heath · 37 warnings in 20 years

The Environment Agency has 2 flood warning areas and 3 alert areas reaching into the town; warnings since the service began in 2006.

Now: no flood warnings or alerts for Ashley Heath (checked 6 November 2026, 11:39). Check for flooding on GOV.UK →
Warnings and alerts each year for areas in Ashley Heath
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
Flood warning (flooding expected)Flood alert (flooding possible)

Of the 37 warnings, 19 were for Lower Avon from Ringwood to Christchurch and 18 for Middle Hampshire Avon from Salisbury to Ringwood. 2024 had the most warnings (7).

The most recent warning was on 27 January 2026.

Show the 5 warning and alert areas
AreaKindSince 2006Now
Lower Avon from Ringwood to ChristchurchWarning area19None
Middle Hampshire Avon from Salisbury to RingwoodWarning area18None
Lower Avon and tributariesAlert area71None
Lower Stour and tributariesAlert area57None
Middle Hampshire Avon and tributariesAlert area23None

Environment Agency Historic Flood Warnings (first issues only, not updates; “flood watch” counted as an alert before 2011) and the real-time flood-monitoring API. Sign up for free warnings on GOV.UK or call Floodline, 0345 988 1188.

Radon

Ashley Heath is in the lowest radon band

Radon is a natural radioactive gas from the ground; long exposure raises the risk of lung cancer. The atlas gives the chance that a home in each 1 km square is above the UK action level (200 Bq/m³).

SU0901: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU1001: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU1002: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU1003: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU1004: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU1101: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU1102: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU1103: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU1104: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU1203: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU1204: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU1205: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU1302: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU1303: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU1304: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU1305: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU1403: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU1404: Under 1% of homes above the action level© OpenStreetMap contributors · BGS/UKHSA
Under 1%
Share of the town’s area in each band
Under 1% of homes100%

Every 1 km square over Ashley Heath is in the lowest band: fewer than 1 in 100 homes are expected to be above the action level.

BGS/UKHSA Indicative Atlas of Radon in Great Britain, version 3. Check an address at UKradon.org.

Neighbours

Flood risk in the places around Ashley Heath

Share of homes at high or medium and at low risk from rivers and the sea. Tap a town for its page.

ABCD
TownPeopleHigh or mediumLowHazard
Ashley Heath7,151under 0.1%0.2%B
West Moors10,4324.1%1.9%D
Three Legged Cross1,1290%0%A
Ringwood12,7895.4%6.9%D
Hightown1,2964.8%1.4%D
Verwood13,7060.1%0.2%B
Ferndown13,2670%0%A
West Parley3,6650%0.1%B+

Ringwood, 2.7 miles east, has the most homes at risk around Ashley Heath (5.4% at high or medium). Three Legged Cross, Ferndown and West Parley have none.

Be ready

Get ready for what Ashley Heath faces

Free warnings, what to do in a cloudburst, and what to check before you move.

Get the warnings
  • Sign up free for Environment Agency flood warnings by text, call or email.
  • Floodline: 0345 988 1188, 24 hours.
  • Ashley Heath’s warning areas include Lower Avon from Ringwood to Christchurch and Middle Hampshire Avon from Salisbury to Ringwood.
Sign up ↗
In a cloudburst
  • Surface water rises in minutes, often with no warning issued: stay out of underpasses and dips.
  • Keep the gullies and drains outside your home clear of leaves.
  • Report a blocked road drain to the council.
When the river rises
  • Never walk or drive through floodwater: 30 cm of moving water can float a car.
  • Move valuables, papers and medicines upstairs.
  • Turn off gas, electricity and water if you’re told to.
Before you buy or rent in Ashley Heath
  • Check the address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service: it gives rivers and sea and surface water separately.
  • Ask whether the home has flooded or had a flood insurance claim; the TA6 property form asks the seller.
  • Homes built before 2009 can get flood cover through Flood Re, the government-backed scheme; newer homes can’t.
How to read these numbers

What this data can and can’t tell you

  • Defences are counted. Both agencies’ maps allow for flood defences and the chance they are overtopped or fail, so a town behind a defence scheme can show few homes at high risk and many at low risk.
  • Surface water is our estimate. Neither agency publishes a count of homes at risk from surface water, so we read each address on the map. A flat on a hill and a basement in a dip can share a postcode.
  • Past floods are what was recorded. The flood outlines come from surveys, aerial photographs and reports; many small floods, and most surface-water floods, were never mapped.
  • One town, many streets. Risk is street by street. Check a specific address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service before you buy or rent.

Check the long-term flood risk for an address on GOV.UK →

Questions about flooding and hazards in Ashley Heath

Does Ashley Heath flood?

The last flood the Environment Agency recorded inside the town was in February 2014. Under 0.1% of homes are at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea on the Environment Agency’s maps, which allow for flood defences. About 1.6% of homes are at high or medium risk from surface water, when heavy rain overwhelms the drains. Ashley Heath grades B for hazard risk against UK towns.

Which parts of Ashley Heath are at risk of flooding?

From rivers and the sea, the places the Environment Agency warns directly: Lower Avon from Ringwood to Christchurch and Middle Hampshire Avon from Salisbury to Ringwood. Surface water can collect in low spots anywhere in the town. Check a specific address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service.

When did Ashley Heath last flood?

The recorded flood outlines inside the town run from 1959 to 2014 (6 years); the largest was in 1959. Flood warnings have been issued for parts of the town since 2006, most recently on 27 January 2026.

Is Ashley Heath at risk of surface water flooding?

About 0.8% of homes are at high risk and 0.8% at medium risk from surface water, against under 0.1% at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea. Surface water floods come with little warning, and the agencies don’t issue warnings for them.

Is radon a problem in Ashley Heath?

Not by the atlas: every 1 km square over Ashley Heath is in the lowest band, where fewer than 1 in 100 homes are expected to be above the action level.

Are there flood warnings in Ashley Heath now?

No flood warning or alert was in force near Ashley Heath at 6 November 2026, 11:39. Live warnings are on GOV.UK’s Check for flooding service and Floodline, 0345 988 1188.

Contains Environment Agency information © Environment Agency and/or database right 2026. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026.

Sources: Environment Agency Risk of Flooding from Rivers and Sea, postcodes in areas at risk (June 2026); Natural Resources Wales Flood Risk Assessment Wales (May 2026); ONS Census 2021 households by postcode · Environment Agency Risk of Flooding from Surface Water (NaFRA2, 2025) and Natural Resources Wales Flood Risk Assessment Wales surface water and small watercourses, read at every address (ONS National Statistics UPRN Lookup, September 2026) and weighted by Census 2021 households by postcode · Environment Agency Recorded Flood Outlines and Natural Resources Wales historic flood map, inside the ONS 2022 built-up-area boundary · Environment Agency Hydrology API (daily maximum river level) and flood-monitoring stage scales · Environment Agency real-time flood-monitoring API · Environment Agency Historic Flood Warnings (January 2006 to June 2026) and flood warning and alert areas · BGS/UKHSA Indicative Atlas of Radon in Great Britain, version 3, by 1 km square · TownRatings grades: our own summary of the data, ranked against UK towns only. All under the Open Government Licence v3.0.

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Contains HM Land Registry data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026 (ONS boundaries). Northern Ireland: Source: NISRA; contains Land & Property Services data and Ordnance Survey of Northern Ireland information, © Crown copyright, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Scotland: contains National Records of Scotland data, Registers of Scotland data and SEPA data, © Crown copyright / © SEPA 2025, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.