Photo: busand2003 · CC BY 3.0Around New Carlisle, 25% of tested homes have radon above the guideline
Since 1986 almost nothing has burned near New Carlisle: 0% of the land within 25 km, or 0.000% a year. Shaking is about as much of a worry in New Carlisle as in most places, at $0.035 a year per $1,000 of building value ($0.030 typical). New Carlisle grades C− for hazard risk; wildfire is low here, so it earns no credit.
What stands out about New Carlisle’s hazards
For New Carlisle, from NRCan’s seismic model, Health Canada’s radon survey, the national burned-area record and the flood map inventory.
What New Carlisle faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Wildfire
Earthquakes
Radon
Flood study
New Carlisle grades C− for hazard risk
Risk averages earthquakes and radon; wildfire joins only where it pulls the average down, so a town like New Carlisle with little fire nearby would get no credit for it.
How sure: The seismic figure is a long-run average from NRCan’s model, not a prediction. The burned-area record misses fires under about 10 ha and most grass and farm fires.
Few fires near New Carlisle: 0% within 5 km, 0% within 25 km
Past fire around New Carlisle’s homes, from the national burned-area record, with the fuel within 5 km.
The land within 25 km of New Carlisle burns at 0.000% a year on average, the low band; the typical Canadian town: 0.000%.
The 5 km ring around New Carlisle’s homes is clear of burns since 1986, the nearest 10 km out.
Within 5 km of New Carlisle, 69% of the land is forest fuel; widen the ring to 25 km and it is 80%.
Shares of land within 5 and 25 km of populated blocks: burned at least once in 1986–2025 (CWFIS burned-area composite), forest fuel and grass (fire behaviour fuel types, 2026, 250 m grid).
Burn rate a year, towns in Quebec · highest of 514
Fire has taken almost none of the land around New Carlisle, as for 145 of the 514 towns in Quebec; Mistissini tops the list at 0.31%.
Each bar: the yearly average share of land within 25 km of a town’s homes that burned, 1986–2025 (CWFIS); the seven highest towns of 2,500 people or more.
Measured against 2,610 towns, New Carlisle is in the largest group, low (92%), and at its floor, while 7.5% rank higher.
Bands of the yearly burn rate: low under 0.05%, moderate under 0.25%, high under 1%, very high 1% or more; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Canadian Wildland Fire Information System: National Burned Area Composite 1986–2025 and fire behaviour fuel types (2026), Natural Resources Canada. Measured within 25 km and 5 km of each populated dissemination area; past fire, not a forecast.
The flood map inventory lists nothing for New Carlisle
What Canada’s Flood Map Inventory lists for New Carlisle: who studied flooding and where to see their maps.
There is no study for New Carlisle on the national flood inventory, which is far from complete.
Towns with a flood study on file
New Carlisle has no flood study on file; only 45% of towns in Quebec do, against 58% across Canada.
NRCan Canada Flood Map Inventory: a study footprint touching the town’s boundary; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Flood studies don’t enter the grade; they are listed so you can open the official map for New Carlisle.
The inventory’s own caution (NRCan): “The Canada Flood Map (CFM) does not include every flood hazard map in Canada and may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. It should not be relied upon as the official source of flood mapping information. Furthermore, if a map appears to be missing, this does not necessarily mean that the area has never been mapped. For the official version of a map, updated information, or confirmation of applicable regulations, please contact the local authority responsible for flood mapping.”
Expected shaking damage in New Carlisle: $0.035 a year per $1,000
Expected yearly building losses from earthquakes, from Natural Resources Canada’s model.
With $0.035 of shaking damage a year per $1,000, New Carlisle is about even with the typical $0.030 (1.2 times).
Shaking damage a year per $1,000 of building value
Earthquake risk in Quebec peaks in La Pocatière ($0.48); New Carlisle, at $0.035, is below the median of $0.14.
NRCan seismic risk model (2022): mean yearly building loss per $1,000 of value; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
New Carlisle’s earthquake risk lands near the centre of Canada’s range; 46% of the 2,611 towns are higher.
Each column: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more in that range of yearly loss per $1,000 (NRCan, 2022).
For New Carlisle the model prices shaking damage to buildings, nothing more.
Natural Resources Canada, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model (2022), by census subdivision (2016 boundaries; a few 2021 subdivisions take their residents’ mean).
