Hazard risk in Esgenoôpetitj 14 is higher than in 96% of Canadian towns
Fire is a regular visitor: 13% of the land within 25 km of Esgenoôpetitj 14 has burned since 1986 (0.32% a year). Seismic risk in Esgenoôpetitj 14 sits near the middle: $0.045 of expected damage per $1,000 of buildings a year, the typical town $0.030. In Health Canada’s survey, 29% of homes tested in the area exceeded 200 Bq/m³ (6.6% typical). Hazard risk gives Esgenoôpetitj 14 a grade of D−; its wildfire band pulls it down.
What stands out about Esgenoôpetitj 14’s hazards
Four national sources, each read for Esgenoôpetitj 14: earthquakes, radon, past fires and flood studies.
What Esgenoôpetitj 14 faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Wildfire
Earthquakes
Radon
Flood study
Esgenoôpetitj 14 grades D− for hazard risk
Earthquake risk and radon make Esgenoôpetitj 14’s grade; wildfire can only lower it, never raise it, and flood studies are listed but not scored.
How sure: The seismic figure is a long-run average from NRCan’s model, not a prediction. Small fires and grass fires are largely missing from the national burned-area record.
A high wildfire band for Esgenoôpetitj 14: 0% within 5 km, 13% within 25 km
Past fire around Esgenoôpetitj 14’s homes, from the national burned-area record, with the fuel within 5 km.
High: the land around Esgenoôpetitj 14 burns at 0.32% a year, where the typical Canadian town sees 0.000%.
The 5 km ring around Esgenoôpetitj 14’s homes is clear of burns since 1986, the nearest 12 km out.
Near or far, forest fuel covers a similar share around Esgenoôpetitj 14: 81% within 5 km and 84% within 25 km.
Shares of land within 5 and 25 km of populated blocks: burned at least once in 1986–2025 (CWFIS burned-area composite), forest fuel and grass (fire behaviour fuel types, 2026, 250 m grid).
Burn rate a year, towns in New Brunswick · highest of 61
None of the 61 towns in New Brunswick burns faster than Esgenoôpetitj 14 (0.32% a year); Tracadie follows at 0.28%.
Each bar: the yearly average share of land within 25 km of a town’s homes that burned, 1986–2025 (CWFIS); the seven highest towns of 2,500 people or more.
Just 1.9% of Canada’s 2,610 towns burn fast enough for the high band where Esgenoôpetitj 14 sits; 0.2% burn faster.
Bands of the yearly burn rate: low under 0.05%, moderate under 0.25%, high under 1%, very high 1% or more; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Canadian Wildland Fire Information System: National Burned Area Composite 1986–2025 and fire behaviour fuel types (2026), Natural Resources Canada. Measured within 25 km and 5 km of each populated dissemination area; past fire, not a forecast.
Service New Brunswick - GeoNB has mapped flooding for Esgenoôpetitj 14 (1 study)
What Canada’s Flood Map Inventory lists for Esgenoôpetitj 14: who studied flooding and where to see their maps.
For Esgenoôpetitj 14 the inventory points to Service New Brunswick - GeoNB’s 2020 study, whose map is the one to check.
| Study | By | Year | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inland Flood Mapping in New Brunswick and Updated Sea-Level Rise and Flooding Estimates for New Brunswick Coastal Sections 2020 | Service New Brunswick - GeoNB | 2020 | final |
Towns with a flood study on file
Its flood study puts Esgenoôpetitj 14 with 93% of towns in New Brunswick; Canada’s share is 58%.
NRCan Canada Flood Map Inventory: a study footprint touching the town’s boundary; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Listed, not scored: a flood study proves a map exists, not that Esgenoôpetitj 14 floods.
The inventory’s own caution (NRCan): “The Canada Flood Map (CFM) does not include every flood hazard map in Canada and may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. It should not be relied upon as the official source of flood mapping information. Furthermore, if a map appears to be missing, this does not necessarily mean that the area has never been mapped. For the official version of a map, updated information, or confirmation of applicable regulations, please contact the local authority responsible for flood mapping.”
Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory; links go to each study’s owner.
Expected shaking damage in Esgenoôpetitj 14: $0.045 a year per $1,000
Expected yearly building losses from earthquakes, from Natural Resources Canada’s model.
Esgenoôpetitj 14’s $0.045 is close to the typical town’s $0.030 (1.5 times as much).
Shaking damage a year per $1,000 of building value
The typical town in New Brunswick expects $0.036 a year; Esgenoôpetitj 14 expects $0.045, and St. Stephen $0.16.
NRCan seismic risk model (2022): mean yearly building loss per $1,000 of value; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
32% of Canada’s 2,611 towns expect more shaking damage than Esgenoôpetitj 14, which places it in the upper third.
