USCG Cutter DUANE · Public domainFEMA puts Tavernier’s expected hazard damage per building above that of 97% of U.S. towns, mostly from hurricanes
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Tavernier gets a D− for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 97% of U.S. towns. Most of that expected damage is hurricanes (78%), then coastal flooding (15%). Flood insurance has paid 235 claims here since 1988.
Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded
What stands out about Tavernier’s natural hazards
From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.
What Tavernier faces
Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.
Hurricanes
Coastal flooding
River and rain flooding
Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.
What’s behind Tavernier’s grade
Hurricanes are 78% of the building damage FEMA expects in Tavernier, and Tavernier’s rate of hurricanes damage is in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts. Coastal flooding adds 15%, at a rate in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts.
D− higher expected damage per building than 97% of U.S. towns (21,298).
All of Tavernier’s residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.
In dollars, FEMA expects about $2.5M a year in losses across Tavernier: $2.3M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.
Does Tavernier flood? Yes: 235 flood claims since 1988
Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Tavernier, from FEMA’s records: 114.1 per 1,000 homes, more than 97% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.
- Hurricane Irma128 claims · $4.2M
- Hurricane Wilma38 claims · $644K
- Hurricane Georges (Keys)22 claims · $178K
Tavernier isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Monroe County.4 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Tavernier
Disasters that paid out in Tavernier itself (aid to households or repair grants to Tavernier), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.
- 2022Hurricane Ian48 households applied for aid$3K aid approved1 flood claim paid for it, $125K
- 2017Hurricane Irma2,156 households applied for aid$2.8M aid approved128 flood claims paid for it, $4.2M
- 2005Hurricane Wilma385 households applied for aid$131K aid approved38 flood claims paid for it, $644K
- 2004Tropical Storm Bonnie and Hurricane Charley19 households applied for aid$3K aid approved
Monroe County has had 35 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often hurricanes and tropical storms, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.
Also 2 FEMA wildfire suppression grants (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Monroe County, 1999–2001.
Old photos of Tavernier after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.
Add to the Tavernier archive →Tavernier and its neighbors
Tavernier is 2nd of the 3 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.
| Town | Hazard risk | Mostly (buildings) | Flood claims |
|---|---|---|---|
| Islamorada, Village of Islands | D−more damage than 96% | hurricanes | 334 |
| Tavernier | D−more damage than 97% | hurricanes | 235 |
| Key Largo | D−more damage than 98% | hurricanes | 680 |
Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.
Get ready for what Tavernier faces
A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.
- The season runs June through November and peaks from mid-August to mid-October.
- Bring in porch furniture and anything the wind can throw.
- Fill the gas tank and charge phones before the storm arrives.
- Know your evacuation zone and the way off the coast.
- Storm surge comes fast: leave when you’re told, not when the water arrives.
- Move cars to high ground before king tides and nor’easters.
- Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
- Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
- Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
- Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
- Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
- Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.
Questions about natural hazards in Tavernier
Is Tavernier at risk for natural disasters?
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Tavernier has higher expected damage per building than 97% of U.S. towns: D− for hazard risk. Most of the expected damage is hurricanes (78%) and coastal flooding (15%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.
Does Tavernier flood?
Flood insurance has paid 235 claims in Tavernier since 1988, $5.7M in all, or 114.1 per 1,000 homes, more than 97% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. The most claims came from Hurricane Irma (128).
Is Tavernier in a flood zone?
Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Monroe County, 61% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 58.2% of all homes do.
How much is flood insurance in Tavernier?
FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Tavernier’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.
What was the biggest storm in Tavernier?
By FEMA money that reached Tavernier, Hurricane Irma (2017): 2,156 households applied for aid, $2.8M approved. By flood claims, Hurricane Irma: 128 paid, $4.2M.
Is Tavernier at risk from hurricanes?
It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (78%), and Tavernier’s rate for it is in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts.
Storm stories
Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Tavernier.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Tavernier’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.