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B−Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Lincoln · FEMA

On FEMA’s figures, Lincoln faces about as much hazard damage per building as the typical U.S. town, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Lincoln gets a B− for hazard risk: lower expected damage per building than 52% of U.S. towns. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (70%), then tornadoes (11%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

less than 52%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade
By hazard

What Lincoln faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

70%of expected building damage
About average · higher than 55% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 3 times a year in the area

Tornadoes

11%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 82% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 16 years in the area

Earthquakes

6%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 69% of U.S. census tracts
Smaller shares here
 Ice storms top 4% Hail Strong wind Winter storms top 2% Wildfire Hurricanes Lightning Cold waves Heat waves Landslides
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts strong wind at 20% of Lincoln’s expected losses. Strong wind does little damage to buildings (2.3%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Lincoln’s grade

River and rain flooding is 70% of the building damage FEMA expects in Lincoln, and Lincoln’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 55% of U.S. census tracts. Ice storms add 4%, at a rate in the top 4% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Lincoln sits
Lincoln
Least damageMiddleMost damage

B− lower expected damage per building than 52% of U.S. towns (21,298).

All of Lincoln’s residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding70%Tornadoes11%Earthquakes6%Everything else13%

In dollars, FEMA expects about $1.0M a year in losses across Lincoln: $352K to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

Shared tract.All of Lincoln’s 1,144 residents (2020 census) live in one census tract, which it shares with Ionia town (71 residents). FEMA publishes its model by tract, so the rate and the hazard mix are the tract’s, the same for all of them. The flood claims below are the town’s own.
A shared figure. The grade describes the whole tract, not each street in it, and FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Lincoln flood? No paid flood claims on record

FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Lincoln. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.

of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Lincoln isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Benton County.
Disasters

3 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Lincoln

Disasters that paid out in Lincoln itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Lincoln), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2015Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-line Winds, and Flooding$9K to the City of Lincoln for repairs
  2. 2011Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm$6K to the City of Lincoln for repairs
  3. 2007Severe Winter Storms and Flooding$4K to the City of Lincoln for repairs
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in LincolnBenton County only

Benton County has had 16 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then winter storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Were you here?

Old photos of Lincoln after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Lincoln archive →
Be ready

Get ready for what Lincoln faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Tornado warnings
  • Pick your spot now: the lowest floor, an inside room, no windows.
  • A watch means be ready; a warning means take cover now.
  • Keep shoes and a flashlight by the bed.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Earthquakes
  • Drop, cover and hold on.
  • Strap tall furniture and the water heater to the wall.
  • Know how to shut off the gas.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Lincoln

Is Lincoln at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Lincoln has lower expected damage per building than 52% of U.S. towns: B− for hazard risk. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (70%) and tornadoes (11%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Is Lincoln in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Benton County, 5% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.1% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Lincoln?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Lincoln’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Lincoln?

By FEMA money that reached Lincoln, Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-line Winds, and Flooding (2015): $9K to the City of Lincoln for repairs.

Is Lincoln at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (70%), and Lincoln’s rate for it is higher than 55% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Lincoln.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Lincoln’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.