Photo: Earth Science and Remote Sensing Unit , Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center · Public domainEast River, Part 1 faces fewer hazards than 87% of Canadian towns
Wildfire barely registers for East River, Part 1, at 0% of the land within 25 km since 1986 (0.000% a year). Seismic risk in East River, Part 1 sits near the middle: $0.020 of expected damage per $1,000 of buildings a year, the typical town $0.030. Radon is lower than usual: 3.5% of tested homes in the survey area topped the guideline, against 6.6% for the typical town. East River, Part 1 grades A for hazard risk; wildfire is low here, so it earns no credit.
What stands out about East River, Part 1’s hazards
Four national sources, each read for East River, Part 1: earthquakes, radon, past fires and flood studies.
What East River, Part 1 faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Wildfire
Earthquakes
Radon
Flood study
Hazard risk in East River, Part 1: A
For East River, Part 1, Risk will be the average of earthquakes and radon, with wildfire added only if it makes the average worse.
Its place: #4 of 12 on Prince Edward Island and #519 of 2,589 Canadian towns.
How sure: The seismic figure is a long-run average from NRCan’s model, not a prediction. Small fires and grass fires are largely missing from the national burned-area record.
Wildfire is rare near East River, Part 1: 0% of the land within 25 km burned since 1986, 0% within 5 km
Fires mapped since 1986 around where East River, Part 1’s residents live, and the fuel next to their homes.
Forty years of fire maps put East River, Part 1 at 0.000% a year, low next to the typical Canadian town’s 0.000%.
Forest fuel is spread evenly around East River, Part 1: 29% within 5 km, 26% within 25 km.
Shares of land within 5 and 25 km of populated blocks: burned at least once in 1986–2025 (CWFIS burned-area composite), forest fuel and grass (fire behaviour fuel types, 2026, 250 m grid).
Burn rate a year, towns on Prince Edward Island · highest of 12
Every one of the 12 towns on Prince Edward Island, East River, Part 1 among them, has a yearly burn rate that rounds to zero.
Each bar: the yearly average share of land within 25 km of a town’s homes that burned, 1986–2025 (CWFIS); the seven highest towns of 2,500 people or more.
The low band holds 92% of Canada’s 2,610 towns, and East River, Part 1 sits at its very bottom; only 7.5% are above it.
Bands of the yearly burn rate: low under 0.05%, moderate under 0.25%, high under 1%, very high 1% or more; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Canadian Wildland Fire Information System: National Burned Area Composite 1986–2025 and fire behaviour fuel types (2026), Natural Resources Canada. Measured within 25 km and 5 km of each populated dissemination area; past fire, not a forecast.
Flooding around East River, Part 1 is mapped in 2 studies, the newest by Department of Environment, Energy and Climate Action - Government of Prince Edward Island
Flood studies whose area touches East River, Part 1, from NRCan’s inventory, each linked to its owner.
The newest of 2 studies covering East River, Part 1 is Department of Environment, Energy and Climate Action - Government of Prince Edward Island’s, from 2024; open its map to see the zones.
| Study | By | Year | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| PEI Pluvial Flood Mapping | Department of Environment, Energy and Climate Action - Government of Prince Edward Island | 2024 | final |
| Prince Edward Island Coastal Hazards | Province of PEI, Department of Environment, Energy and Climate Action | 2021 | final |
Towns with a flood study on file
East River, Part 1 is one of the 100% of towns on Prince Edward Island with a flood study on file; across Canada it is 58%.
NRCan Canada Flood Map Inventory: a study footprint touching the town’s boundary; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Listed, not scored: a flood study proves a map exists, not that East River, Part 1 floods.
The inventory’s own caution (NRCan): “The Canada Flood Map (CFM) does not include every flood hazard map in Canada and may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. It should not be relied upon as the official source of flood mapping information. Furthermore, if a map appears to be missing, this does not necessarily mean that the area has never been mapped. For the official version of a map, updated information, or confirmation of applicable regulations, please contact the local authority responsible for flood mapping.”
Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory; links go to each study’s owner.
Expected shaking damage in East River, Part 1: $0.020 a year per $1,000
NRCan’s seismic risk model: the damage shaking is expected to do to buildings each year, on average over many years.
Nothing unusual about East River, Part 1’s ground: $0.020 against a typical $0.030, 0.7 times.
Shaking damage a year per $1,000 of building value
Neither high nor low on Prince Edward Island: East River, Part 1’s $0.020 sits by the median of $0.020, while O'Leary reaches $0.034.
NRCan seismic risk model (2022): mean yearly building loss per $1,000 of value; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
East River, Part 1’s earthquake risk lands near the centre of Canada’s range; 64% of the 2,611 towns are higher.
Each column: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more in that range of yearly loss per $1,000 (NRCan, 2022).
The model counts damage to East River, Part 1’s buildings and their occupants from shaking only: not liquefaction, landslides, tsunami or fires after a quake.
