Photo: P199 · CC BY-SA 3.0Recorded crime per resident is higher in Seguin than in 81% of Canadian towns
Its violent half comes to 196.4 and its non-violent half to 72, where the norm is 85.7 and 62.8. Scored on crime the police covering Seguin reported across 2023 to 2025, the town lands on C− for safety: #821 of 862 in Ontario. Even so, typical years here bring 7.3 violent incidents plus 28.2 incidents of property crime per 1,000 residents, against 12.9 plus 31.2 in the typical town its size.
Statistics Canada, police-reported crime, 2023–2025 means. The index weighs each crime by its seriousness; rates are incidents per 1,000 residents a year. Area behind the crime severity, crime rate and incident counts figures: the Southern Georgian Bay (Georgian Bay) detachment area.
What stands out about safety in Seguin
More people here than live here
About 56% of Seguin’s homes are cottages, second homes or otherwise empty much of the year: crime in the busy months is divided by year-round residents only, which lifts every rate here. How to read it ↓
Above Ontario’s typical town
Within Ontario, the median town comes to 56.2 on the index, against 106.9 in Seguin. Towns its size ↓
The violent half stands out
Set beside the typical Canadian town its size, Seguin’s two halves part ways: 196.4 for violence (typical 85.7) and 72 for the rest (typical 62.8). By type ↓
A higher index than most towns its size
Line up the 40 Canadian towns nearest in size by their index and Seguin stands 33rd, the lowest first. Towns its size ↓
Written from Statistics Canada’s police-reported crime by police service and detachment, 2023–2025. Figures are what police recorded, not convictions.
What’s behind Seguin’s grade
How sure: Not as firm as most grades. Its figures come from the nearest detachment, 41 km off, which covers its own area rather than Seguin.
The grade weighs the Crime Severity Index and its violent half, averaged over 2023–2025, against every Canadian town and city neighbourhood of 1,000 people or more.
Its place: #821 of 862 in Ontario and #1,996 of 2,572 Canadian towns.
The Crime Severity Index and its two halves, beside the typical figure for Canadian towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people.
Seguin’s crime by kind
Against the typical town its size, Seguin runs highest on fraud (6 per 1,000 against 4.9). Assault and motor vehicle theft sit below it.
Every Statistics Canada violation line
| Violation | Incidents a year | Per 1,000 | Cleared |
|---|---|---|---|
| Homicide | 0.7 | 0.3 | — |
| Sexual violations against children | 0 | 0 | — |
| Assaults against a peace officer | 0 | 0 | — |
| Firearms: use, discharge, pointing | 0 | 0 | — |
| Robbery | 0.7 | 0.3 | — |
| Forcible confinement or kidnapping | 0.3 | 0.2 | — |
| Other violent violations | 0 | 0 | — |
| Breaking and entering | 6 | 2.8 | 33% |
| Possession of stolen property | 1.7 | 0.8 | — |
| Theft of a motor vehicle | 2.7 | 1.2 | — |
| Theft over $5,000 | 3.7 | 1.7 | — |
| Theft under $5,000 | 24 | 11 | 10% |
| Mischief | 10.3 | 4.7 | 13% |
| Weapons violations | 4.7 | 2.1 | — |
| Administration of justice violations | 4.3 | 2 | — |
| Other Criminal Code violations | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| Drug violations | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| Impaired driving | 15.3 | 7 | 100% |
| Failing to stop or remain | 1 | 0.5 | — |
Statistics Canada’s violation groups for the whole police service or detachment, incidents a year its own. Cleared: incidents solved by a charge or otherwise, as a share of those reported.
Incidents per 1,000 residents a year, 2023–2025 means, against the typical figure for Canadian towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people.
By its index, Seguin stands 33rd of 40 towns its size
| # | Town | People | Severity index | Violent index | Safety |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Ferris Ontario | 5,835 | 17.7 | 27.2 | A+ |
| 2 | Havelock Ontario | 5,663 | 29.2 | 33.7 | A+ |
| 3 | Stirling Ontario | 5,489 | 30.8 | 33.2 | A+ |
| 4 | West Lorne Ontario | 5,566 | 31.5 | 41.2 | A |
| … | |||||
| 30 | Espanola Ontario | 5,504 | 90.6 | 123.8 | C |
| 31 | Annapolis County, Subdivision C Nova Scotia | 5,694 | 96 | 107.6 | C− |
| 32 | Osoyoos British Columbia | 5,724 | 97.9 | 68.6 | C− |
| 33 | Seguin Ontario | 5,761 | 106.9 | 196.4 | C− |
| 34 | Creston British Columbia | 5,976 | 111.2 | 103.1 | C− |
| 35 | Melfort Saskatchewan | 6,028 | 144.9 | 143.9 | D |
| 36 | Cochrane Ontario | 5,948 | 145.5 | 191 | D |
| … | |||||
| 40 | The Pas Manitoba | 5,634 | 572.1 | 753.3 | D− |
The 40 Canadian towns of 2,500+ people closest in population; city neighbourhoods, city totals and reserves are left out. Towns on one police service or detachment share its index.
