Guest, Sign inJoin

Post to Lancaster

We’ll email a one-tap link to publish your post. No password, and nothing is public until you click it.
Already a member? Sign in
Warren Hull House Aug 10Photo: Pubdog · Public domain
A−Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Lancaster · FEMA

On FEMA’s figures, Lancaster faces less hazard damage per building than 80% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Lancaster gets an A− for hazard risk: lower expected damage per building than 80% of U.S. towns, #285 of 758 in New York. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (95%). Flood insurance has paid 2 claims here since 1979.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

less than 80%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#285 of 758 in New York
By hazard

What Lancaster faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

95%of expected building damage
About average · higher than 52% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 4 times a year in the area
Smaller shares here
 Earthquakes Tornadoes Hurricanes Ice storms Strong wind Hail Wildfire Winter storms Cold waves Heat waves Landslides Lightning
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts cold waves at 27% of Lancaster’s expected losses. Cold waves do little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Lancaster’s grade

River and rain flooding is 95% of the building damage FEMA expects in Lancaster, and Lancaster’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 52% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Lancaster sits
Lancaster
Least damageMiddleMost damage

A− #285 of 758 in New York; lower expected damage per building than 80% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Lancaster’s residents live in 2 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding95%Everything else5%

The typical New York town has lower expected damage than 69% of U.S. towns; within the state, Lancaster has less expected damage per building than 62% of New York towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $2.2M a year in losses across Lancaster: $1.4M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

A small-area figure. Lancaster covers 2 census tracts, combined by where residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Lancaster flood? Rarely: 2 flood claims since 1979

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Lancaster, from FEMA’s records: 0.4 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 92% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1979: 1 claim1980: 0 claims1981: 0 claims1982: 0 claims1983: 0 claims1984: 0 claims1985: 0 claims1986: 0 claims1987: 0 claims1988: 0 claims1989: 0 claims1990: 0 claims1991: 0 claims1992: 0 claims1993: 0 claims1994: 0 claims1995: 0 claims1996: 0 claims1997: 0 claims1998: 0 claims1999: 0 claims2000: 0 claims2001: 0 claims2002: 0 claims2003: 0 claims2004: 1 claim2005: 0 claims2006: 0 claims2007: 0 claims2008: 0 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 0 claims2011: 0 claims2012: 0 claims2013: 0 claims2014: 0 claims2015: 0 claims2016: 0 claims2017: 0 claims2018: 0 claims2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 0 claims2022: 0 claims2023: 0 claims2024: 0 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims19792004
19792026
2
paid claims since 1979
$14K
paid to owners
0
homes flooded more than once
$7K
average claim
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Lancaster isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Erie County.
Disasters

7 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Lancaster

Disasters that paid out in Lancaster itself (aid to households or repair grants to the Village of Lancaster), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2022Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm$71K to the Village of Lancaster for repairs
  2. 2014Severe Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and Flooding$383K to the Village of Lancaster for repairs
  3. 2006Severe Storms and Flooding781 households applied for aid$249K aid approved$642K to the Village of Lancaster for repairs
  4. 2001Severe Winter Storm$17K to the Village of Lancaster for repairs
  5. 2001Snow$104K to the Village of Lancaster for repairs
  6. 2000Snow$10K to the Village of Lancaster for repairs
Show all 7
  1. 1999Snow$14K to the Village of Lancaster for repairs
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in LancasterErie County only

Erie County has had 20 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often winter storms, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees; the 2001 World Trade Center declarations.

Were you here?

Old photos of Lancaster after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Lancaster archive →
Next door

Lancaster and its neighbors

Lancaster has the lowest expected damage per building of the 2 graded towns here. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Depew: hazard risk B+DepewLancaster
Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
LancasterA−less damage than 80%river and rain flooding2
DepewB+less damage than 72%river and rain flooding21

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Lancaster faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Lancaster

Is Lancaster at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Lancaster has lower expected damage per building than 80% of U.S. towns: A− for hazard risk, #285 of 758 in New York. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (95%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Lancaster flood?

Flood insurance has paid 2 claims in Lancaster since 1979, $14K in all, or 0.4 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 92% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Is Lancaster in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Erie County, 28% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.4% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Lancaster?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Lancaster’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Lancaster?

By FEMA money that reached Lancaster, Severe Storms and Flooding (2006): 781 households applied for aid, $249K approved, and $642K to the Village of Lancaster for repairs.

Is Lancaster at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (95%), and Lancaster’s rate for it is higher than 52% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Lancaster.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Lancaster’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.