Natural Resources Canada, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model (2022), by census subdivision (2016 boundaries; a few 2021 subdivisions take their residents’ mean).
Little radon around East River, Part 1: 3.5% of area homes over the guideline
Health Canada’s survey of long-term home tests: the share above the 200 Bq/m³ guideline. · Source area for radon tests: the Prince Edward Island Health Region
East River, Part 1’s survey area reads 3.5% over the guideline, under the typical Canadian town’s 6.6%.
Tested homes over 200 Bq/m³
Over 600 Bq/m³
East River, Part 1’s area, at 3.5%, is close to the median on Prince Edward Island (3.5%).
Health Canada radon survey (2009–2011), by 2007 health region; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Few tests over the guideline: East River, Part 1 shares the bottom band with 37% of Canada’s 2,611 towns, below the other 63%.
Each bar: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more whose survey area had that share of tests over 200 Bq/m³.
The share describes the area, not a house: in East River, Part 1 as anywhere, test to be sure.
Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes (2009–2011).
Weather and fire alerts for East River, Part 1
Alerts for East River, Part 1 come from Environment and Climate Change Canada and, for emergencies, Alert Ready.
| Alert | What it means |
|---|---|
| Warning | Severe weather is happening or about to: act now. |
| Watch | Conditions favour severe weather: be ready. |
| Advisory | Weather that is less severe but could disrupt the day. |
| Special weather statement | Unusual weather worth knowing about. |
| Special air quality statement | Poor air, often wildfire smoke. |
Fire danger and active fires near East River, Part 1 are mapped daily by the Canadian Wildland Fire Information System; evacuation orders come from the municipality or province.
Weather alerts (ECCC) · Alert Ready · Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Hazards in the places around East River, Part 1
The same four hazards for the places next door.
| Town | Wildfire | Quake $/1,000 | Radon | Flood study |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East River, Part 1 | Low | $0.020 | 3.5% | Yes |
| Vernon River 2,779 · 11 km | Low | $0.020 | 3.5% | Yes |
| North Shore 1,609 · 11 km | Low | $0.021 | 3.5% | Yes |
| Crossroads 2,366 · 11 km | Low | $0.020 | 3.5% | Yes |
| North Shore 2,994 · 14 km | Low | $0.020 | 3.5% | Yes |
| Morell 1,422 · 16 km | Low | $0.017 | 3.5% | Yes |
| Stratford 13,152 · 17 km | Low | $0.021 | 3.5% | Yes |
East River, Part 1’s low band tops its neighbours; Vernon River is next (low).
Radon is the survey area’s figure, so neighbours in one area share it.
Get ready for what East River, Part 1 faces
Practical steps for East River, Part 1’s hazards, most pressing first.
- Test for three months in winter.
- Over 200 Bq/m³: fix it.
- Kits are cheap; pros test too.
- Never drive through floodwater.
- Move papers and medicines upstairs.
- Ask whether your street is mapped.
- Clear needles and wood nearby.
- Keep a grab-and-go bag ready.
- In smoke, stay in; filter air.
- Has it had a radon test?
- Check the address on the flood map.
- Are flood and wildfire insured?
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Radon is a survey. Radon figures pool the survey’s home tests by area: postal areas once their boundaries arrive, the 2007 health region around East River, Part 1 until then.
- Wildfire counts one way. Wildfire is read from the national burned-area record around East River, Part 1’s homes since 1986, a history of fire that may lower Risk but never raises it.
- Flood studies aren’t flood zones. Flood studies cover areas of every size, which is why the page lists them for East River, Part 1 without grading them.
- Earthquakes are modelled. NRCan models what earthquakes would cost buildings each year on average, subdivision by subdivision; East River, Part 1’s figure is its subdivision’s.
Questions about flooding and hazards in East River, Part 1
Is East River, Part 1 at risk of wildfire?
Very little by the national record: East River, Part 1’s band is low, with 0% of the land within 25 km burned since 1986, so wildfire doesn’t change its grade.
How is East River, Part 1’s Hazard risk Grade worked out?
East River, Part 1’s Hazard risk grade is A, built on earthquakes and radon with a one-sided wildfire input.
Does East River, Part 1 flood?
A flood study covers East River, Part 1 on Canada’s Flood Map Inventory; open the owner’s map to check a street, since flood isn’t graded.
How big is the earthquake risk in East River, Part 1?
Expected earthquake damage in East River, Part 1 comes to $0.020 a year for each $1,000 that buildings are worth.
Is radon a problem in East River, Part 1?
The area’s survey found 3.5% of 113 tested homes above Health Canada’s guideline, so a three-month test is worth doing in East River, Part 1.
Seismic risk: Natural Resources Canada. Radon: Health Canada. Wildfire: Canadian Wildland Fire Information System. Flood studies: Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.
Sources: NRCan, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model 2022 · Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes · CWFIS, National Burned Area Composite and FBP fuel types · NRCan, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).