Wesley Chapel has some of the mildest winter nights among U.S. towns
Sunny July days climb to about 91°. From frosty January to warm July, readings climb 43°. It is a wet place: more rain and snow fall here than on 91% of U.S. towns. For walks and days out, the stretch from November to April brings highs of 71–83°.
A year in Wesley Chapel at a glance
Each month’s typical high and low, and what it brings.
What stands out about Wesley Chapel’s climate
Compared with towns across the U.S., with Wesley Chapel’s place in Florida beside it.
What a year in Wesley Chapel feels like
Typical highs and lows by season and by month, from NOAA’s 30-year normals.
A freeze most winters
Frost and day counts come from NOAA’s station at Saint Leo, FL, 10 miles from the city’s center point, 120 ft higher.
The 2023 USDA map puts Wesley Chapel’s center in zone 9b: the coldest night of a typical winter, averaged over 1991–2020, reaches about 28°. Plant labels use the zone; frost dates tell you when to plant.
Freezing nights by month
Average nights at or below 32°
90° days by month
Average days at 90° or more
About 53 inches of rain a year
August is the wettest month and November the driest. Rain falls on about 108 days a year. Snow is rare: about 0.0" in a normal year at Hillsborough Rvr Sp, FL, so most winters see none.
Rain + melted snow by month
Inches of water
Heating and cooling a home in Wesley Chapel
16% of the work is heating, so air conditioning is the bigger bill. No month averages under 55°.
Degree days add up how far each day’s average falls below (heating) or rises above (cooling) 65° over a year. NOAA normals at Saint Leo, FL.
Living with Wesley Chapel’s climate
What the numbers mean for a garden, a free afternoon and a bad-weather day.
Zone 9b. Frost comes about 8 winters in 10, so tender plants can often stay out through winter.
Months with highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more: January, February, March, April, November and December. 7.8 miles of trails are waiting.
Parks & trails →Of the yearly building losses FEMA expects in Wesley Chapel from natural hazards, river flooding is the largest share (41%); heat waves, cold waves, winter storms and ice storms together are 2%. Normals are averages; the hazards page covers the extremes.
Natural hazards →Wesley Chapel and its neighbors
Every town next door is within a degree of Wesley Chapel in January and July, closer than the 5 km grid can tell apart. Tap a town to see its climate.
Climates most like Wesley Chapel’s, farther away
TownRatings’ own comparison of NOAA 1991–2020 normals, not a NOAA product: places of 5,000+ at least 150 miles away, one per state, closest on January low, July high, precipitation and snow.
| Town | Jan. low | July high | Precip. | Snow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Chapel, FL | 48° | 91° | 53" | 0.0" |
| La Marque, TX | 46° | 90° | 53" | 0.2" |
| St. Marys, GA | 43° | 91° | 51" | 0.0" |
| Morgan City, LA | 44° | 91° | 60" | 0.0" |
| Hilton Head Island, SC | 41° | 90° | 49" | 0.0" |
Temperatures and rain come from NOAA’s 5 km grid, so each town gets its own value. Snow and frost-free days come from the nearest weather station, so neighbors often share them.
Warmer than it used to be
The last 30 years in Wesley Chapel averaged 1.6° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in December (+2.2°).
A bigger shift than in 65% of U.S. towns.
Change by month
The two periods overlap (1991–2000 is in both), which makes the gap a little smaller than it would be between separate periods.
How Wesley Chapel compares
Against 12,954 U.S. towns of 2,500 or more (one per 5 km climate cell), with Wesley Chapel’s place among Florida’s.
