Photo: Carol M. Highsmith · Public domainMore hazard damage per building is expected in Mancos than in 89% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Mancos gets a D for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 89% of U.S. towns. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (67%), then wildfire (30%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.
Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded
What Mancos faces
Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.
River and rain flooding
Wildfire
Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.
What’s behind Mancos’ grade
River and rain flooding is 67% of the building damage FEMA expects in Mancos, and Mancos’ rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 89% of U.S. census tracts. Wildfire adds 30%, at a rate in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts.
D higher expected damage per building than 89% of U.S. towns (21,298).
All of Mancos’ residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.
In dollars, FEMA expects about $1.4M a year in losses across Mancos: $824K to buildings, the rest to people and crops.
Does Mancos flood? No paid flood claims on record
FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Mancos. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.
Mancos isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Montezuma County.The storms Mancos remembers
None of the 4 disasters declared for Montezuma County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Mancos itself in FEMA’s records, so these are its biggest flood-claim years.
Montezuma County has had 4 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then floods. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.
Also 1 FEMA wildfire suppression grant (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Montezuma County, 2012–2012.
Get ready for what Mancos faces
A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.
- Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
- Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
- Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
- Clear dead leaves and brush within 5 feet of the house.
- Sign up for local alerts and know two ways out.
- Keep N95 masks for smoky days.
- Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
- Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
- Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.
Questions about natural hazards in Mancos
Is Mancos at risk for natural disasters?
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Mancos has higher expected damage per building than 89% of U.S. towns: D for hazard risk. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (67%) and wildfire (30%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.
Is Mancos in a flood zone?
Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Montezuma County, 11% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.4% of all homes do.
How much is flood insurance in Mancos?
FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Mancos’ flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.
Is Mancos at risk from river and rain flooding?
It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (67%), and Mancos’ rate for it is higher than 89% of U.S. census tracts.
Storm stories
Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Mancos.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Mancos’ residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.