Test for radon in New Carlisle: 25% of area homes were over the guideline
Long-term radon tests in homes across the survey area, against Health Canada’s guideline. · Measured across the Gaspesie - Iles-de-la-Madeleine health region: radon tests
At 25% over the guideline, the area around New Carlisle beats the typical Canadian town’s 6.6%.
Tested homes over 200 Bq/m³
Over 600 Bq/m³
New Carlisle’s area, at 25%, is above the median in Quebec (8.2%), and 3.4% of its tests passed 600 Bq/m³.
Health Canada radon survey (2009–2011), by 2007 health region; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
New Carlisle is in the 20–30% band, which holds only 3.1% of Canada’s 2,611 towns; 1.5% are higher.
Each bar: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more whose survey area had that share of tests over 200 Bq/m³.
Whatever New Carlisle’s area share, the reading that matters is your own home’s, over a winter.
Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes (2009–2011).
Where to get warnings in New Carlisle
Alerts for New Carlisle come from Environment and Climate Change Canada and, for emergencies, Alert Ready.
| Alert | What it means |
|---|---|
| Warning | Severe weather is happening or about to: act now. |
| Watch | Conditions favour severe weather: be ready. |
| Advisory | Weather that is less severe but could disrupt the day. |
| Special weather statement | Unusual weather worth knowing about. |
| Special air quality statement | Poor air, often wildfire smoke. |
Fire danger and active fires near New Carlisle are mapped daily by the Canadian Wildland Fire Information System; evacuation orders come from the municipality or province.
Weather alerts (ECCC) · Alert Ready · Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Hazards in the places around New Carlisle
Wildfire band, earthquake risk, radon and flood studies for each place nearby.
| Town | Wildfire | Quake $/1,000 | Radon | Flood study |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Carlisle | Low | $0.035 | 25% | None listed |
| Paspébiac 3,132 · 6.8 km | Low | $0.034 | 25% | None listed |
| Bonaventure 2,719 · 11 km | Low | $0.039 | 25% | Yes |
The neighbour with the most fire is Paspébiac (low), still no more than New Carlisle (low).
Radon is the survey area’s figure, so neighbours in one area share it.
Get ready for what New Carlisle faces
What to do about the hazards New Carlisle faces, and what to ask before you buy.
- Test for three months in winter.
- Over 200 Bq/m³: fix it.
- Kits are cheap; pros test too.
- Never drive through floodwater.
- Move papers and medicines upstairs.
- Ask whether your street is mapped.
- Clear needles and wood nearby.
- Keep a grab-and-go bag ready.
- In smoke, stay in; filter air.
- Has it had a radon test?
- Ask the municipality for flood maps.
- Are flood and wildfire insured?
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Radon is a survey. The radon share comes from about 14,000 long-term home tests in 2009–2011, pooled for now by the 2007 health region New Carlisle sits in.
- Flood studies aren’t flood zones. A study’s area can be a whole watershed or province, so being on the inventory says a map exists, not that a home in New Carlisle floods.
- Wildfire counts one way. For New Carlisle, wildfire means how much nearby land burned in the past forty years, a one-way input that can pull Risk down and nothing more.
- Earthquakes are modelled. Seismic risk is NRCan’s model of yearly building losses from shaking, averaged over many years and given for New Carlisle’s census subdivision (a neighbourhood shows its city’s).
Questions about flooding and hazards in New Carlisle
Does New Carlisle flood?
Nothing is listed for New Carlisle on the national inventory (0); local maps may still exist with the municipality.
Is radon a problem in New Carlisle?
In Health Canada’s survey, 25% of 174 homes tested in New Carlisle’s area were above 200 Bq/m³, though only a test tells you about one house.
How big is the earthquake risk in New Carlisle?
NRCan’s model expects shaking to cost buildings in New Carlisle $0.035 a year for every $1,000 of their value, on average over many years.
How is New Carlisle’s Hazard risk Grade worked out?
New Carlisle grades C− for hazard risk, from earthquakes and radon, with wildfire counted only where it lowers the grade.
Is New Carlisle at risk of wildfire?
Less than most of Canada: 0% of the land within 25 km of New Carlisle has burned since 1986, the last in 2025, a low band that leaves Risk alone.
Seismic risk: Natural Resources Canada. Radon: Health Canada. Wildfire: Canadian Wildland Fire Information System. Flood studies: Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.
Sources: NRCan, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model 2022 · Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes · CWFIS, National Burned Area Composite and FBP fuel types · NRCan, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).