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CHazard risk
Natural hazards in Green Valley · FEMA

FEMA expects more hazard damage per building in Green Valley than in 66% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Green Valley gets a C for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 66% of U.S. towns. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (52%), then wildfire (32%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 66%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade
By hazard

What Green Valley faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

52%of expected building damage
About average · lower than 50% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Wildfire

32%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 2% of U.S. census tracts

Hail

10%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 7% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 6 times a year in the area
Smaller shares here
 Tornadoes Ice storms Winter storms top 5% Earthquakes Strong wind Lightning Cold waves Heat waves Landslides
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingHurricanesAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts cold waves at 20% of Green Valley’s expected losses. Cold waves do little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Green Valley’s grade

River and rain flooding is 52% of the building damage FEMA expects in Green Valley, and Green Valley’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is lower than 50% of U.S. census tracts. Wildfire adds 32%, at a rate in the top 2% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Green Valley sits
Green Valley
Least damageMiddleMost damage

C higher expected damage per building than 66% of U.S. towns (21,298).

All of Green Valley’s residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding52%Wildfire32%Hail10%Everything else6%

In dollars, FEMA expects about $258K a year in losses across Green Valley: $149K to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

Shared tract.All of Green Valley’s 1,051 residents (2020 census) live in one census tract. FEMA publishes its model by tract, so the rate and the hazard mix are the tract’s. The flood claims below are the town’s own.
A shared figure. The grade describes the whole tract, not each street in it, and FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Green Valley flood? No paid flood claims on record

FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Green Valley. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.

of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Green Valley isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Pennington County.
Disasters

The storms Green Valley remembers

None of the 13 disasters declared for Pennington County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Green Valley itself in FEMA’s records, so these are its biggest flood-claim years.

Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in Green ValleyPennington County only

Pennington County has had 13 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then floods. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Also 5 FEMA wildfire suppression grants (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Pennington County, 2002–2021.

Next door

Green Valley and its neighbors

Green Valley is 2nd of the 2 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Rapid Valley: hazard risk BRapid ValleyGreen Valley
Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
Rapid ValleyBless damage than 63%river and rain flooding—
Green ValleyCmore damage than 66%river and rain flooding0

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Green Valley faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Wildfire
  • Clear dead leaves and brush within 5 feet of the house.
  • Sign up for local alerts and know two ways out.
  • Keep N95 masks for smoky days.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Hail
  • Park in a garage or under cover when storms are forecast.
  • Stay away from windows while it falls.
  • Photograph roof and car damage for your insurer.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Green Valley

Is Green Valley at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Green Valley has higher expected damage per building than 66% of U.S. towns: C for hazard risk. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (52%) and wildfire (32%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Is Green Valley in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Pennington County, 16% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.6% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Green Valley?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Green Valley’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

Is Green Valley at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (52%), and Green Valley’s rate for it is lower than 50% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Green Valley.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Green Valley’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.