Photo: ...some guy · CC BY 2.0On hazards, Tracadie comes out behind 95% of Canadian towns
Wildfire is a real hazard for Tracadie: 11% of the land within 25 km has burned since 1986, 0.28% a year, in the high band. Shaking is about as much of a worry in Tracadie as in most places, at $0.042 a year per $1,000 of building value ($0.030 typical). More homes than usual carry radon here, 40% over the guideline where the typical town has 6.6%. Hazard risk gives Tracadie a grade of D−; its wildfire band pulls it down.
What stands out about Tracadie’s hazards
For Tracadie, from NRCan’s seismic model, Health Canada’s radon survey, the national burned-area record and the flood map inventory.
What Tracadie faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Wildfire
Earthquakes
Radon
Flood study
Tracadie grades D− for hazard risk
Two inputs always count for Tracadie, earthquakes and radon; the third, wildfire, counts only against a town.
Its place: #2,542 of 2,589 Canadian towns.
How sure: Earthquake losses are a model’s expectation over many years, not a forecast for any one. The burned-area record misses fires under about 10 ha and most grass and farm fires.
A high wildfire band for Tracadie: 2.1% within 5 km, 11% within 25 km
Past fire around Tracadie’s homes, from the national burned-area record, with the fuel within 5 km.
High: the land around Tracadie burns at 0.28% a year, where the typical Canadian town sees 0.000%.
Within 5 km of Tracadie, 74% of the land is forest fuel; widen the ring to 25 km and it is 79%.
Shares of land within 5 and 25 km of populated blocks: burned at least once in 1986–2025 (CWFIS burned-area composite), forest fuel and grass (fire behaviour fuel types, 2026, 250 m grid).
Burn rate a year, towns in New Brunswick · highest of 60
Tracadie has the highest burn rate of the 60 towns in New Brunswick, 0.28% a year; next is Oromocto at 0.28%.
Each bar: the yearly average share of land within 25 km of a town’s homes that burned, 1986–2025 (CWFIS); the seven highest towns of 2,500 people or more.
Tracadie is one of the few of Canada’s 2,610 towns in the high band (1.9%); 0.2% rank very high.
Bands of the yearly burn rate: low under 0.05%, moderate under 0.25%, high under 1%, very high 1% or more; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Canadian Wildland Fire Information System: National Burned Area Composite 1986–2025 and fire behaviour fuel types (2026), Natural Resources Canada. Measured within 25 km and 5 km of each populated dissemination area; past fire, not a forecast.
Service New Brunswick - GeoNB has mapped flooding for Tracadie (1 study)
What Canada’s Flood Map Inventory lists for Tracadie: who studied flooding and where to see their maps.
Service New Brunswick - GeoNB holds the flood mapping that covers Tracadie (2020), linked below.
| Study | By | Year | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inland Flood Mapping in New Brunswick and Updated Sea-Level Rise and Flooding Estimates for New Brunswick Coastal Sections 2020 | Service New Brunswick - GeoNB | 2020 | final |
Towns with a flood study on file
Tracadie is one of the 93% of towns in New Brunswick with a flood study on file; across Canada it is 58%.
NRCan Canada Flood Map Inventory: a study footprint touching the town’s boundary; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Flood mapping is shown for Tracadie to be opened and checked, never turned into a grade.
The inventory’s own caution (NRCan): “The Canada Flood Map (CFM) does not include every flood hazard map in Canada and may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. It should not be relied upon as the official source of flood mapping information. Furthermore, if a map appears to be missing, this does not necessarily mean that the area has never been mapped. For the official version of a map, updated information, or confirmation of applicable regulations, please contact the local authority responsible for flood mapping.”
Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory; links go to each study’s owner.
Ordinary seismic risk in Tracadie: $0.042 per $1,000 of buildings a year
Expected yearly building losses from earthquakes, from Natural Resources Canada’s model.
Nothing unusual about Tracadie’s ground: $0.042 against a typical $0.030, 1.4 times.
Shaking damage a year per $1,000 of building value
Shaking damage around Tracadie runs at $0.042 a year, near the $0.036 of the typical town in New Brunswick; St. Stephen has $0.16.
NRCan seismic risk model (2022): mean yearly building loss per $1,000 of value; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Around half of Canada’s 2,611 towns expect more shaking damage than Tracadie (43%).
Each column: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more in that range of yearly loss per $1,000 (NRCan, 2022).
For Tracadie the model prices shaking damage to buildings, nothing more.
