Menifee reaches 100° on about 42 days a year, more than all but 175 U.S. towns
January mornings start at about 41°. February is the wettest month, June the driest. It is a dry place: less rain and snow fall here than on 97% of U.S. towns. Tender plants can go out after about January 28; in half of years the first frost comes by December 18.
A year in Menifee at a glance
Each month’s typical high and low, and what it brings.
What stands out about Menifee’s climate
Compared with towns across the U.S., with Menifee’s place in California beside it.
What a year in Menifee feels like
Typical highs and lows by season and by month, from NOAA’s 30-year normals.
About 329 frost-free days a year
In half of years the last 32° night comes by January 28 and the first by December 18. Frost and day counts come from NOAA’s station at Elsinore, CA, 9 miles from the city’s center point, 210 ft lower.
The 2023 USDA map puts Menifee’s center in zone 9b: the coldest night of a typical winter, averaged over 1991–2020, reaches about 27°. Plant labels use the zone; frost dates tell you when to plant.
Freezing nights by month
Average nights at or below 32°
90° days by month
Average days at 90° or more
About 11 inches of rain a year
February is the wettest month and June the driest. Rain falls on about 32 days a year. Snow is rare: about 0.2" in a normal year at Elsinore, CA, so most winters see none.
Rain + melted snow by month
Inches of water
Heating and cooling a home in Menifee
45% of the work is heating, so air conditioning is the bigger bill. Months averaging under 55° run from December through February.
Degree days add up how far each day’s average falls below (heating) or rises above (cooling) 65° over a year. NOAA normals at Elsinore, CA.
Living with Menifee’s climate
What the numbers mean for a garden, a free afternoon and a bad-weather day.
329 frost-free days in zone 9b. The last frost comes by Jan 28 in half of years, so many gardeners wait a week or two past that to set out tomatoes. The first fall frost comes by Dec 18.
Months with highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more: January, February, March, April, May, October and November. 52 miles of trails are waiting.
Parks & trails →Of the yearly building losses FEMA expects in Menifee from natural hazards, river flooding is the largest share (71%); heat waves, cold waves, winter storms and ice storms together are 1%. Normals are averages; the hazards page covers the extremes.
Natural hazards →Menifee and its neighbors
Romoland the hottest July afternoons (95°, 1° warmer). Differences under a degree are within what the 5 km grid can tell apart. Tap a town to see its climate.
Climates most like Menifee’s, farther away
TownRatings’ own comparison of NOAA 1991–2020 normals, not a NOAA product: places of 5,000+ at least 150 miles away, one per state, closest on January low, July high, precipitation and snow.
| Town | Jan. low | July high | Precip. | Snow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Menifee, CA | 41° | 93° | 11" | 0.2" |
| Corona de Tucson, AZ | 36° | 96° | 14" | 0.1" |
| Fort Stockton, TX | 33° | 96° | 13" | 1.4" |
| Santa Teresa, NM | 33° | 95° | 9" | 2.0" |
| Medford, OR | 32° | 92° | 19" | 3.4" |
Temperatures and rain come from NOAA’s 5 km grid, so each town gets its own value. Snow and frost-free days come from the nearest weather station, so neighbors often share them.
Warmer than it used to be
The last 30 years in Menifee averaged 2.2° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in January (+3.3°).
A bigger shift than in 95% of U.S. towns.
Change by month
The two periods overlap (1991–2000 is in both), which makes the gap a little smaller than it would be between separate periods. In a city of 119,000 people, part of the change is the city itself: pavement and buildings hold heat (the urban heat island).
How Menifee compares
Against 12,954 U.S. towns of 2,500 or more (one per 5 km climate cell), with Menifee’s place among California’s.
Menifee weather by month
Highs, lows and precipitation from NOAA’s grid at Menifee’s center; snow, wet days and snow on the ground from Elsinore, CA. 1991–2020 normals.
| Month | High | Low | Rain + melt | Snow | Wet days | Snow on ground | 30-yr range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 66° | 41° | 2.4" | 0.0" | 6 | 0 | 49° – 60° |
| February | 66° | 42° | 3.0" | 0.0" | 6 | 0 | 48° – 62° |
| March | 70° | 44° | 1.4" | 0.0" | 5 | 0 | 50° – 64° |
| April | 74° | 47° | 0.6" | 0.2" | 3 | 0 | 55° – 64° |
| May | 79° | 51° | 0.3" | 0.0" | 1 | 0 | 59° – 71° |
| June | 87° | 55° | 0.0" | 0.0" | 0 | 0 | 66° – 76° |
| July | 93° | 61° | 0.1" | 0.0" | 1 | 0 | 72° – 83° |
| August | 95° | 62° | 0.1" | 0.0" | 1 | 0 | 75° – 82° |
| September | 91° | 59° | 0.1" | 0.0" | 1 | 0 | 71° – 79° |
| October | 82° | 52° | 0.4" | 0.0" | 2 | 0 | 62° – 72° |
| November | 73° | 45° | 0.6" | 0.0" | 3 | 0 | 52° – 64° |
| December | 66° | 40° | 1.4" | 0.0" | 5 | 0 | 48° – 61° |
| Year | 78° | 50° | 10.5" | 0.2" | 32 | 0 |
How much a month can swing
A normal is an average. February swings the most: from 1991 to 2020 its average ranged from 48° to 62°. August is the most reliable, staying within 7°.
Where Menifee’s numbers come from
Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. How TownRatings reads climate data →
- Temperatures and precipitation: NOAA’s gridded 1991–2020 normals for the 5 km cell at Menifee’s center.
- Snow: Elsinore, CA.
- Frost, freezing nights, 90° and 100° days, heating and cooling: Elsinore, CA, 9 miles from the city’s center point, 210 ft lower; the nearest station that passes our checks for distance, height and agreement with the grid.
- Growing zone: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map, 2023. USDA Agricultural Research Service and PRISM Group, Oregon State University, prism.oregonstate.edu/phzm, accessed 8 Oct 2026.
- Then and now: NOAA’s gridded normals for 1901–2000 at the same cell.
- Storms and extremes: FEMA National Risk Index (expected annual losses to buildings).
Common questions about Menifee’s climate
What is the weather like in Menifee?
A typical July afternoon reaches 93°, a January night drops to 41°, and snow is almost unheard of. Milder January nights than 90% of U.S. towns; hotter July afternoons than 92% of U.S. towns.
How cold does it get in Menifee in winter?
December nights average 40°. About 9 nights a year reach 32° or below. In the coldest December of the last 30 years the month averaged 48°.
How much snow does Menifee get?
About 0.2 inches in a normal winter at Elsinore, CA, so most winters see none.
How hot does it get in Menifee?
July, with a typical high of 93° and a low of 61°. About 123 days a year reach 90° and 42 reach 100° (Elsinore, CA).
When is the first and last frost in Menifee?
In half of years the last spring frost (32°) comes by January 28 and the first fall frost by December 18, about 329 frost-free days, at Elsinore, CA.
What growing zone is Menifee in?
Zone 9b on the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map: the coldest night of a typical winter reaches about 27°.
What is the best time of year to visit Menifee?
By one simple rule (highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more), January, February, March, April, May, October and November. The rule is ours, not NOAA’s; the month table has the numbers to judge by.
Is Menifee getting warmer?
Yes: 1991–2020 averaged 2.2° warmer than 1901–2000 on NOAA’s grid. A bigger shift than 95% of U.S. towns.
Neighbors talk weather
Gardens, snow, and the best days of the year in Menifee.
Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000; USDA/PRISM 2023 hardiness zones; FEMA National Risk Index. Today’s forecast: National Weather Service.