Photo: Steve Daniels · CC BY-SA 2.0Heavy rain is Milton Keynes’s main flood risk: 7.9% of homes, against 0.2% from rivers or the sea
On the Environment Agency’s maps, which allow for flood defences, “high or medium” means at least a 1 in 100 chance of flooding from rivers or the sea in any year. Hazard risk puts Milton Keynes at B−: #28 of 39 in Buckinghamshire.
What stands out about Milton Keynes’s hazards
From the Environment Agency’s maps and records and the BGS radon atlas, below.
What Milton Keynes faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Rivers and the sea
Surface water
Past floods
The River Ouzel
Flood warnings
Radon
Milton Keynes grades B− for hazard risk
Flood risk from rivers and the sea, against all UK towns.
The share of homes at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea, ranked against every UK town of 1,000 or more: fewer homes at risk is better. Towns with none at high or medium risk are ordered by their share at low risk, so they don’t all share one score. Surface water and radon aren’t graded: they are described below.
Where the water goes in Milton Keynes
Turn layers on and off. Blue is the risk from rivers and the sea; pink is where heavy rain collects. Both allow for flood defences.
The river and sea risk follows the River Great Ouse, the River Ouzel and the Fluvial. Surface-water risk is spread across the city, in dips, underpasses and along small streams, which is why more homes are exposed to it.
0.2% of Milton Keynes’s homes are at high or medium risk from rivers or the sea
The Environment Agency’s national map, allowing for defences. A further 0.7% are at low risk.
Share of each UK town’s homes at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea. 35% of UK towns have none; Milton Keynes has more than 50% of towns.
| # | Town | People | High or med. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Islington London | 216,309 | 0% | |
| 2 | Camden London | 209,342 | 0% | |
| 3 | Westminster London | 203,571 | 0% | |
| … | ||||
| 9 | Havering London | 259,401 | 0.1% | |
| 10 | Stoke-on-Trent Staffordshire | 260,560 | 0.1% | |
| 11 | Milton Keynes Buckinghamshire | 197,328 | 0.2% | |
| 12 | Kingswood and Fishponds Gloucestershire | 160,280 | 0.2% | |
| 13 | Bournemouth Dorset | 196,453 | 0.3% | |
| … | ||||
| 45 | Oxford Oxfordshire | 170,799 | 4.7% | |
| 46 | Kingston upon Hull East Riding of Yorkshire | 270,816 | 6.3% | |
UK towns of 138,000 to 276,000 people.
The Environment Agency’s Risk of Flooding from Rivers and Sea (NaFRA2, June 2026) counts each postcode’s homes by band; the shares weight those postcodes by Census 2021 households. The EA counts include homes built since 2021.
Heavy rain puts about 35.8 times as many Milton Keynes homes at risk as rivers and the sea do
Surface water is rain that falls faster than drains and the ground can take it. It is mapped separately from rivers and the sea, and it is not in the Hazard risk Grade.
About 4.8% of homes are at high risk of surface-water flooding (a 1 in 30 chance or more each year) and 3.1% at medium risk: roughly 6,110 households. A further 8.1% face a low risk from surface water. That is more than 86% of UK towns.
Our estimate: every address in the city (ONS NSUL) read on the Environment Agency’s Risk of Flooding from Surface Water map (NaFRA2, 2025), each postcode’s share weighted by its Census 2021 households. Neither agency publishes a count of homes for surface water, so treat it as a guide; one street can differ from the next.
Milton Keynes has flooded in 5 recorded years since 1947, most of all in 1947
Every flood the Environment Agency has mapped inside Milton Keynes’s built-up area, newest first. The record is fullest for big river floods; small and surface-water floods are often missing.
- 2007July 2007: River flooding recorded1 hectare inside today’s built-up area
- 19981998: River flooding recorded24 hectares inside today’s built-up area
- 19801980: River flooding recorded2 hectares inside today’s built-up area
- 19681968: River flooding recorded4 hectares inside today’s built-up area
- 19471947: River flooding recorded27 hectares inside today’s built-up area
Floodwater covered 27 hectares of what is now Milton Keynes in 1947, the largest flood the record holds here.
469 of Milton Keynes’s households today live inside the outline of a recorded flood.
Since 1947, the largest recorded flood inside the city covered 24 hectares.