Natural Resources Canada, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model (2022), by census subdivision (2016 boundaries; a few 2021 subdivisions take their residents’ mean).
Test for radon in Tracadie: 40% of area homes were over the guideline
Long-term radon tests in homes across the survey area, against Health Canada’s guideline.
the typical Canadian town has 6.6% over the guideline; Tracadie’s area has 40%.
Tested homes over 200 Bq/m³
Over 600 Bq/m³
Radon runs higher around Tracadie than in most towns in New Brunswick: 40% over the guideline (20% is typical), 17% over 600.
Health Canada radon survey (2009–2011), by 2007 health region; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
At least three tests in ten top the guideline around Tracadie, a level reached by 1.5% of Canada’s towns.
Each bar: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more whose survey area had that share of tests over 200 Bq/m³.
Neighbouring homes in Tracadie can differ a lot; only a long-term test tells you about yours.
Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes (2009–2011). · Area behind the radon tests figures: the Region 6 health region
Where to get warnings in Tracadie
Alerts for Tracadie come from Environment and Climate Change Canada and, for emergencies, Alert Ready.
| Alert | What it means |
|---|---|
| Warning | Severe weather is happening or about to: act now. |
| Watch | Conditions favour severe weather: be ready. |
| Advisory | Weather that is less severe but could disrupt the day. |
| Special weather statement | Unusual weather worth knowing about. |
| Special air quality statement | Poor air, often wildfire smoke. |
Alert Ready carries evacuation orders for Tracadie to phones; CWFIS shows the day’s fire danger.
Weather alerts (ECCC) · Alert Ready · Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
How Tracadie’s neighbours compare on hazards
Wildfire band, earthquake risk, radon and flood studies for each place nearby.
| Town | Wildfire | Quake $/1,000 | Radon | Flood study |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracadie | High | $0.042 | 40% | Yes |
| Saint-Isidore 1,372 · 10 km | High | $0.046 | 40% | Yes |
| Inkerman 2,462 · 19 km | Low | $0.044 | 40% | Yes |
The fire record around Saint-Isidore is a touch heavier than Tracadie’s, but the band is the same: high (here high).
Radon is the survey area’s figure, so neighbours in one area share it.
Get ready for what Tracadie faces
What to do about the hazards Tracadie faces, and what to ask before you buy.
- Clear needles and wood nearby.
- Keep a grab-and-go bag ready.
- In smoke, stay in; filter air.
- Test for three months in winter.
- Over 200 Bq/m³: fix it.
- Kits are cheap; pros test too.
- Never drive through floodwater.
- Move papers and medicines upstairs.
- Ask whether your street is mapped.
- Has it had a radon test?
- Check the address on the flood map.
- How close is the forest edge?
- Are flood and wildfire insured?
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Flood studies aren’t flood zones. NRCan’s inventory says where flood mapping exists, not where water goes; the map’s owner is the authority for Tracadie.
- Wildfire counts one way. For Tracadie, wildfire means how much nearby land burned in the past forty years, a one-way input that can pull Risk down and nothing more.
- Radon is a survey. About 14,000 homes were tested across Canada in 2009–2011, and the share over the guideline for Tracadie is its health region’s, the survey’s design unit.
- Earthquakes are modelled. Seismic risk is NRCan’s model of yearly building losses from shaking, averaged over many years and given for Tracadie’s census subdivision (a neighbourhood shows its city’s).
Questions about flooding and hazards in Tracadie
Is radon a problem in Tracadie?
Around Tracadie, 115 survey homes were tested and 40% came in over 200 Bq/m³, a guide to the area, not to any one home.
How is Tracadie’s Hazard risk Grade worked out?
Tracadie grades D− for hazard risk, from earthquakes and radon, with wildfire counted only where it lowers the grade.
How big is the earthquake risk in Tracadie?
NRCan’s model expects shaking to cost buildings in Tracadie $0.042 a year for every $1,000 of their value, on average over many years.
Does Tracadie flood?
There is flood mapping for Tracadie on the national inventory, each study linked to its owner’s map, none of them graded.
Is Tracadie at risk of wildfire?
More than most Canadian towns; Tracadie’s high band rests on 11% of nearby land burned since 1986 (most recently 2025).
Seismic risk: Natural Resources Canada. Radon: Health Canada. Wildfire: Canadian Wildland Fire Information System. Flood studies: Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.
Sources: NRCan, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model 2022 · Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes · CWFIS, National Burned Area Composite and FBP fuel types · NRCan, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).