Photo: Canadian2006 · CC BY-SA 3.0Hazard risk in Warman is lower than in 92% of Canadian towns
Wildfire barely registers for Warman, at 0% of the land within 25 km since 1986 (0.000% a year). Earthquakes matter little: NRCan’s model puts building losses at $0.006 a year per $1,000 of value, against $0.030 for the typical town. Warman’s survey area, 6.6% over the radon guideline, is close to the typical town’s 6.6%. Hazard risk gives Warman a grade of A, from earthquakes and radon alone.
What stands out about Warman’s hazards
Four national sources, each read for Warman: earthquakes, radon, past fires and flood studies.
What Warman faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Wildfire
Earthquakes
Radon
Flood study
Hazard risk in Warman: A
For Warman, Risk will be the average of earthquakes and radon, with wildfire added only if it makes the average worse.
Its place: #5 of 104 in Saskatchewan and #291 of 2,589 Canadian towns.
How sure: The seismic figure is a long-run average from NRCan’s model, not a prediction. Only 76 homes were tested in the survey area, so the radon share is rough. Small fires and grass fires are largely missing from the national burned-area record.
Wildfire is rare near Warman: 0% of the land within 25 km burned since 1986, 0% within 5 km
Past fire around Warman’s homes, from the national burned-area record, with the fuel within 5 km.
Around Warman fire takes 0.000% of the land in a typical year, the typical Canadian town 0.000%, which is low.
Little near Warman’s homes can carry a forest fire; only 0% of the land within 5 km is forest fuel, and 0% within 25 km.
Shares of land within 5 and 25 km of populated blocks: burned at least once in 1986–2025 (CWFIS burned-area composite), forest fuel and grass (fire behaviour fuel types, 2026, 250 m grid).
Burn rate a year, towns in Saskatchewan · highest of 104
Little or nothing burns around Warman in a typical year; 54 of the 104 towns in Saskatchewan share that, and La Loche leads at 1.94%.
Each bar: the yearly average share of land within 25 km of a town’s homes that burned, 1986–2025 (CWFIS); the seven highest towns of 2,500 people or more.
92% of Canada’s 2,610 towns are in the low band and 7.5% above it; Warman is among the many where the yearly burn rate rounds to zero.
Bands of the yearly burn rate: low under 0.05%, moderate under 0.25%, high under 1%, very high 1% or more; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Canadian Wildland Fire Information System: National Burned Area Composite 1986–2025 and fire behaviour fuel types (2026), Natural Resources Canada. Measured within 25 km and 5 km of each populated dissemination area; past fire, not a forecast.
The flood map inventory lists nothing for Warman
What Canada’s Flood Map Inventory lists for Warman: who studied flooding and where to see their maps.
No flood study on the national inventory covers Warman; ask the municipality, which is the authority for its flood maps.
Towns with a flood study on file
Warman has no flood study on file; only 55% of towns in Saskatchewan do, against 58% across Canada.
NRCan Canada Flood Map Inventory: a study footprint touching the town’s boundary; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Flood mapping is shown for Warman to be opened and checked, never turned into a grade.
The inventory’s own caution (NRCan): “The Canada Flood Map (CFM) does not include every flood hazard map in Canada and may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. It should not be relied upon as the official source of flood mapping information. Furthermore, if a map appears to be missing, this does not necessarily mean that the area has never been mapped. For the official version of a map, updated information, or confirmation of applicable regulations, please contact the local authority responsible for flood mapping.”
Low seismic risk in Warman: $0.006 per $1,000 of buildings a year
Expected yearly building losses from earthquakes, from Natural Resources Canada’s model.
Shaking costs the typical town $0.030 a year; in Warman it is only $0.006, 0.2 times as much.
Shaking damage a year per $1,000 of building value
Shaking damage around Warman runs at $0.006 a year, near the $0.006 of the typical town in Saskatchewan; Weyburn has $0.033.
NRCan seismic risk model (2022): mean yearly building loss per $1,000 of value; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Earthquakes cost less around Warman than in 88% of Canada’s 2,611 towns.
Each column: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more in that range of yearly loss per $1,000 (NRCan, 2022).
The model counts damage to Warman’s buildings and their occupants from shaking only: not liquefaction, landslides, tsunami or fires after a quake.
Natural Resources Canada, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model (2022), by census subdivision (2016 boundaries; a few 2021 subdivisions take their residents’ mean).