Each column: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more in that range of yearly loss per $1,000 (NRCan, 2022).
The model counts damage to Esgenoôpetitj 14’s buildings and their occupants from shaking only: not liquefaction, landslides, tsunami or fires after a quake.
Natural Resources Canada, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model (2022), by census subdivision (2016 boundaries; a few 2021 subdivisions take their residents’ mean).
Test for radon in Esgenoôpetitj 14: 29% of area homes were over the guideline
Long-term radon tests in homes across the survey area, against Health Canada’s guideline. · Shared with the rest of the Region 7 health region: radon tests
Esgenoôpetitj 14’s survey area reads 29% over the guideline, well past the typical Canadian town’s 6.6%.
Tested homes over 200 Bq/m³
Over 600 Bq/m³
Esgenoôpetitj 14’s area, at 29%, is above the median in New Brunswick (20%), and 5% of its tests passed 600 Bq/m³.
Health Canada radon survey (2009–2011), by 2007 health region; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Few of Canada’s 2,611 towns (3.1%) share the 20–30% band with Esgenoôpetitj 14, and 1.5% sit above it.
Each bar: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more whose survey area had that share of tests over 200 Bq/m³.
The share describes the area, not a house: in Esgenoôpetitj 14 as anywhere, test to be sure.
Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes (2009–2011).
Weather and fire alerts for Esgenoôpetitj 14
Alerts for Esgenoôpetitj 14 come from Environment and Climate Change Canada and, for emergencies, Alert Ready.
| Alert | What it means |
|---|---|
| Warning | Severe weather is happening or about to: act now. |
| Watch | Conditions favour severe weather: be ready. |
| Advisory | Weather that is less severe but could disrupt the day. |
| Special weather statement | Unusual weather worth knowing about. |
| Special air quality statement | Poor air, often wildfire smoke. |
Alert Ready carries evacuation orders for Esgenoôpetitj 14 to phones; CWFIS shows the day’s fire danger.
Weather alerts (ECCC) · Alert Ready · Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
How Esgenoôpetitj 14’s neighbours compare on hazards
Wildfire band, earthquake risk, radon and flood studies for each place nearby.
Neguac burns a little more than Esgenoôpetitj 14, in the same high band (high here).
Radon is the survey area’s figure, so neighbours in one area share it.
Get ready for what Esgenoôpetitj 14 faces
Practical steps for Esgenoôpetitj 14’s hazards, most pressing first.
- Clear needles and wood nearby.
- Keep a grab-and-go bag ready.
- In smoke, stay in; filter air.
- Test for three months in winter.
- Over 200 Bq/m³: fix it.
- Kits are cheap; pros test too.
- Never drive through floodwater.
- Move papers and medicines upstairs.
- Ask whether your street is mapped.
- Has it had a radon test?
- Check the address on the flood map.
- How close is the forest edge?
- Are flood and wildfire insured?
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Radon is a survey. The radon share comes from about 14,000 long-term home tests in 2009–2011, pooled for now by the 2007 health region Esgenoôpetitj 14 sits in.
- Flood studies aren’t flood zones. A study’s area can be a whole watershed or province, so being on the inventory says a map exists, not that a home in Esgenoôpetitj 14 floods.
- Wildfire counts one way. Wildfire is read from the national burned-area record around Esgenoôpetitj 14’s homes since 1986, a history of fire that may lower Risk but never raises it.
- Earthquakes are modelled. NRCan models what earthquakes would cost buildings each year on average, subdivision by subdivision; Esgenoôpetitj 14’s figure is its subdivision’s.
Questions about flooding and hazards in Esgenoôpetitj 14
Does Esgenoôpetitj 14 flood?
Esgenoôpetitj 14’s area has been studied for flooding, and the owner’s map shows which streets lie in a zone; the grade leaves flood out.
How is Esgenoôpetitj 14’s Hazard risk Grade worked out?
Hazard risk gives Esgenoôpetitj 14 D−, weighing earthquakes and radon and counting wildfire only against it.
Is Esgenoôpetitj 14 at risk of wildfire?
It is: 13% of the land within 25 km of Esgenoôpetitj 14 has burned since 1986, the latest in 2025, which puts it in the high band that lowers Risk.
Is radon a problem in Esgenoôpetitj 14?
29% of the 200 homes Health Canada tested around Esgenoôpetitj 14 topped the guideline; your own house needs its own test.
How big is the earthquake risk in Esgenoôpetitj 14?
In NRCan’s seismic model, Esgenoôpetitj 14’s buildings lose $0.045 per $1,000 of value in an average year.
Seismic risk: Natural Resources Canada. Radon: Health Canada. Wildfire: Canadian Wildland Fire Information System. Flood studies: Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.
Sources: NRCan, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model 2022 · Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes · CWFIS, National Burned Area Composite and FBP fuel types · NRCan, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).