Photo: busand2003 · CC BY 3.0New Carlisle has less crime per resident than 73% of Canadian towns
Its violent half comes to 75.4 and its non-violent half to 37, where the norm is 86.4 and 62.8. On the record of crime the police covering New Carlisle reported from 2023 to 2025, it takes B+ for safety. Even so, each year brought 12.4 violent incidents and 11.6 incidents of property crime for every 1,000 residents (12.0 and 31.2 in the typical Canadian town of 2,500+). The index rose from 45 in 2023 to 49.7 in 2025.
Statistics Canada, police-reported crime, 2023–2025 means. The index weighs each crime by its seriousness; rates are incidents per 1,000 residents a year. Measured across the Avignon/Bonaventure MRC: crime severity, crime rate and incident counts.
What stands out about safety in New Carlisle
Above-typical clearance
Police cleared 52% of New Carlisle’s crime, weighted by seriousness (66% of violent crime, 41% of the rest), against 34% across Canadian towns of 2,500 people or more. Questions ↓
Violent crime leads the index
Set beside the typical Canadian town of 2,500+, New Carlisle’s two halves part ways: 75.4 for violence (typical 86.4) and 37 for the rest (typical 62.8). By type ↓
Close to Quebec’s typical town
Set among Quebec’s towns, whose median is 56.1, New Carlisle scores 47.7. Towns its size ↓
Written from Statistics Canada’s police-reported crime by police service and detachment, 2023–2025. Figures are what police recorded, not convictions.
What’s behind New Carlisle’s grade
The grade weighs the Crime Severity Index and its violent half, averaged over 2023–2025, against every Canadian town and city neighbourhood of 1,000 people or more.
The Crime Severity Index and its two halves, beside the typical figure for Canadian towns of 2,500 people or more.
New Carlisle, year by year
Crime Severity Index
The latest year was its heaviest: 2025, at 49.7, with 2023 the lightest at 45. Over 2023–2025, the typical Canadian town of 2,500+ moved from 70.6 to 62.9.
Every year as a table
| Year | New Carlisle | Typical town of 2,500+ |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 49.7 | 62.9 |
| 2024 | 48.4 | 68.5 |
| 2023 | 45 | 70.6 |
Statistics Canada, Crime Severity Index by police service, each year as published. Typical: the median of Canadian towns of 2,500 people or more.
The Crime Severity Index of the police covering New Carlisle, each year, against the typical Canadian town of 2,500+.
The police area New Carlisle is part of, 30,900 residents, recorded about 380 violent incidents a year (2023–2025)
Violent incidents per 1,000 a year, 2023–2025
Property crimes per 1,000 a year, 2023–2025
Statistics Canada counts actual incidents; those police record as unfounded are listed apart and kept out of its crime rates and severity index. Each incident is filed under its most serious violation, which the survey sets partly by the maximum penalty.
And about 360 property crimes, plus 230 other violations, a year (2023–2025 average). Each dot is one resident; each coloured dot, one incident a year at the area’s rates.
New Carlisle’s crime by kind
Assault sits below it.
Every Statistics Canada violation line
| Violation | Incidents a year | Per 1,000 | Cleared |
|---|---|---|---|
| Homicide | 0 | 0 | — |
| Sexual violations against children | 21 | 0.7 | 65% |
| Assaults against a peace officer | 4.7 | 0.2 | — |
| Firearms: use, discharge, pointing | 5.7 | 0.2 | 58% |
| Robbery | 1.7 | 0.05 | — |
| Forcible confinement or kidnapping | 3 | 0.10 | — |
| Other violent violations | 10.7 | 0.3 | 59% |
| Breaking and entering | 56.3 | 1.8 | 33% |
| Possession of stolen property | 4.3 | 0.1 | — |
| Theft of a motor vehicle | 35 | 1.1 | 24% |
| Theft over $5,000 | 6 | 0.2 | 38% |
| Theft under $5,000 | 87.7 | 2.8 | 43% |
| Mischief | 70.7 | 2.3 | 33% |
| Weapons violations | 7.7 | 0.2 | 74% |
| Administration of justice violations | 82 | 2.7 | 88% |
| Other Criminal Code violations | 17 | 0.6 | 66% |
| Drug violations | 34.3 | 1.1 | 59% |
| Impaired driving | 36 | 1.2 | 83% |
| Failing to stop or remain | 30 | 1 | 21% |
Statistics Canada’s violation groups for the whole police service or detachment, incidents a year its own. Cleared: incidents solved by a charge or otherwise, as a share of those reported.
Incidents per 1,000 residents a year, 2023–2025 means, against the typical figure for Canadian towns of 2,500 people or more.
Crime in the places around New Carlisle
| Town | People | Severity index | Violent index | Safety |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Carlisle | 1,331 | 47.7 | 75.4 | B+ |
| Paspébiac | 3,132 | 47.7 | 75.4 | B+ |
| Bonaventure | 2,719 | 47.7 | 75.4 | B+ |
Its police also cover 2 neighbouring places, which carry the same index and are left out above.
Each place’s police figures, 2023–2025 means.
What this data can and can’t tell you
- The clearance rate. A crime is cleared when police lay or recommend a charge, or solve it another way; the weighted rate counts serious crimes for more.
- Severity, weighed. Each incident counts by its seriousness, judged from court sentences, and the total is set per resident. As Statistics Canada puts it, “The CSI is not an indicator of overall safety and should be interpreted in the broader community context.”
- One figure for the MRC. The Sûreté du Québec reports by MRC, so the figures cover every municipality it polices there, New Carlisle among them.
- What 100 means. Figures are relative to one fixed point, Canada in 2006 at 100, rather than to this year’s national number.
Questions about safety in New Carlisle
Is New Carlisle safe?
New Carlisle scores 47.7 on Statistics Canada’s Crime Severity Index (2023–2025 mean), where the typical figure for Canadian towns of 2,500 people or more is 67.2; per 1,000 residents a year that is 12.4 violent incidents and 11.6 property crimes.
What is the most common crime in New Carlisle?
Police record assault most, 5.7 per 1,000 residents a year, ahead of other Criminal Code offences (3.8) and theft under $5,000 (2.8).
Is crime going up in New Carlisle?
It went up 11% between 2023 and 2025, from 45 to 49.7.
How much of New Carlisle’s crime do police solve?
Police solve 66% of violent crime and 41% of everything else, 52% overall once each crime is weighted by seriousness, against 34% for the typical Canadian town of 2,500+.
Whose figures are these?
A police service or detachment that covers New Carlisle and other places, so the figures are shared.
Source: Statistics Canada, police-reported crime by police service and detachment, 2023–2025 (Statistics Canada Open Licence); TownRatings calculation.
Sources: Statistics Canada, Crime severity index and weighted clearance rates, police services (tables 35-10-0186 to 0190, 0061, 0063, 0064), 2023–2025 · Statistics Canada, Incident-based crime statistics by detailed violations, police services (35-10-0178 to 0185) · Safety Grade: TownRatings calculation. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).