The River Ouzel in February 2024 rose to its highest level since 1992
The highest level each winter (October to September) at the Environment Agency’s Willen gauge (Willen), since 1992. The river normally runs between 0.27 m and 0.72 m here.
- 9 February 20241.55 m
- 24 September 19921.54 m
- 6 January 20241.54 m
- 3 January 20031.50 m
- 16 January 20081.46 m
- 8 February 20141.46 m
The River Ouzel has topped its normal range on 944 days since 1992, most in the winters of 2000–01 and 2023–24. By its highest day, the winter of 2023–24 was the highest of the 30.
Environment Agency Hydrology API, Willen (station E21511), daily maximum level; the record and normal range from the EA’s stage scale. Live river levels are on GOV.UK’s Check for flooding.
No flood warning or alert is in force for Milton Keynes · 32 warnings in 20 years
The Environment Agency has 6 flood warning areas and 3 alert areas reaching into the city; warnings since the service began in 2006.
Of the 32 warnings, 12 were for River Ouzel at Bletchley and Caldecotte and 6 for Area close to the River Great Ouse and River Ouzel at Newport Pagnell. 2024 had the most warnings (19); 2025 the most alerts (9).
The most recent warning was on 25 November 2024.
Show the 9 warning and alert areas
| Area | Kind | Since 2006 | Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| River Ouzel at Bletchley and Caldecotte | Warning area | 12 | None |
| Area close to the River Great Ouse and River Ouzel at Newport Pagnell | Warning area | 6 | None |
| River Great Ouse at New Bradwell and Haversham | Warning area | 5 | None |
| River Ouzel at Simpson, Woolstone, Middleton and Willen | Warning area | 5 | None |
| Low lying areas close to the River Great Ouse at Stony Stratford | Warning area | 3 | None |
| Wider area at risk from the River Great Ouse at Stony Stratford | Warning area | 1 | None |
| River Ouzel in Central Bedfordshire, Buckinghamshire and Milton Keynes | Alert area | 16 | None |
| River Great Ouse from Thornborough to Newport Pagnell | Alert area | 8 | None |
| River Great Ouse from Newport Pagnell to Sharnbrook | Alert area | 4 | None |
Environment Agency Historic Flood Warnings (first issues only, not updates; “flood watch” counted as an alert before 2011) and the real-time flood-monitoring API. Sign up for free warnings on GOV.UK or call Floodline, 0345 988 1188.
Parts of Milton Keynes are in radon Affected Areas, at the low end
Radon is a natural radioactive gas from the ground; long exposure raises the risk of lung cancer. The atlas gives the chance that a home in each 1 km square is above the UK action level (200 Bq/m³).
36% of Milton Keynes’s built-up area is in a radon Affected Area (1% of homes or more above the action level).
The squares are indicative: each takes the highest band found anywhere inside it, so most homes in a coloured square are below it. Only a three-month test in the home gives a real answer.
BGS/UKHSA Indicative Atlas of Radon in Great Britain, version 3. Check an address at UKradon.org.
Flood risk in the places around Milton Keynes
Share of homes at high or medium and at low risk from rivers and the sea. Tap a town for its page.
| Town | People | High or medium | Low | Hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes | 197,328 | 0.2% | 0.7% | B− |
| Bletchley | 45,018 | 0.2% | 0.2% | B− |
| Newport Pagnell | 15,250 | 1.4% | 6.9% | C |
| Newton Longville | 1,877 | 0.1% | 0.6% | B− |
| Old Stratford | 2,427 | 0.2% | under 0.1% | B− |
| Woburn Sands | 4,315 | 0% | 0% | A |
| Castlethorpe | 1,112 | 0.2% | 0% | B− |
| Aspley Guise | 2,114 | 0% | 0% | A |
Newport Pagnell, 3.6 miles north, has the most homes at risk around Milton Keynes (1.4% at high or medium). Woburn Sands and Aspley Guise have none.
Get ready for what Milton Keynes faces
Free warnings, what to do in a cloudburst, and what to check before you move.
- Sign up free for Environment Agency flood warnings by text, call or email.
- Floodline: 0345 988 1188, 24 hours.
- Milton Keynes’s warning areas include River Ouzel at Simpson, Woolstone, Middleton and Willen and Low lying areas close to the River Great Ouse at Stony Stratford.
- Surface water rises in minutes, often with no warning issued: stay out of underpasses and dips.
