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A−Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Saddle Rock · FEMA

Less hazard damage per building is expected in Saddle Rock than in 82% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Saddle Rock gets an A− for hazard risk: lower expected damage per building than 82% of U.S. towns. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (66%), then coastal flooding (14%). Flood insurance has paid 17 claims here since 1979.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

less than 82%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade

What stands out about Saddle Rock’s natural hazards

From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.

By hazard

What Saddle Rock faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

66%of expected building damage
Below average · lower than 75% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 3 times a year in the area

Coastal flooding

14%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 2% of U.S. census tracts

Hurricanes

10%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 77% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 6 years in the area

Earthquakes

7%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 65% of U.S. census tracts
Smaller shares here
 Ice storms Tornadoes Strong wind Winter storms Lightning Hail Wildfire Cold waves Heat waves Landslides
FEMA models no building damage here
AvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Saddle Rock’s grade

River and rain flooding is 66% of the building damage FEMA expects in Saddle Rock, and Saddle Rock’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is lower than 75% of U.S. census tracts. Coastal flooding adds 14%, at a rate in the top 2% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Saddle Rock sits
Saddle Rock
Least damageMiddleMost damage

A− lower expected damage per building than 82% of U.S. towns (21,298).

All of Saddle Rock’s residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding66%Coastal flooding14%Hurricanes10%Everything else11%

In dollars, FEMA expects about $267K a year in losses across Saddle Rock: $239K to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

Shared tract.All of Saddle Rock’s 989 residents (2020 census) live in one census tract, which it shares with Great Neck Estates village (2,990 residents) and Harbor Hills CDP (562 residents) and Saddle Rock Estates CDP (428 residents). FEMA publishes its model by tract, so the rate and the hazard mix are the tract’s, the same for all of them. The flood claims below are the town’s own.
A shared figure. The grade describes the whole tract, not each street in it, and FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Saddle Rock flood? Sometimes: 17 flood claims since 1979

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Saddle Rock, from FEMA’s records: 53.5 per 1,000 homes, more than 93% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1979: 3 claims1980: 2 claims1981: 0 claims1982: 1 claim1983: 0 claims1984: 0 claims1985: 0 claims1986: 0 claims1987: 0 claims1988: 0 claims1989: 0 claims1990: 0 claims1991: 0 claims1992: 1 claim1993: 0 claims1994: 1 claim1995: 0 claims1996: 0 claims1997: 0 claims1998: 0 claims1999: 1 claim2000: 0 claims2001: 0 claims2002: 0 claims2003: 0 claims2004: 0 claims2005: 0 claims2006: 2 claims2007: 0 claims2008: 0 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 1 claim2011: 1 claim2012: 1 claim2013: 0 claims2014: 0 claims2015: 0 claims2016: 0 claims2017: 0 claims2018: 0 claims2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 2 claims2022: 1 claim2023: 0 claims2024: 0 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims197919802006
19792026
Biggest named events
  • Hurricane Ida2 claims · $114K
  • Hurricane Irene1 claim · $6K
17
paid claims since 1979
$471K
paid to owners
2
homes flooded more than once
$28K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (0)Flooded 2+ times
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Saddle Rock isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Nassau County.
Disasters

The storms Saddle Rock remembers

None of the 22 disasters declared for Nassau County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Saddle Rock itself in FEMA’s records, so these are its biggest flood-claim years.

  1. 19793 flood claims paidNo declaration for the county that year
  2. 19802 flood claims paidNo declaration for the county that year
  3. 20062 flood claims paidNo declaration for the county that year
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in Saddle RockNassau County only

Nassau County has had 22 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often hurricanes and tropical storms, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees; the 2001 World Trade Center declarations.

Were you here?

Old photos of Saddle Rock after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Saddle Rock archive →
Next door

Saddle Rock and its neighbors

Saddle Rock is 3rd of the 3 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
Kings PointAless damage than 94%river and rain flooding97
Great NeckAless damage than 92%river and rain flooding103
Saddle RockA−less damage than 82%river and rain flooding17
Harbor Hills—458 residents; we grade 1,000+
Saddle Rock Estates—485 residents; we grade 1,000+

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Saddle Rock faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
When the tide surges
  • Know your evacuation zone and the way off the coast.
  • Storm surge comes fast: leave when you’re told, not when the water arrives.
  • Move cars to high ground before king tides and nor’easters.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Hurricane season
  • The season runs June through November and peaks from mid-August to mid-October.
  • Bring in porch furniture and anything the wind can throw.
  • Fill the gas tank and charge phones before the storm arrives.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Earthquakes
  • Drop, cover and hold on.
  • Strap tall furniture and the water heater to the wall.
  • Know how to shut off the gas.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Saddle Rock

Is Saddle Rock at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Saddle Rock has lower expected damage per building than 82% of U.S. towns: A− for hazard risk. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (66%) and coastal flooding (14%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Saddle Rock flood?

Flood insurance has paid 17 claims in Saddle Rock since 1979, $471K in all, or 53.5 per 1,000 homes, more than 93% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 2 properties have flooded more than once. The most claims came from Hurricane Ida (2).

Is Saddle Rock in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Nassau County, 76% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 9.6% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Saddle Rock?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Saddle Rock’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Saddle Rock?

By flood claims, Hurricane Ida: 2 paid, $114K.

Is Saddle Rock at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (66%), and Saddle Rock’s rate for it is lower than 75% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Saddle Rock.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Saddle Rock’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.