Radon about average around Warman: 6.6% over the guideline
Long-term radon tests in homes across the survey area, against Health Canada’s guideline. · Area-wide: radon tests, counted over the Saskatoon RHA
Warman’s area, at 6.6%, is close to the 6.6% of the typical Canadian town.
Tested homes over 200 Bq/m³
Over 600 Bq/m³
Against the typical town in Saskatchewan (9.1%), the area around Warman has fewer high tests: 6.6%.
Health Canada radon survey (2009–2011), by 2007 health region; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Between 5% and 10% of tests over the guideline: Warman, and 37% of Canada’s 2,611 towns; 26% are higher.
Each bar: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more whose survey area had that share of tests over 200 Bq/m³.
One home in Warman can be high while next door is low; a three-month test settles it.
Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes (2009–2011).
Weather and fire alerts for Warman
Alerts for Warman come from Environment and Climate Change Canada and, for emergencies, Alert Ready.
| Alert | What it means |
|---|---|
| Warning | Severe weather is happening or about to: act now. |
| Watch | Conditions favour severe weather: be ready. |
| Advisory | Weather that is less severe but could disrupt the day. |
| Special weather statement | Unusual weather worth knowing about. |
| Special air quality statement | Poor air, often wildfire smoke. |
Evacuation orders for Warman come from the municipality or the province, while CWFIS maps fire danger every day.
Weather alerts (ECCC) · Alert Ready · Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Hazards in the places around Warman
Wildfire band, earthquake risk, radon and flood studies for each place nearby.
| Town | Wildfire | Quake $/1,000 | Radon | Flood study |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warman | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | None listed |
| Osler 1,473 · 6.1 km | Low | $0.005 | 6.6% | None listed |
| Martensville 11,808 · 6.6 km | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | None listed |
| Dalmeny 1,900 · 13 km | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | None listed |
| Silverwood Heights 8,153 · 16 km | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | Yes |
| Lawson Heights Urban Centre 3,622 · 17 km | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | Yes |
| Evergreen 16,088 · 17 km | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | Yes |
Fire is no heavier anywhere nearby than around Warman (low), with Osler next at low.
Radon is the survey area’s figure, so neighbours in one area share it.
Get ready for what Warman faces
Practical steps for Warman’s hazards, most pressing first.
- Test for three months in winter.
- Over 200 Bq/m³: fix it.
- Kits are cheap; pros test too.
- Never drive through floodwater.
- Move papers and medicines upstairs.
- Ask whether your street is mapped.
- Clear needles and wood nearby.
- Keep a grab-and-go bag ready.
- In smoke, stay in; filter air.
- Has it had a radon test?
- Ask the municipality for flood maps.
- Are flood and wildfire insured?
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Flood studies aren’t flood zones. A study’s area can be a whole watershed or province, so being on the inventory says a map exists, not that a home in Warman floods.
- Wildfire counts one way. The wildfire figure is the share of land within 25 km of Warman’s homes burned each year from 1986 to 2025, past fire rather than a forecast, and it can only lower Risk.
- Earthquakes are modelled. Shaking damage is modelled from the ground, the buildings and the odds of each quake, and published for whole subdivisions such as Warman’s.
- Radon is a survey. The radon share comes from about 14,000 long-term home tests in 2009–2011, pooled for now by the 2007 health region Warman sits in.
Questions about flooding and hazards in Warman
How is Warman’s Hazard risk Grade worked out?
Warman’s Hazard risk grade is A, built on earthquakes and radon with a one-sided wildfire input.
Does Warman flood?
The inventory has 0 studies for Warman, and an empty list isn’t a clean bill: the municipality holds any flood maps.
Is radon a problem in Warman?
The area’s survey found 6.6% of 76 tested homes above Health Canada’s guideline, so a three-month test is worth doing in Warman.
Is Warman at risk of wildfire?
Hardly at all on record: 0% of the land within 25 km of Warman since 1986, a low band, though small grass fires aren’t mapped.
How big is the earthquake risk in Warman?
NRCan’s model expects shaking to cost buildings in Warman $0.006 a year for every $1,000 of their value, on average over many years.
Seismic risk: Natural Resources Canada. Radon: Health Canada. Wildfire: Canadian Wildland Fire Information System. Flood studies: Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.
Sources: NRCan, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model 2022 · Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes · CWFIS, National Burned Area Composite and FBP fuel types · NRCan, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).