Photo: Masterhatch · CC BY-SA 4.0Carlyle records more crime per resident than 87% of Canadian towns
Against usual levels of 86.4 and 62.8, violent and non-violent offences here reach 169.7 and 109.8. The local count comes to 28.5 violent incidents and 50.3 incidents of property crime per 1,000 people each year, with 12.0 and 31.2 in the typical Canadian town of 2,500+. From 2023 to 2025, crime the police covering Carlyle reported put it at D for safety.
Statistics Canada, police-reported crime, 2023–2025 means. The index weighs each crime by its seriousness; rates are incidents per 1,000 residents a year. Area behind the crime severity, crime rate and incident counts figures: the Carlyle detachment area.
What stands out about safety in Carlyle
Mischief: high for a town its size
Carlyle records 23.8 incidents of mischief per 1,000 residents a year, against 4.2 in the typical town among Canadian towns of 2,500 people or more. By type ↓
Lighter than in 2023
From 124.4 in 2023 to 99.5 in 2025: that is Carlyle’s index, against 70.6 and 62.9 for the typical Canadian town of 2,500+. Year by year ↓
More crime solved
For Canadian towns of 2,500 people or more the typical clearance rate is 34%; Carlyle’s police clear 48%, 70% of violent crime and 36% of the rest. Questions ↓
Close to Saskatchewan’s typical town
Carlyle’s index of 126.1 compares with 118.6 for the typical town in Saskatchewan. Towns its size ↓
Written from Statistics Canada’s police-reported crime by police service and detachment, 2023–2025. Figures are what police recorded, not convictions.
Carlyle: D for safety, and why
The grade weighs the Crime Severity Index and its violent half, averaged over 2023–2025, against every Canadian town and city neighbourhood of 1,000 people or more.
The Crime Severity Index and its two halves, beside the typical figure for Canadian towns of 2,500 people or more.
What police record in Carlyle, by type
Against the typical town its size, Carlyle runs highest on mischief (23.8 per 1,000 against 4.2), break and enter (6.7 per 1,000 against 2.5) and assault (15.1 per 1,000 against 6.7). Theft under $5,000 sits below it.
Every Statistics Canada violation line
| Violation | Incidents a year | Per 1,000 | Cleared |
|---|---|---|---|
| Homicide | 0.7 | 0.09 | — |
| Sexual violations against children | 5.7 | 0.8 | 47% |
| Assaults against a peace officer | 5.3 | 0.7 | 100% |
| Firearms: use, discharge, pointing | 2.3 | 0.3 | — |
| Robbery | 0.3 | 0.04 | — |
| Forcible confinement or kidnapping | 1.3 | 0.2 | — |
| Other violent violations | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| Breaking and entering | 50 | 6.7 | 23% |
| Possession of stolen property | 6.3 | 0.8 | 52% |
| Theft of a motor vehicle | 16.3 | 2.2 | 18% |
| Theft over $5,000 | 7 | 0.9 | 4% |
| Theft under $5,000 | 67.7 | 9 | 21% |
| Mischief | 179 | 23.8 | 39% |
| Weapons violations | 8.3 | 1.1 | 88% |
| Administration of justice violations | 113.3 | 15.1 | 85% |
| Other Criminal Code violations | 9.7 | 1.3 | 65% |
| Drug violations | 9.3 | 1.2 | 40% |
| Impaired driving | 44.7 | 5.9 | 67% |
| Failing to stop or remain | 0 | 0 | — |
Statistics Canada’s violation groups for the whole police service or detachment, incidents a year its own. Cleared: incidents solved by a charge or otherwise, as a share of those reported.
Incidents per 1,000 residents a year, 2023–2025 means, against the typical figure for Canadian towns of 2,500 people or more.
From 2023 to 2025, Carlyle’s index dropped 20%
Crime Severity Index
2024 was the peak (154.5) and 2025 the trough (99.5). For the typical Canadian town of 2,500+, 2023 gave 70.6 and 2025 gave 62.9.
