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Jersey Shore old housesPhoto: Dincher · CC BY-SA 3.0
CHazard risk
Natural hazards in Jersey Shore · FEMA

FEMA puts Jersey Shore’s expected hazard damage per building above that of 70% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Jersey Shore gets a C for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 70% of U.S. towns, #913 of 1,037 in Pennsylvania. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (94%). Flood insurance has paid 212 claims here since 1979.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 70%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#913 of 1,037 in Pennsylvania

What stands out about Jersey Shore’s natural hazards

From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.

By hazard

What Jersey Shore faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

94%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 85% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area
Smaller shares here
 Hurricanes Tornadoes Earthquakes Strong wind Winter storms Hail Wildfire Ice storms Cold waves Heat waves Landslides Lightning
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Jersey Shore’s grade

River and rain flooding is 94% of the building damage FEMA expects in Jersey Shore, and Jersey Shore’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 85% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Jersey Shore sits
Jersey Shore
Least damageMiddleMost damage

C #913 of 1,037 in Pennsylvania; higher expected damage per building than 70% of U.S. towns (21,298).

All of Jersey Shore’s residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding94%Everything else6%

The typical Pennsylvania town has lower expected damage than 71% of U.S. towns; within the state, Jersey Shore has more expected damage per building than 88% of Pennsylvania towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $1.8M a year in losses across Jersey Shore: $1.2M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

Shared tract.All of Jersey Shore’s 4,166 residents (2020 census) live in one census tract, which it shares with Porter township (1,528 residents). FEMA publishes its model by tract, so the rate and the hazard mix are the tract’s, the same for all of them. The flood claims below are the town’s own.
A shared figure. The grade describes the whole tract, not each street in it, and FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Jersey Shore flood? Yes: 212 flood claims since 1979

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Jersey Shore, from FEMA’s records: 136.9 per 1,000 homes, more than 97% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1979: 1 claim1980: 0 claims1981: 1 claim1982: 1 claim1983: 0 claims1984: 12 claims1985: 0 claims1986: 5 claims1987: 0 claims1988: 0 claims1989: 0 claims1990: 0 claims1991: 0 claims1992: 0 claims1993: 0 claims1994: 0 claims1995: 0 claims1996: 42 claims1997: 0 claims1998: 0 claims1999: 1 claim2000: 0 claims2001: 0 claims2002: 0 claims2003: 0 claims2004: 141 claims2005: 0 claims2006: 1 claim2007: 0 claims2008: 2 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 0 claims2011: 2 claims2012: 0 claims2013: 0 claims2014: 0 claims2015: 0 claims2016: 3 claims2017: 0 claims2018: 0 claims2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 0 claims2022: 0 claims2023: 0 claims2024: 0 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims198419962004
19792026
Biggest named events
  • Tropical Storm Ivan140 claims · $1.4M
  • Tropical Storm Lee2 claims · $7K
212
paid claims since 1979
$1.7M
paid to owners
30
homes flooded more than once
$8K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (0)Flooded 2+ times
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
Community discount10% off flood insurance

Jersey Shore is in FEMA’s Community Rating System (class 8) for its flood-proofing work.

Insurance rates: Lycoming County.
What’s been done with FEMA grants
2flood-prone properties bought out and cleared
Disasters

3 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Jersey Shore

Disasters that paid out in Jersey Shore itself (aid to households or repair grants to the Borough of Jersey Shore), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2024Tropical Storm Debby53 households applied for aid$216K aid approved
  2. 2011Tropical Storm Lee10 households applied for aid$2K aid approved2 flood claims paid for it, $7K
  3. 2004Tropical Depression Ivan246 households applied for aid$465K aid approved140 flood claims paid for it, $1.4M
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in Jersey ShoreLycoming County only

Lycoming County has had 17 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then floods. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Were you here?

Old photos of Jersey Shore after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Jersey Shore archive →
Next door

Jersey Shore and its neighbors

Jersey Shore is 2nd of the 2 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Porter Township: hazard risk CNippenose Township: not gradedPorter TownshipNippenose TownshipJersey Shore
Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
Porter TownshipCmore damage than 70%river and rain flooding—
Jersey ShoreCmore damage than 70%river and rain flooding212
Nippenose Township—565 residents; we grade 1,000+

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Jersey Shore faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
  • Jersey Shore residents get 10% off flood insurance.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Jersey Shore

Is Jersey Shore at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Jersey Shore has higher expected damage per building than 70% of U.S. towns: C for hazard risk, #913 of 1,037 in Pennsylvania. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (94%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Jersey Shore flood?

Flood insurance has paid 212 claims in Jersey Shore since 1979, $1.7M in all, or 136.9 per 1,000 homes, more than 97% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 30 properties have flooded more than once. The most claims came from Tropical Storm Ivan (140).

Is Jersey Shore in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Lycoming County, 16% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 1.7% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Jersey Shore?

Jersey Shore is in FEMA’s Community Rating System (class 8), which takes 10% off federal flood insurance policies for its flood-proofing work. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Jersey Shore?

By FEMA money that reached Jersey Shore, Tropical Depression Ivan (2004): 246 households applied for aid, $465K approved. By flood claims, Tropical Storm Ivan: 140 paid, $1.4M.

Is Jersey Shore at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (94%), and Jersey Shore’s rate for it is higher than 85% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Jersey Shore.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Jersey Shore’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.