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Aerial view of the old Haymarket and West Haymarket, Lincoln, Nebraska, USAPhoto: Hanyou23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
B−Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Lincoln · FEMA

For tornadoes, Lincoln’s building-damage rate is in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Lincoln gets a B− for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 53% of U.S. towns, #19 of 57 in Nebraska. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (48%), then tornadoes (24%). Flood insurance has paid 130 claims here since 1981.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 53%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#19 of 57 in Nebraska
Hazard risk
B−#19 of 57
in Nebraska · higher than 53% of U.S. towns
Main hazard
River and rain flooding
48% of expected building damage
Flood claims
130
paid since 1981 · $2.6M
Flooded more than once
7
properties · 1 “severe repetitive loss”
Flood insurance
25% off
Community discount (class 5)

What stands out about Lincoln’s natural hazards

From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.

By hazard

What Lincoln faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

48%of expected building damage
Below average · lower than 66% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once a year in the area

Tornadoes

24%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts

Hail

15%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 5% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 8 times a year in the area

Strong wind

9%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 3% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 5 times a year in the area
Smaller shares here
 Wildfire Ice storms Winter storms Earthquakes Lightning Heat waves top 2% Cold waves Landslides
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingHurricanesAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts tornadoes at 38% of Lincoln’s expected losses. Tornadoes do little damage to buildings (24.2%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Lincoln’s grade

River and rain flooding is 48% of the building damage FEMA expects in Lincoln, and Lincoln’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is lower than 66% of U.S. census tracts. Tornadoes add 24%, at a rate in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Lincoln sits
Lincoln
Least damageMiddleMost damage

B− #19 of 57 in Nebraska; higher expected damage per building than 53% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Lincoln’s residents live in 79 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding48%Tornadoes24%Hail15%Everything else13%

The typical Nebraska town has higher expected damage than 66% of U.S. towns; within the state, Lincoln has less expected damage per building than 68% of Nebraska towns.

Among the 400 U.S. cities of 100,000 or more, Lincoln has lower expected damage per building than 57% (#174 of 400). Because it is so big, its total expected yearly loss, $96.0M, is the 120th largest of those 400.

A firm figure. It combines 79 census tracts by where Lincoln’s residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Lincoln flood? Yes: 130 flood claims since 1981

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Lincoln, from FEMA’s records: 1.0 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 78% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1981: 1 claim1982: 0 claims1983: 2 claims1984: 0 claims1985: 0 claims1986: 0 claims1987: 0 claims1988: 0 claims1989: 3 claims1990: 0 claims1991: 0 claims1992: 0 claims1993: 2 claims1994: 0 claims1995: 0 claims1996: 2 claims1997: 0 claims1998: 0 claims1999: 0 claims2000: 0 claims2001: 0 claims2002: 4 claims2003: 3 claims2004: 0 claims2005: 0 claims2006: 0 claims2007: 1 claim2008: 7 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 6 claims2011: 2 claims2012: 0 claims2013: 2 claims2014: 12 claims2015: 76 claims2016: 5 claims2017: 0 claims2018: 1 claim2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 0 claims2022: 0 claims2023: 0 claims2024: 1 claim2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims200820142015
19812026
Biggest named events
  • The Late spring storms2 claims · $18K
  • The Midwest Flooding2 claims · $10K
130
paid claims since 1981
$2.6M
paid to owners
7
homes flooded more than once
$20K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (1)Flooded 2+ times
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
Community discount25% off flood insurance

Lincoln is in FEMA’s Community Rating System (class 5) for its flood-proofing work.

Insurance rates: Lancaster County.
What’s been done with FEMA grants
1storm safe room built
1building floodproofed
Disasters

2 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Lincoln

Disasters that paid out in Lincoln itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Lincoln), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2008Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding36 households applied for aid$17K aid approved7 flood claims paid that year
  2. 2004Severe Storms, Tornadoes and Flooding4 households applied for aid$1K aid approved
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in LincolnLancaster County only

Lancaster County has had 13 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then floods. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Were you here?

Old photos of Lincoln after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Lincoln archive →
Next door

Lincoln and its neighbors

Lincoln has the lowest expected damage per building of the 1 graded towns here. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
LincolnB−more damage than 53%river and rain flooding130
Yankee Hill—250 residents; we grade 1,000+
Walton—579 residents; we grade 1,000+
Cheney—144 residents; we grade 1,000+

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Lincoln faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Tornado warnings
  • Pick your spot now: the lowest floor, an inside room, no windows.
  • A watch means be ready; a warning means take cover now.
  • Keep shoes and a flashlight by the bed.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Hail
  • Park in a garage or under cover when storms are forecast.
  • Stay away from windows while it falls.
  • Photograph roof and car damage for your insurer.
More from Ready.gov ↗
High winds
  • Trim dead limbs over the house and driveway.
  • Tie down trash cans and outdoor furniture.
  • Stay clear of downed lines and call the utility.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
  • Lincoln residents get 25% off flood insurance.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Lincoln

Is Lincoln at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Lincoln has higher expected damage per building than 53% of U.S. towns: B− for hazard risk, #19 of 57 in Nebraska. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (48%) and tornadoes (24%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Lincoln flood?

Flood insurance has paid 130 claims in Lincoln since 1981, $2.6M in all, or 1.0 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 78% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 7 properties have flooded more than once. The most claims came from Late spring storms (2).

Is Lincoln in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Lancaster County, 25% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.8% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Lincoln?

Lincoln is in FEMA’s Community Rating System (class 5), which takes 25% off federal flood insurance policies for its flood-proofing work. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Lincoln?

By FEMA money that reached Lincoln, Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding (2008): 36 households applied for aid, $17K approved. By flood claims, Late spring storms: 2 paid, $18K.

Is Lincoln at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (48%), and Lincoln’s rate for it is lower than 66% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Lincoln.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Lincoln’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.