Photo: Senior Airman Brittany Y. Auld · Public domainOn FEMA’s figures, Minot AFB faces less hazard damage per building than 95% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Minot AFB gets an A+ for hazard risk: lower expected damage per building than 95% of U.S. towns, #2 of 23 in North Dakota. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (53%), then tornadoes (13%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.
Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded
What Minot AFB faces
Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.
River and rain flooding
Tornadoes
Hail
Winter storms
Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage); winter storms is FEMA’s “Winter Weather” (snow, sleet and freezing rain). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.
What’s behind Minot AFB’s grade
River and rain flooding is 53% of the building damage FEMA expects in Minot AFB, and Minot AFB’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is lower than 94% of U.S. census tracts. Winter storms add 10%, at a rate in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts.
A+ #2 of 23 in North Dakota; lower expected damage per building than 95% of U.S. towns (21,298).
Minot AFB’s residents live in 2 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.
The typical North Dakota town has lower expected damage than 59% of U.S. towns; within the state, Minot AFB has less expected damage per building than 95% of North Dakota towns.
In dollars, FEMA expects about $2.1M a year in losses across Minot AFB: $622K to buildings, the rest to people and crops.
Does Minot AFB flood? No paid flood claims on record
FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Minot AFB. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.
Minot AFB isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Ward County.The storms Minot AFB remembers
None of the 25 disasters declared for Ward County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Minot AFB itself in FEMA’s records, so these are its biggest flood-claim years.
Ward County has had 25 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often floods, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.
Get ready for what Minot AFB faces
A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.
- Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
- Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
- Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
- Pick your spot now: the lowest floor, an inside room, no windows.
- A watch means be ready; a warning means take cover now.
- Keep shoes and a flashlight by the bed.
- Park in a garage or under cover when storms are forecast.
- Stay away from windows while it falls.
- Photograph roof and car damage for your insurer.
- Keep a shovel, a blanket and snacks in the car.
- Clear snow from furnace and dryer vents.
- Check on older neighbors when the power goes out.
- Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
- Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
- Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.
Questions about natural hazards in Minot AFB
Is Minot AFB at risk for natural disasters?
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Minot AFB has lower expected damage per building than 95% of U.S. towns: A+ for hazard risk, #2 of 23 in North Dakota. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (53%) and tornadoes (13%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.
Is Minot AFB in a flood zone?
Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Ward County, 4.5% of all homes carry federal flood insurance.
How much is flood insurance in Minot AFB?
FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Minot AFB’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.
Is Minot AFB at risk from river and rain flooding?
It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (53%), and Minot AFB’s rate for it is lower than 94% of U.S. census tracts.
Storm stories
Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Minot AFB.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Minot AFB’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.