Every year as a table
| Year | Carlyle | Typical town of 2,500+ |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 99.5 | 62.9 |
| 2024 | 154.5 | 68.5 |
| 2023 | 124.4 | 70.6 |
Statistics Canada, Crime Severity Index by police service, each year as published. Typical: the median of Canadian towns of 2,500 people or more.
The Crime Severity Index of the police covering Carlyle, each year, against the typical Canadian town of 2,500+.
The police area Carlyle is part of, 7,560 residents, recorded about 210 violent incidents a year (2023–2025)
Violent incidents per 1,000 a year, 2023–2025
Property crimes per 1,000 a year, 2023–2025
Statistics Canada counts actual incidents; those police record as unfounded are listed apart and kept out of its crime rates and severity index. Each incident is filed under its most serious violation, which the survey sets partly by the maximum penalty.
And about 380 property crimes, plus 220 other violations, a year (2023–2025 average). Each dot is one resident; each coloured dot, one incident a year at the area’s rates.
Crime in the places around Carlyle
| Town | People | Severity index | Violent index | Safety |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlyle | 1,571 | 126.1 | 169.7 | D |
| Redvers (41 km) | 1,068 | 126.1 | 169.7 | D |
| Oxbow (45 km) | 1,290 | 57.6 | 45 | B |
| Kipling (59 km) | 1,091 | 163.5 | 272.2 | D |
| Carnduff (61 km) | 1,139 | 57.6 | 45 | B |
| Estevan No. 5 (70 km) | 1,293 | 76.7 | 48.9 | C+ |
Of 4 places nearby with their own figures, 3 come in under Carlyle. Oxbow, 44.7 km away, is the nearest lower one, at 57.6 to 126.1. One neighbour is on the same police service or detachment, so it shares the figure and isn’t compared here.
Each place’s police figures, 2023–2025 means. Carlyle has few close neighbours with figures, so the list reaches 41–70 km out.
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Reading the number. A reading of 100 is the whole country in 2006. Half of that, 50, means half the severity per resident.
- Solved cases. The clearance rate is the share of incidents police solve, by a charge or otherwise, weighted by seriousness like the index. It isn’t a conviction rate.
- How serious, not how safe. One robbery outweighs a run of minor thefts here, since every crime counts by the sentences courts give it. Statistics Canada adds: “The CSI is not an indicator of overall safety and should be interpreted in the broader community context.”
- Town and surroundings together. An RCMP or OPP detachment reports one set of figures for everywhere it polices, so Carlyle’s are shared with its surroundings.
Questions about safety in Carlyle
Is Carlyle safe?
Averaged over 2023–2025, the Crime Severity Index for Carlyle comes to 126.1. Per 1,000 residents a year, police logged 28.5 violent incidents and 50.3 property crimes. The typical figure for Canadian towns of 2,500 people or more is 67.2.
What is the most common crime in Carlyle?
Top of the list is mischief (23.8 per 1,000 residents a year); other Criminal Code offences, at 19.8, and assault, at 15.1, follow.
Is crime going up in Carlyle?
Down 20%: 124.4 in 2023, 99.5 in 2025.
How much of Carlyle’s crime do police solve?
Weighted by seriousness, police cleared 48% of crime (70% of violent crime, 36% of the rest). The typical Canadian town of 2,500+ clears 34%.
Whose figures are these?
Those of the police serving Carlyle together with its neighbours or the countryside around it.
Source: Statistics Canada, police-reported crime by police service and detachment, 2023–2025 (Statistics Canada Open Licence); TownRatings calculation.
Sources: Statistics Canada, Crime severity index and weighted clearance rates, police services (tables 35-10-0186 to 0190, 0061, 0063, 0064), 2023–2025 · Statistics Canada, Incident-based crime statistics by detailed violations, police services (35-10-0178 to 0185) · Safety Grade: TownRatings calculation. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).