Photo: ArmedCalculator · CC0Hazard risk in Confederation Park is lower than in 91% of Canadian towns
Little of the land around Confederation Park has burned: 0.2% within 25 km since 1986, or 0.006% a year. Shaking is less of a worry than in most places, at $0.006 a year per $1,000 of building value ($0.030 typical). Confederation Park’s survey area, 6.6% over the radon guideline, is close to the typical town’s 6.6%. Confederation Park grades A for hazard risk, with wildfire counted against it.
What stands out about Confederation Park’s hazards
Four national sources, each read for Confederation Park: earthquakes, radon, past fires and flood studies.
What Confederation Park faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Wildfire
Earthquakes
Radon
Flood study
Hazard risk in Confederation Park: A
For Confederation Park, Risk will be the average of earthquakes and radon, with wildfire added only if it makes the average worse.
Its place: #9 of 104 in Saskatchewan and #299 of 2,589 Canadian towns.
How sure: The seismic figure is a long-run average from NRCan’s model, not a prediction. The radon share rests on 76 home tests in the survey area, so a few homes move it. Small fires and grass fires are largely missing from the national burned-area record.
Few fires near Confederation Park: 0% within 5 km, 0.2% within 25 km
Fires mapped since 1986 around where Confederation Park’s residents live, and the fuel next to their homes.
The land within 25 km of Confederation Park burns at 0.006% a year on average, the low band; the typical Canadian town: 0.000%.
Since 1986 the nearest fire to Confederation Park’s homes came within 23 km, never inside 5 km.
Around Confederation Park the forest is thin or far off: 0.1% of the land within 5 km and 0% within 25 km is forest fuel.
Shares of land within 5 and 25 km of populated blocks: burned at least once in 1986–2025 (CWFIS burned-area composite), forest fuel and grass (fire behaviour fuel types, 2026, 250 m grid).
Burn rate a year, towns in Saskatchewan · highest of 104
At 0.006% a year, Confederation Park ranks 40th of the 104 towns in Saskatchewan; La Loche leads at 1.94%.
Each bar: the yearly average share of land within 25 km of a town’s homes that burned, 1986–2025 (CWFIS); the seven highest towns of 2,500 people or more.
7.5% of Canada’s 2,610 towns burn fast enough to rank moderate or above; Confederation Park stays low, with 92%.
Bands of the yearly burn rate: low under 0.05%, moderate under 0.25%, high under 1%, very high 1% or more; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Canadian Wildland Fire Information System: National Burned Area Composite 1986–2025 and fire behaviour fuel types (2026), Natural Resources Canada. Measured within 25 km and 5 km of each populated dissemination area; past fire, not a forecast.
The flood map inventory lists nothing for Confederation Park
Flood studies whose area touches Confederation Park, from NRCan’s inventory, each linked to its owner.
An empty entry for Confederation Park on the inventory isn’t proof of safety; ask locally for flood maps.
Towns with a flood study on file
Only 55% of towns in Saskatchewan have a flood study, short of Canada’s 58%, and Confederation Park is not among them.
NRCan Canada Flood Map Inventory: a study footprint touching the town’s boundary; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Listed, not scored: a flood study proves a map exists, not that Confederation Park floods.
The inventory’s own caution (NRCan): “The Canada Flood Map (CFM) does not include every flood hazard map in Canada and may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. It should not be relied upon as the official source of flood mapping information. Furthermore, if a map appears to be missing, this does not necessarily mean that the area has never been mapped. For the official version of a map, updated information, or confirmation of applicable regulations, please contact the local authority responsible for flood mapping.”
Earthquakes cost buildings in Confederation Park just $0.006 per $1,000 a year
NRCan’s seismic risk model: the damage shaking is expected to do to buildings each year, on average over many years.
Shaking costs the typical town $0.030 a year; in Confederation Park it is only $0.006, 0.2 times as much.
Figures for earthquake risk are published for the city of Saskatoon as a whole, not for Confederation Park alone.
Shaking damage a year per $1,000 of building value
Typical for its province: Confederation Park at $0.006 beside a median in Saskatchewan of $0.006, with Weyburn on top at $0.033.
NRCan seismic risk model (2022): mean yearly building loss per $1,000 of value; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
88% of Canada’s 2,611 towns expect more shaking damage than Confederation Park.
Each column: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more in that range of yearly loss per $1,000 (NRCan, 2022).
The loss is to Confederation Park’s buildings alone, from ground shaking; infrastructure and secondary hazards are left out.
Natural Resources Canada, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model (2022), by census subdivision (2016 boundaries; a few 2021 subdivisions take their residents’ mean).
