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Grafton, North DakotaPhoto: Andrew Filer · CC BY-SA 2.0
CHazard risk
Natural hazards in Grafton · FEMA

On FEMA’s figures, Grafton faces more hazard damage per building than 72% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Grafton gets a C for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 72% of U.S. towns, #16 of 23 in North Dakota. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (76%). Flood insurance has paid 236 claims here since 1978.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 72%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#16 of 23 in North Dakota
Hazard risk
C#16 of 23
in North Dakota · higher than 72% of U.S. towns
Main hazard
River and rain flooding
76% of expected building damage
Flood claims
236
paid since 1978 · $799K
Flooded more than once
9
properties · 4 “severe repetitive loss”
Disasters paid out here
11
of 36 declared for Walsh County

What stands out about Grafton’s natural hazards

From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.

By hazard

What Grafton faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

76%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 78% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Tornadoes

8%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 81% of U.S. census tracts
Smaller shares here
 Hail Ice storms top 3% Winter storms top 0% Strong wind Wildfire Lightning Earthquakes Cold waves Heat waves Landslides
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingHurricanesAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Grafton’s grade

River and rain flooding is 76% of the building damage FEMA expects in Grafton, and Grafton’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 78% of U.S. census tracts. Ice storms add 5%, at a rate in the top 3% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Grafton sits
Grafton
Least damageMiddleMost damage

C #16 of 23 in North Dakota; higher expected damage per building than 72% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Grafton’s residents live in 3 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding76%Tornadoes8%Hail5%Everything else11%

The typical North Dakota town has lower expected damage than 59% of U.S. towns; within the state, Grafton has more expected damage per building than 68% of North Dakota towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $2.4M a year in losses across Grafton: $2.0M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

A small-area figure. Grafton covers 3 census tracts, combined by where residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Grafton flood? Yes: 236 flood claims since 1978

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Grafton, from FEMA’s records: 112.9 per 1,000 homes, more than 97% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1978: 6 claims1979: 140 claims1980: 0 claims1981: 0 claims1982: 1 claim1983: 0 claims1984: 0 claims1985: 0 claims1986: 0 claims1987: 7 claims1988: 0 claims1989: 1 claim1990: 0 claims1991: 0 claims1992: 0 claims1993: 0 claims1994: 0 claims1995: 0 claims1996: 17 claims1997: 27 claims1998: 0 claims1999: 0 claims2000: 0 claims2001: 0 claims2002: 0 claims2003: 0 claims2004: 10 claims2005: 1 claim2006: 0 claims2007: 0 claims2008: 0 claims2009: 9 claims2010: 0 claims2011: 0 claims2012: 0 claims2013: 13 claims2014: 1 claim2015: 0 claims2016: 0 claims2017: 3 claims2018: 0 claims2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 0 claims2022: 0 claims2023: 0 claims2024: 0 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims197919961997
19782026
Biggest named events
  • The Late spring storms13 claims · $81K
  • The Winter storm3 claims · $4K
236
paid claims since 1978
$799K
paid to owners
9
homes flooded more than once
$3K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (4)Flooded 2+ times
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Grafton isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Walsh County.
What’s been done with FEMA grants
53flood-prone properties bought out and cleared
2flood-prone homes bought out and moved
Disasters

11 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Grafton

Disasters that paid out in Grafton itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Grafton), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2017Flooding$60K to the City of Grafton for repairs3 flood claims paid that year
  2. 2013Severe Storms and Flooding$118K to the City of Grafton for repairs
  3. 2013Flooding$254K to the City of Grafton for repairs
  4. 2011Flooding$22K to the City of Grafton for repairs
  5. 2010Flooding$56K to the City of Grafton for repairs
  6. 2010Flooding$24K to the City of Grafton for repairs
Show all 11
  1. 2009Severe Storms and Flooding48 households applied for aid$25K aid approved$253K to the City of Grafton for repairs9 flood claims paid that year
  2. 2006Severe Storms, Flooding, and Ground Saturation$3K to the City of Grafton for repairs
  3. 2004Severe Storms, Flooding, and Ground Saturation$284K to the City of Grafton for repairs10 flood claims paid that year
  4. 2001Severe Storms, Flooding, and Ground Saturation$20K to the City of Grafton for repairs
  5. 2000Severe Storms, Flooding and Ground Saturation$8K to the City of Grafton for repairs
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in GraftonWalsh County only

Walsh County has had 36 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often floods, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Were you here?

Old photos of Grafton after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Grafton archive →
Next door

Grafton and its neighbors

Grafton has the lowest expected damage per building of the 1 graded towns here. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Oakwood Township: not gradedGrafton Township: not gradedOakwood TownshipGrafton TownshipGrafton
Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
GraftonCmore damage than 72%river and rain flooding236
Oakwood Township—194 residents; we grade 1,000+
Grafton Township—213 residents; we grade 1,000+

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Grafton faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Tornado warnings
  • Pick your spot now: the lowest floor, an inside room, no windows.
  • A watch means be ready; a warning means take cover now.
  • Keep shoes and a flashlight by the bed.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Grafton

Is Grafton at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Grafton has higher expected damage per building than 72% of U.S. towns: C for hazard risk, #16 of 23 in North Dakota. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (76%) and tornadoes (8%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Grafton flood?

Flood insurance has paid 236 claims in Grafton since 1978, $799K in all, or 112.9 per 1,000 homes, more than 97% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 9 properties have flooded more than once. The most claims came from Late spring storms (13).

Is Grafton in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Walsh County, 3% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 1.0% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Grafton?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Grafton’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Grafton?

By FEMA money that reached Grafton, Severe Storms, Flooding, and Ground Saturation (2004): $284K to the City of Grafton for repairs. By flood claims, Late spring storms: 13 paid, $81K.

Is Grafton at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (76%), and Grafton’s rate for it is higher than 78% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Grafton.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Grafton’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.