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Burnsville Heart of the CityPhoto: davumaya · CC BY-SA 2.0
A−Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Burnsville · FEMA

Less hazard damage per building is expected in Burnsville than in 84% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Burnsville gets an A− for hazard risk: lower expected damage per building than 84% of U.S. towns, #18 of 274 in Minnesota. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (50%), then strong wind (20%). Flood insurance has paid 16 claims here since 1979.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

less than 84%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#18 of 274 in Minnesota
Hazard risk
A−#18 of 274
in Minnesota · lower than 84% of U.S. towns
Main hazard
River and rain flooding
50% of expected building damage
Flood claims
16
paid since 1979 · $520K
Flooded more than once
2
properties · 1 “severe repetitive loss”
Disasters paid out here
3
of 13 declared for Dakota County

What stands out about Burnsville’s natural hazards

From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.

By hazard

What Burnsville faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

50%of expected building damage
Well below average · lower than 89% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once a year in the area

Strong wind

20%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 2% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 5 times a year in the area

Tornadoes

19%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 86% of U.S. census tracts

Hail

10%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 87% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 7 times a year in the area
Smaller shares here
 Lightning Earthquakes Winter storms Heat waves top 2% Wildfire Ice storms Cold waves Landslides
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingHurricanesAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts cold waves at 11% of Burnsville’s expected losses. Cold waves do little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Burnsville’s grade

River and rain flooding is 50% of the building damage FEMA expects in Burnsville, and Burnsville’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is lower than 89% of U.S. census tracts. Strong wind adds 20%, at a rate in the top 2% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Burnsville sits
Burnsville
Least damageMiddleMost damage

A− #18 of 274 in Minnesota; lower expected damage per building than 84% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Burnsville’s residents live in 15 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding50%Strong wind20%Tornadoes19%Everything else11%

The typical Minnesota town has lower expected damage than 57% of U.S. towns; within the state, Burnsville has less expected damage per building than 94% of Minnesota towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $16.0M a year in losses across Burnsville: $10.0M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

A firm figure. It combines 15 census tracts by where Burnsville’s residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Burnsville flood? Sometimes: 16 flood claims since 1979

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Burnsville, from FEMA’s records: 0.6 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 87% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1979: 1 claim1980: 0 claims1981: 0 claims1982: 0 claims1983: 0 claims1984: 0 claims1985: 0 claims1986: 0 claims1987: 0 claims1988: 0 claims1989: 0 claims1990: 0 claims1991: 0 claims1992: 0 claims1993: 0 claims1994: 0 claims1995: 0 claims1996: 0 claims1997: 2 claims1998: 0 claims1999: 0 claims2000: 0 claims2001: 4 claims2002: 0 claims2003: 0 claims2004: 0 claims2005: 0 claims2006: 0 claims2007: 0 claims2008: 0 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 2 claims2011: 1 claim2012: 0 claims2013: 0 claims2014: 1 claim2015: 0 claims2016: 1 claim2017: 0 claims2018: 0 claims2019: 2 claims2020: 1 claim2021: 0 claims2022: 0 claims2023: 0 claims2024: 1 claim2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims199720012010
19792026
Biggest named events
  • The Severe flooding4 claims · $19K
16
paid claims since 1979
$520K
paid to owners
2
homes flooded more than once
$32K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (1)Flooded 2+ times
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Burnsville isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Dakota County.
What’s been done with FEMA grants
2buildings floodproofed
Disasters

3 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Burnsville

Disasters that paid out in Burnsville itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Burnsville), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2012Severe Storms and Flooding$29K to the City of Burnsville for repairs
  2. 2001Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, and Tornadoes$282K to the City of Burnsville for repairs4 flood claims paid that year
  3. 2000Severe Storms and Flooding$284K to the City of Burnsville for repairs
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in BurnsvilleDakota County only

Dakota County has had 13 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then floods. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Were you here?

Old photos of Burnsville after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Burnsville archive →
Next door

Burnsville and its neighbors

Burnsville has the lowest expected damage per building of the 6 graded towns here. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
BurnsvilleA−less damage than 84%river and rain flooding16
BloomingtonB+less damage than 74%river and rain flooding22
EaganB+less damage than 68%river and rain flooding6
Apple ValleyBless damage than 60%river and rain flooding3
LakevilleB−less damage than 54%river and rain flooding3
SavageB−more damage than 52%river and rain flooding2

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Burnsville faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
High winds
  • Trim dead limbs over the house and driveway.
  • Tie down trash cans and outdoor furniture.
  • Stay clear of downed lines and call the utility.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Tornado warnings
  • Pick your spot now: the lowest floor, an inside room, no windows.
  • A watch means be ready; a warning means take cover now.
  • Keep shoes and a flashlight by the bed.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Hail
  • Park in a garage or under cover when storms are forecast.
  • Stay away from windows while it falls.
  • Photograph roof and car damage for your insurer.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Burnsville

Is Burnsville at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Burnsville has lower expected damage per building than 84% of U.S. towns: A− for hazard risk, #18 of 274 in Minnesota. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (50%) and strong wind (20%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Burnsville flood?

Flood insurance has paid 16 claims in Burnsville since 1979, $520K in all, or 0.6 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 87% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 2 properties have flooded more than once. The most claims came from Severe flooding (4).

Is Burnsville in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Dakota County, 7% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.1% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Burnsville?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Burnsville’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Burnsville?

By FEMA money that reached Burnsville, Severe Storms and Flooding (2000): $284K to the City of Burnsville for repairs. By flood claims, Severe flooding: 4 paid, $19K.

Is Burnsville at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (50%), and Burnsville’s rate for it is lower than 89% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Burnsville.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Burnsville’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.