- Keep the gullies and drains outside your home clear of leaves.
- Report a blocked road drain to the council.
- Test over three months, in a living room and a bedroom.
- Above 200 Bq/m³, a small sump and fan usually fixes it.
- New homes in radon areas are built with protection: basic from 3%, full from 10%.
- Check the address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service: it gives rivers and sea and surface water separately.
- Ask whether the home has flooded or had a flood insurance claim; the TA6 property form asks the seller.
- Homes built before 2009 can get flood cover through Flood Re, the government-backed scheme; newer homes can’t.
- Check radon for the address on UKradon.org (a small fee) or ask the seller for a test result.
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Defences are counted. Both agencies’ maps allow for flood defences and the chance they are overtopped or fail, so a town behind a defence scheme can show few homes at high risk and many at low risk.
- Surface water is our estimate. Neither agency publishes a count of homes at risk from surface water, so we read each address on the map. A flat on a hill and a basement in a dip can share a postcode.
- Past floods are what was recorded. The flood outlines come from surveys, aerial photographs and reports; many small floods, and most surface-water floods, were never mapped.
- One town, many streets. Risk is street by street. Check a specific address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service before you buy or rent.
Questions about flooding and hazards in Milton Keynes
Does Milton Keynes flood?
The last flood the Environment Agency recorded inside the city was in July 2007. 0.2% of homes are at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea on the Environment Agency’s maps, which allow for flood defences. About 7.9% of homes are at high or medium risk from surface water, when heavy rain overwhelms the drains. Milton Keynes grades B− for hazard risk against UK towns.
Which parts of Milton Keynes are at risk of flooding?
From rivers and the sea, the places the Environment Agency warns directly: River Ouzel at Bletchley and Caldecotte, Area close to the River Great Ouse and River Ouzel at Newport Pagnell, River Ouzel at Simpson, Woolstone, Middleton and Willen and River Great Ouse at New Bradwell and Haversham. Surface water can collect in low spots anywhere in the city. Check a specific address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service.
When did Milton Keynes last flood?
The recorded flood outlines inside the city run from 1947 to 2007 (5 years); the largest was in 1947. Flood warnings have been issued for parts of the city since 2006, most recently on 25 November 2024.
Is Milton Keynes at risk of surface water flooding?
About 4.8% of homes are at high risk and 3.1% at medium risk from surface water, against 0.2% at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea. Surface water floods come with little warning, and the agencies don’t issue warnings for them.
Is radon a problem in Milton Keynes?
36% of the city’s built-up area is in a radon Affected Area on the BGS/UKHSA atlas. Most homes are below it; a three-month test is the only way to know.
Are there flood warnings in Milton Keynes now?
No flood warning or alert was in force near Milton Keynes at 14 November 2026, 08:54. Live warnings are on GOV.UK’s Check for flooding service and Floodline, 0345 988 1188.
Contains Environment Agency information © Environment Agency and/or database right 2026. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026.
Sources: Environment Agency Risk of Flooding from Rivers and Sea, postcodes in areas at risk (June 2026); Natural Resources Wales Flood Risk Assessment Wales (May 2026); ONS Census 2021 households by postcode · Environment Agency Risk of Flooding from Surface Water (NaFRA2, 2025) and Natural Resources Wales Flood Risk Assessment Wales surface water and small watercourses, read at every address (ONS National Statistics UPRN Lookup, September 2026) and weighted by Census 2021 households by postcode · Environment Agency Recorded Flood Outlines and Natural Resources Wales historic flood map, inside the ONS 2022 built-up-area boundary · Environment Agency Hydrology API (daily maximum river level) and flood-monitoring stage scales · Environment Agency real-time flood-monitoring API · Environment Agency Historic Flood Warnings (January 2006 to June 2026) and flood warning and alert areas · BGS/UKHSA Indicative Atlas of Radon in Great Britain, version 3, by 1 km square · TownRatings grades: our own summary of the data, ranked against UK towns only. All under the Open Government Licence v3.0.
Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Contains HM Land Registry data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026 (ONS boundaries). Northern Ireland: Source: NISRA; contains Land & Property Services data and Ordnance Survey of Northern Ireland information, © Crown copyright, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Scotland: contains National Records of Scotland data, Registers of Scotland data and SEPA data, © Crown copyright / © SEPA 2025, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.