Photo: Dr Wilson · CC BY-SA 3.0High radon around Inkerman: 40% of homes tested in the area exceed 200 Bq/m³
Wildfire is rare near Inkerman: 1.5% of the land within 25 km has burned since 1986, a burn rate of 0.04% a year. Earthquake risk in Inkerman is ordinary: NRCan’s model puts building losses at $0.044 a year per $1,000 of value, close to the typical town’s $0.030. Hazard risk gives Inkerman a grade of D; its wildfire band pulls it down.
What stands out about Inkerman’s hazards
Four national sources, each read for Inkerman: earthquakes, radon, past fires and flood studies.
What Inkerman faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Wildfire
Earthquakes
Radon
Flood study
Inkerman grades D for hazard risk
For Inkerman, Risk will be the average of earthquakes and radon, with wildfire added only if it makes the average worse.
How sure: The seismic figure is a long-run average from NRCan’s model, not a prediction. Small fires and grass fires are largely missing from the national burned-area record.
Little of the land around Inkerman has burned: 0% within 5 km, 1.5% within 25 km since 1986
Fires mapped since 1986 around where Inkerman’s residents live, and the fuel next to their homes.
At 0.04% of the land a year, Inkerman’s burn rate is in the low band; the typical Canadian town sees 0.000%.
No fire has burned within 5 km of Inkerman’s homes since 1986; the nearest burn is 10 km away.
78% of the land within 5 km of Inkerman is forest fuel, close to the 79% within 25 km.
Shares of land within 5 and 25 km of populated blocks: burned at least once in 1986–2025 (CWFIS burned-area composite), forest fuel and grass (fire behaviour fuel types, 2026, 250 m grid).
Burn rate a year, towns in New Brunswick · highest of 61
The land around Inkerman burns at 0.04% a year, the 11th highest rate of 61 towns in New Brunswick; Tracadie tops it at 0.28%.
Each bar: the yearly average share of land within 25 km of a town’s homes that burned, 1986–2025 (CWFIS); the seven highest towns of 2,500 people or more.
The low band takes in 92% of Canada’s 2,610 towns, Inkerman among them, though its rate is above zero; 7.5% rank higher.
Bands of the yearly burn rate: low under 0.05%, moderate under 0.25%, high under 1%, very high 1% or more; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Canadian Wildland Fire Information System: National Burned Area Composite 1986–2025 and fire behaviour fuel types (2026), Natural Resources Canada. Measured within 25 km and 5 km of each populated dissemination area; past fire, not a forecast.
A flood study covers Inkerman, from Service New Brunswick - GeoNB: 1 on the inventory
Flood studies whose area touches Inkerman, from NRCan’s inventory, each linked to its owner.
A 2020 study by Service New Brunswick - GeoNB covers Inkerman, and its map, not the inventory, shows the zones.
| Study | By | Year | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inland Flood Mapping in New Brunswick and Updated Sea-Level Rise and Flooding Estimates for New Brunswick Coastal Sections 2020 | Service New Brunswick - GeoNB | 2020 | final |
Towns with a flood study on file
Mapping in New Brunswick reaches 93% of towns, Inkerman included, beside 58% across Canada.
NRCan Canada Flood Map Inventory: a study footprint touching the town’s boundary; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Nothing here counts toward Risk; the studies are pointers to the maps their owners keep for Inkerman.
The inventory’s own caution (NRCan): “The Canada Flood Map (CFM) does not include every flood hazard map in Canada and may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. It should not be relied upon as the official source of flood mapping information. Furthermore, if a map appears to be missing, this does not necessarily mean that the area has never been mapped. For the official version of a map, updated information, or confirmation of applicable regulations, please contact the local authority responsible for flood mapping.”
Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory; links go to each study’s owner.
Earthquakes cost buildings in Inkerman $0.044 per $1,000 a year
NRCan’s seismic risk model: the damage shaking is expected to do to buildings each year, on average over many years.
Nothing unusual about Inkerman’s ground: $0.044 against a typical $0.030, 1.5 times.
Shaking damage a year per $1,000 of building value
About level with the typical town in New Brunswick: Inkerman’s $0.044 against $0.036; St. Stephen reaches $0.16.
NRCan seismic risk model (2022): mean yearly building loss per $1,000 of value; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Inkerman sits above most of Canada’s 2,611 towns on earthquake risk; 32% are higher.
