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Bates Cobblestone FarmhouseBates Cobblestone Farmhouse · Photo: Araucana · CC BY-SA 4.0
CHazard risk
Natural hazards in Middlesex · FEMA

On FEMA’s figures, Middlesex faces more hazard damage per building than 69% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Middlesex gets a C for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 69% of U.S. towns. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (95%). Flood insurance has paid 3 claims here since 2014.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 69%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade
By hazard

What Middlesex faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

95%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 85% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 1 years in the area
Smaller shares here
 Hurricanes Ice storms Tornadoes Strong wind Earthquakes Hail Wildfire Winter storms Cold waves Heat waves Landslides Lightning
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Middlesex’s grade

River and rain flooding is 95% of the building damage FEMA expects in Middlesex, and Middlesex’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 85% of U.S. census tracts. Ice storms add 2%, at a rate in the top 9% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Middlesex sits
Middlesex
Least damageMiddleMost damage

C higher expected damage per building than 69% of U.S. towns (21,298).

All of Middlesex’s residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding95%Everything else5%

In dollars, FEMA expects about $513K a year in losses across Middlesex: $411K to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

Shared tract.All of Middlesex’s 1,377 residents (2020 census) live in one census tract. FEMA publishes its model by tract, so the rate and the hazard mix are the tract’s. The flood claims below are the town’s own.
A shared figure. The grade describes the whole tract, not each street in it, and FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Middlesex flood? Rarely: 3 flood claims since 2014

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Middlesex, from FEMA’s records: 3.2 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 50% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
2014: 2 claims2015: 0 claims2016: 0 claims2017: 0 claims2018: 0 claims2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 1 claim2022: 0 claims2023: 0 claims2024: 0 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims20142021
20142026
3
paid claims since 2014
$55K
paid to owners
1
homes flooded more than once
$18K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (0)Flooded 2+ times
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Middlesex isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Yates County.
Disasters

6 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Middlesex

Disasters that paid out in Middlesex itself (aid to households or repair grants to the Town of Middlesex), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2024Remnants of Tropical Storm Debby$93K to the Town of Middlesex for repairs
  2. 2014Severe Storms and Flooding$188K to the Town of Middlesex for repairs2 flood claims paid that year
  3. 2011Severe Storms, Flooding, Tornadoes, and Straight-line Winds$154K to the Town of Middlesex for repairs
  4. 2004Severe Storms and Flooding$64K to the Town of Middlesex for repairs
  5. 2003Ice Storm$2K to the Town of Middlesex for repairs
  6. 2000Severe Storms and Flooding$95K to the Town of Middlesex for repairs
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in MiddlesexYates County only

Yates County has had 15 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often floods, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees; the 2001 World Trade Center declarations.

Were you here?

Old photos of Middlesex after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Middlesex archive →
Next door

Middlesex and its neighbors

Middlesex is 4th of the 4 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
South BristolB+less damage than 73%river and rain flooding20
GorhamB+less damage than 68%river and rain flooding23
PotterCmore damage than 66%river and rain flooding1
MiddlesexCmore damage than 69%river and rain flooding3
Canandaigua—not graded yet

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Middlesex faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Middlesex

Is Middlesex at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Middlesex has higher expected damage per building than 69% of U.S. towns: C for hazard risk. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (95%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Middlesex flood?

Flood insurance has paid 3 claims in Middlesex since 2014, $55K in all, or 3.2 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 50% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 1 properties have flooded more than once.

Is Middlesex in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Yates County, 1.5% of all homes carry federal flood insurance.

How much is flood insurance in Middlesex?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Middlesex’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Middlesex?

By FEMA money that reached Middlesex, Severe Storms and Flooding (2014): $188K to the Town of Middlesex for repairs.

Is Middlesex at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (95%), and Middlesex’s rate for it is higher than 85% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Middlesex.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Middlesex’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.