6.6% of homes tested around Confederation Park are over the radon guideline
Health Canada’s survey of long-term home tests: the share above the 200 Bq/m³ guideline. · Shared with the rest of the Saskatoon RHA: radon tests
Around Confederation Park, 6.6% of tested homes topped the guideline, near the typical Canadian town’s 6.6%.
Tested homes over 200 Bq/m³
Over 600 Bq/m³
Against the typical town in Saskatchewan (9.1%), the area around Confederation Park has fewer high tests: 6.6%.
Health Canada radon survey (2009–2011), by 2007 health region; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Between 5% and 10% of tests over the guideline: Confederation Park, and 37% of Canada’s 2,611 towns; 26% are higher.
Each bar: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more whose survey area had that share of tests over 200 Bq/m³.
The share describes the area, not a house: in Confederation Park as anywhere, test to be sure.
Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes (2009–2011).
Weather and fire alerts for Confederation Park
Alerts for Confederation Park come from Environment and Climate Change Canada and, for emergencies, Alert Ready.
| Alert | What it means |
|---|---|
| Warning | Severe weather is happening or about to: act now. |
| Watch | Conditions favour severe weather: be ready. |
| Advisory | Weather that is less severe but could disrupt the day. |
| Special weather statement | Unusual weather worth knowing about. |
| Special air quality statement | Poor air, often wildfire smoke. |
Evacuation orders for Confederation Park come from the municipality or the province, while CWFIS maps fire danger every day.
Weather alerts (ECCC) · Alert Ready · Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Hazards in the places around Confederation Park
The same four hazards for the places next door.
| Town | Wildfire | Quake $/1,000 | Radon | Flood study |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Confederation Park | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | None listed |
| Pacific Heights 3,770 · 0.6 km | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | None listed |
| Dundonald 2,855 · 0.9 km | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | None listed |
| Blairmore Suburban Centre 7,411 · 1.1 km | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | None listed |
| Massey Place 6,561 · 1.4 km | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | None listed |
| Fairhaven 6,536 · 2.0 km | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | None listed |
| Parkridge 4,518 · 2.2 km | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | None listed |
Fairhaven burns a little more than Confederation Park, in the same low band (low here).
Radon is the survey area’s figure, so neighbours in one area share it.
Get ready for what Confederation Park faces
Practical steps for Confederation Park’s hazards, most pressing first.
- Test for three months in winter.
- Over 200 Bq/m³: fix it.
- Kits are cheap; pros test too.
- Never drive through floodwater.
- Move papers and medicines upstairs.
- Ask whether your street is mapped.
- Clear needles and wood nearby.
- Keep a grab-and-go bag ready.
- In smoke, stay in; filter air.
- Has it had a radon test?
- Ask the municipality for flood maps.
- Are flood and wildfire insured?
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Flood studies aren’t flood zones. A study’s area can be a whole watershed or province, so being on the inventory says a map exists, not that a home in Confederation Park floods.
- Wildfire counts one way. The wildfire figure is the share of land within 25 km of Confederation Park’s homes burned each year from 1986 to 2025, past fire rather than a forecast, and it can only lower Risk.
- Earthquakes are modelled. Shaking damage is modelled from the ground, the buildings and the odds of each quake, and published for whole subdivisions such as Confederation Park’s.
- Radon is a survey. The radon share comes from about 14,000 long-term home tests in 2009–2011, pooled for now by the 2007 health region Confederation Park sits in.
Questions about flooding and hazards in Confederation Park
Is Confederation Park at risk of wildfire?
Some, but Confederation Park’s low band (0.2% of nearby land burned since 1986, latest 2023) is short of the level that counts.
How big is the earthquake risk in Confederation Park?
Expected earthquake damage in Confederation Park comes to $0.006 a year for each $1,000 that buildings are worth.
How is Confederation Park’s Hazard risk Grade worked out?
Hazard risk gives Confederation Park A, weighing earthquakes and radon and counting wildfire only against it.
Is radon a problem in Confederation Park?
The area’s survey found 6.6% of 76 tested homes above Health Canada’s guideline, so a three-month test is worth doing in Confederation Park.
Does Confederation Park flood?
The inventory has 0 studies for Confederation Park, and an empty list isn’t a clean bill: the municipality holds any flood maps.
Seismic risk: Natural Resources Canada. Radon: Health Canada. Wildfire: Canadian Wildland Fire Information System. Flood studies: Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.
Sources: NRCan, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model 2022 · Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes · CWFIS, National Burned Area Composite and FBP fuel types · NRCan, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).