Wesley Chapel weather by month
Highs, lows and precipitation from NOAA’s grid at Wesley Chapel’s center; snow, wet days and snow on the ground from Hillsborough Rvr Sp, FL. 1991–2020 normals.
| Month | High | Low | Rain + melt | Snow | Wet days | Snow on ground | 30-yr range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 71° | 48° | 3.0" | 0.0" | 7 | 0 | 53° – 65° |
| February | 74° | 51° | 2.4" | 0.0" | 6 | 0 | 54° – 72° |
| March | 78° | 55° | 3.0" | 0.0" | 6 | 0 | 60° – 72° |
| April | 83° | 60° | 2.7" | 0.0" | 5 | 0 | 66° – 76° |
| May | 88° | 66° | 3.2" | 0.0" | 7 | 0 | 73° – 80° |
| June | 90° | 71° | 8.2" | 0.0" | 14 | 0 | 79° – 84° |
| July | 91° | 73° | 8.3" | 0.0" | 16 | 0 | 80° – 84° |
| August | 91° | 73° | 8.8" | 0.0" | 17 | 0 | 80° – 84° |
| September | 89° | 72° | 6.5" | 0.0" | 12 | 0 | 78° – 83° |
| October | 85° | 65° | 2.9" | 0.0" | 7 | 0 | 71° – 79° |
| November | 78° | 56° | 1.7" | 0.0" | 5 | 0 | 63° – 73° |
| December | 73° | 51° | 2.5" | 0.0" | 6 | 0 | 51° – 71° |
| Year | 82° | 62° | 53.2" | 0.0" | 108 | 0 |
How much a month can swing
A normal is an average. December swings the most: from 1991 to 2020 its average ranged from 51° to 71°. July is the most reliable, staying within 3°.
Where Wesley Chapel’s numbers come from
Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. How TownRatings reads climate data →
- Temperatures and precipitation: NOAA’s gridded 1991–2020 normals for the 5 km cell at Wesley Chapel’s center.
- Snow: Hillsborough Rvr Sp, FL.
- Frost, freezing nights, 90° and 100° days, heating and cooling: Saint Leo, FL, 10 miles from the city’s center point, 120 ft higher; the nearest station that passes our checks for distance, height and agreement with the grid.
- Growing zone: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map, 2023. USDA Agricultural Research Service and PRISM Group, Oregon State University, prism.oregonstate.edu/phzm, accessed 8 Oct 2026.
- Then and now: NOAA’s gridded normals for 1901–2000 at the same cell.
- Storms and extremes: FEMA National Risk Index (expected annual losses to buildings).
Common questions about Wesley Chapel’s climate
What is the weather like in Wesley Chapel?
A typical July afternoon reaches 91°, a January night drops to 48°, and snow is almost unheard of. Milder January nights than 96% of U.S. towns; hotter July afternoons than 81% of U.S. towns.
How cold does it get in Wesley Chapel in winter?
January nights average 48°. About 3 nights a year reach 32° or below. In the coldest January of the last 30 years the month averaged 53°.
How much snow does Wesley Chapel get?
About 0.0 inches in a normal winter at Hillsborough Rvr Sp, FL, so most winters see none.
How hot does it get in Wesley Chapel?
July, with a typical high of 91° and a low of 73°. About 114 days a year reach 90° (Saint Leo, FL).
When is the first and last frost in Wesley Chapel?
There is no reliable frost date: a 32° night comes in about 81% of winters at Saint Leo, FL, so most years bring a freeze but some pass without one.
What growing zone is Wesley Chapel in?
Zone 9b on the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map: the coldest night of a typical winter reaches about 28°.
What is the best time of year to visit Wesley Chapel?
By one simple rule (highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more), January, February, March, April, November and December. The rule is ours, not NOAA’s; the month table has the numbers to judge by.
Is Wesley Chapel getting warmer?
Yes: 1991–2020 averaged 1.6° warmer than 1901–2000 on NOAA’s grid. A bigger shift than 65% of U.S. towns.
Neighbors talk weather
Gardens, snow, and the best days of the year in Wesley Chapel.
Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000; USDA/PRISM 2023 hardiness zones; FEMA National Risk Index. Today’s forecast: National Weather Service.