Each column: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more in that range of yearly loss per $1,000 (NRCan, 2022).
Roads, pipes and bridges aren’t in Inkerman’s figure, nor landslides or tsunami: it is buildings and shaking.
Natural Resources Canada, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model (2022), by census subdivision (2016 boundaries; a few 2021 subdivisions take their residents’ mean).
Radon runs high around Inkerman: 40% of tested homes over the guideline
Health Canada’s survey of long-term home tests: the share above the 200 Bq/m³ guideline.
More homes than usual test high around Inkerman: 40% against 6.6% for the typical Canadian town. Figures for radon tests are published for the Region 6 health region as a whole, not for Inkerman alone.
Tested homes over 200 Bq/m³
Over 600 Bq/m³
More homes top the guideline around Inkerman (40%) than in the typical town in New Brunswick (20%); 17% went over 600.
Health Canada radon survey (2009–2011), by 2007 health region; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
At least three tests in ten top the guideline around Inkerman, a level reached by 1.5% of Canada’s towns.
Each bar: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more whose survey area had that share of tests over 200 Bq/m³.
A survey sample isn’t a map: any home in Inkerman can be high, and a three-month test is the only way to know.
Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes (2009–2011).
Weather and fire alerts for Inkerman
Environment and Climate Change Canada issues the weather alerts for Inkerman; Alert Ready carries the urgent ones to phones, radio and TV.
| Alert | What it means |
|---|---|
| Warning | Severe weather is happening or about to: act now. |
| Watch | Conditions favour severe weather: be ready. |
| Advisory | Weather that is less severe but could disrupt the day. |
| Special weather statement | Unusual weather worth knowing about. |
| Special air quality statement | Poor air, often wildfire smoke. |
Smoke and fire warnings for Inkerman come through Environment Canada and Alert Ready; the fire map is CWFIS’s.
Weather alerts (ECCC) · Alert Ready · Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Hazards in the places around Inkerman
The same four hazards for the places next door.
Fire is heaviest around Tracadie (high), against low for Inkerman.
Radon is the survey area’s figure, so neighbours in one area share it.
Get ready for what Inkerman faces
Practical steps for Inkerman’s hazards, most pressing first.
- Test for three months in winter.
- Over 200 Bq/m³: fix it.
- Kits are cheap; pros test too.
- Never drive through floodwater.
- Move papers and medicines upstairs.
- Ask whether your street is mapped.
- Clear needles and wood nearby.
- Keep a grab-and-go bag ready.
- In smoke, stay in; filter air.
- Has it had a radon test?
- Check the address on the flood map.
- Are flood and wildfire insured?
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Radon is a survey. Radon figures pool the survey’s home tests by area: postal areas once their boundaries arrive, the 2007 health region around Inkerman until then.
- Flood studies aren’t flood zones. Flood studies cover areas of every size, which is why the page lists them for Inkerman without grading them.
- Earthquakes are modelled. NRCan models what earthquakes would cost buildings each year on average, subdivision by subdivision; Inkerman’s figure is its subdivision’s.
- Wildfire counts one way. Wildfire is read from the national burned-area record around Inkerman’s homes since 1986, a history of fire that may lower Risk but never raises it.
Questions about flooding and hazards in Inkerman
How is Inkerman’s Hazard risk Grade worked out?
Inkerman’s Hazard risk grade is D, built on earthquakes and radon with a one-sided wildfire input.
Is radon a problem in Inkerman?
40% of the 115 homes Health Canada tested around Inkerman topped the guideline; your own house needs its own test.
Does Inkerman flood?
A flood study covers Inkerman on Canada’s Flood Map Inventory; open the owner’s map to check a street, since flood isn’t graded.
Is Inkerman at risk of wildfire?
Not much by Canadian standards: Inkerman’s band is low, with 1.5% of the land within 25 km burned since 1986 (last in 2004), so wildfire doesn’t change its grade.
How big is the earthquake risk in Inkerman?
About $0.044 a year per $1,000 of building value, NRCan’s long-run expectation for Inkerman.
Seismic risk: Natural Resources Canada. Radon: Health Canada. Wildfire: Canadian Wildland Fire Information System. Flood studies: Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.
Sources: NRCan, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model 2022 · Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes · CWFIS, National Burned Area Composite and FBP fuel types · NRCan, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).