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Thomas Lyman HouseThomas Lyman House · Photo: Magicpiano · CC BY-SA 3.0
B−Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Durham · FEMA

FEMA expects about as much hazard damage per building in Durham as in the typical U.S. town, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Durham gets a B− for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 52% of U.S. towns, #48 of 155 in Connecticut. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (83%), then hurricanes (12%). Flood insurance has paid 4 claims here since 2008.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 52%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#48 of 155 in Connecticut
By hazard

What Durham faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

83%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 69% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Hurricanes

12%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 82% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 5 years in the area
Smaller shares here
 Tornadoes Earthquakes Strong wind Ice storms Wildfire Lightning Hail Winter storms Cold waves Heat waves Landslides
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Durham’s grade

River and rain flooding is 83% of the building damage FEMA expects in Durham, and Durham’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 69% of U.S. census tracts. Next is hurricanes at 12% (higher than 82% of U.S. census tracts).

Where Durham sits
Durham
Least damageMiddleMost damage

B− #48 of 155 in Connecticut; higher expected damage per building than 52% of U.S. towns (21,298).

All of Durham’s residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding83%Hurricanes12%Everything else5%

The typical Connecticut town has higher expected damage than 62% of U.S. towns; within the state, Durham has less expected damage per building than 69% of Connecticut towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $2.5M a year in losses across Durham: $2.3M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

Shared tract.All of Durham’s 7,152 residents (2020 census) live in one census tract, which it shares with Durham CDP (3,771 residents). FEMA publishes its model by tract, so the rate and the hazard mix are the tract’s, the same for all of them. The flood claims below are the town’s own.
A shared figure. The grade describes the whole tract, not each street in it, and FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Durham flood? Rarely: 4 flood claims since 2008

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Durham, from FEMA’s records: 1.3 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 72% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
2008: 2 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 0 claims2011: 2 claims2012: 0 claims2013: 0 claims2014: 0 claims2015: 0 claims2016: 0 claims2017: 0 claims2018: 0 claims2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 0 claims2022: 0 claims2023: 0 claims2024: 0 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims20082011
20082026
4
paid claims since 2008
$24K
paid to owners
1
homes flooded more than once
$6K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (0)Flooded 2+ times
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Durham isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: the county.
Next door

Durham and its neighbors

Durham is 2nd of the 9 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
KillingworthBless damage than 63%river and rain flooding5
DurhamB−more damage than 52%river and rain flooding4
WallingfordB−more damage than 54%river and rain flooding104
MiddlefieldCmore damage than 65%river and rain flooding2
MadisonCmore damage than 66%river and rain flooding448
HaddamCmore damage than 67%river and rain flooding43
North BranfordCmore damage than 68%river and rain flooding55
GuilfordCmore damage than 70%river and rain flooding317
MiddletownC−more damage than 82%river and rain flooding46
Northford—a Census area inside a town; graded with the town

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Durham faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Hurricane season
  • The season runs June through November and peaks from mid-August to mid-October.
  • Bring in porch furniture and anything the wind can throw.
  • Fill the gas tank and charge phones before the storm arrives.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Durham

Is Durham at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Durham has higher expected damage per building than 52% of U.S. towns: B− for hazard risk, #48 of 155 in Connecticut. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (83%) and hurricanes (12%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Durham flood?

Flood insurance has paid 4 claims in Durham since 2008, $24K in all, or 1.3 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 72% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 1 properties have flooded more than once.

Is Durham in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In the county, 42% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 4.1% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Durham?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Durham’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

Is Durham at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (83%), and Durham’s rate for it is higher than 69% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Durham.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Durham’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.