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CHazard risk
Natural hazards in Jay · FEMA

On FEMA’s figures, Jay faces more hazard damage per building than 70% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Jay gets a C for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 70% of U.S. towns, #75 of 131 in Oklahoma. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (67%), then ice storms (13%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 70%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#75 of 131 in Oklahoma
By hazard

What Jay faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

67%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 70% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once a year in the area

Ice storms

13%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Wildfire

7%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 6% of U.S. census tracts

Tornadoes

6%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 69% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 7 years in the area
Smaller shares here
 Hail Earthquakes Strong wind Winter storms top 4% Lightning Hurricanes Landslides Cold waves Heat waves
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts heat waves at 10% of Jay’s expected losses. Heat waves do little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Jay’s grade

River and rain flooding is 67% of the building damage FEMA expects in Jay, and Jay’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 70% of U.S. census tracts. Ice storms add 13%, at a rate in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Jay sits
Jay
Least damageMiddleMost damage

C #75 of 131 in Oklahoma; higher expected damage per building than 70% of U.S. towns (21,298).

All of Jay’s residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding67%Ice storms13%Wildfire7%Everything else13%

The typical Oklahoma town has higher expected damage than 69% of U.S. towns; within the state, Jay has more expected damage per building than 57% of Oklahoma towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $1.3M a year in losses across Jay: $718K to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

Shared tract.All of Jay’s 2,425 residents (2020 census) live in one census tract, which it shares with Oak Hill-Piney CDP (191 residents) and Sycamore CDP (65 residents) and Indianola CDP (51 residents) and Deer Lick CDP (34 residents) and Brush Creek CDP (14 residents). FEMA publishes its model by tract, so the rate and the hazard mix are the tract’s, the same for all of them. The flood claims below are the town’s own.
A shared figure. The grade describes the whole tract, not each street in it, and FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Jay flood? No paid flood claims on record

FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Jay. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.

of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Jay isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Delaware County.
What’s been done with FEMA grants
44storm safe rooms built
Disasters

7 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Jay

Disasters that paid out in Jay itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Jay), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2024Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding4 households applied for aid$6K aid approved
  2. 2019Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding49 households applied for aid$158K aid approved
  3. 2015Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-line Winds, and Flooding2 households applied for aid$3K aid approved
  4. 2011Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-line Winds, and Flooding48 households applied for aid$251K aid approved$6K to the City of Jay for repairs
  5. 2010Severe Winter Storm$3K to the City of Jay for repairs
  6. 2009Severe Winter Storm$6K to the City of Jay for repairs
Show all 7
  1. 2007Severe Winter Storms$120K to the City of Jay for repairs
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in JayDelaware County only

Delaware County has had 26 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then winter storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Were you here?

Old photos of Jay after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Jay archive →
Next door

Jay and its neighbors

Jay has the lowest expected damage per building of the 1 graded towns here. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
JayCmore damage than 70%river and rain flooding0
Brush Creek—101 residents; we grade 1,000+
New Eucha—185 residents; we grade 1,000+

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Jay faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Ice storms
  • Ice brings down trees and lines: plan for days without power.
  • Run a generator outside, far from doors and windows.
  • Keep sand or salt by the door.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Wildfire
  • Clear dead leaves and brush within 5 feet of the house.
  • Sign up for local alerts and know two ways out.
  • Keep N95 masks for smoky days.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Tornado warnings
  • Pick your spot now: the lowest floor, an inside room, no windows.
  • A watch means be ready; a warning means take cover now.
  • Keep shoes and a flashlight by the bed.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Jay

Is Jay at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Jay has higher expected damage per building than 70% of U.S. towns: C for hazard risk, #75 of 131 in Oklahoma. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (67%) and ice storms (13%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Is Jay in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Delaware County, 9% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.4% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Jay?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Jay’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Jay?

By FEMA money that reached Jay, Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-line Winds, and Flooding (2011): 48 households applied for aid, $251K approved, and $6K to the City of Jay for repairs.

Is Jay at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (67%), and Jay’s rate for it is higher than 70% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Jay.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Jay’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.