The Canadian towns closest to Seguin in population, the lowest Crime Severity Index first (2023–2025 means).
About 16 violent incidents a year in the area of the detachment nearest Seguin (2,200 residents), 2023–2025
Violent incidents per 1,000 a year, 2023–2025
Property crimes per 1,000 a year, 2023–2025
Statistics Canada counts actual incidents; those police record as unfounded are listed apart and kept out of its crime rates and severity index. Each incident is filed under its most serious violation, which the survey sets partly by the maximum penalty.
And about 61 property crimes, plus 49 other violations, a year (2023–2025 average). Each dot is one resident; each coloured dot, one incident a year at the area’s rates.
The index in Seguin, each year
Crime Severity Index
At 144.1, 2024 topped the three years, and 2025 was lowest at 55.7. The comparison line, the typical Canadian town its size, runs from 74.3 in 2023 to 64.2 by 2025.
Every year as a table
| Year | Seguin | Typical town its size |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 55.7 | 64.2 |
| 2024 | 144.1 | 68.8 |
| 2023 | 120.9 | 74.3 |
Statistics Canada, Crime Severity Index by police service, each year as published. Typical: the median of Canadian towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people.
The Crime Severity Index of the police covering Seguin, each year, against the typical Canadian town its size.
Crime in the places around Seguin
| Town | People | Severity index | Violent index | Safety |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seguin | 5,761 | 106.9 | 196.4 | C− |
| McKellar | 1,534 | 32.8 | 34.7 | A |
| Parry Sound | 7,584 | 92.2 | 121.3 | C |
Each neighbour with its own figure comes in under Seguin. McKellar, 16.5 km away, is the nearest lower one, at 32.8 to 106.9.
Each place’s police figures, 2023–2025 means.
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Small numbers. The police behind these figures serve about 2,202 people, so a handful of incidents moves every rate. Statistics Canada’s note: “Data for police services or detachments with populations less than 5,000 should be used with caution.”
- Reading the number. Statistics Canada set the national index at 100 for 2006; every figure here is read against that.
- Solved cases. A cleared case is one police consider solved. Whether anyone is convicted is a separate matter the rate doesn’t follow.
- How serious, not how safe. Each incident counts by its seriousness, judged from court sentences, and the total is set per resident. As Statistics Canada puts it, “The CSI is not an indicator of overall safety and should be interpreted in the broader community context.”
Questions about safety in Seguin
Is Seguin safe?
Against a typical 68.5 for Canadian towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people, Seguin’s Crime Severity Index stands at 106.9 for 2023–2025. Its police record 7.3 violent incidents and 28.2 property crimes per 1,000 residents a year.
What is the most common crime in Seguin?
Police record Criminal Code traffic offences most, 11.3 per 1,000 residents a year, ahead of theft under $5,000 (11) and fraud (6).
Is crime going up in Seguin?
Down 54%: 120.9 in 2023, 55.7 in 2025. The police area is small or partly reported, so treat the change with care.
How much of Seguin’s crime do police solve?
About 37% of crime is cleared, weighted by seriousness, with 49% of violent and 31% of other crime; the figure for the typical Canadian town its size is 34%.
Whose figures are these?
Those of the police serving Seguin together with its neighbours or the countryside around it.
Source: Statistics Canada, police-reported crime by police service and detachment, 2023–2025 (Statistics Canada Open Licence); TownRatings calculation.
Sources: Statistics Canada, Crime severity index and weighted clearance rates, police services (tables 35-10-0186 to 0190, 0061, 0063, 0064), 2023–2025 · Statistics Canada, Incident-based crime statistics by detailed violations, police services (35-10-0178 to 0185) · Safety Grade: TownRatings calculation. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).