Heliograph Lookout Complex · Photo: Ezylola · CC BY-SA 4.0On FEMA’s figures, Swift Trail Junction faces more hazard damage per building than 90% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Swift Trail Junction gets a D for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 90% of U.S. towns, #109 of 140 in Arizona. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (62%), then wildfire (36%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.
Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded
What Swift Trail Junction faces
Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.
River and rain flooding
Wildfire
Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.
What’s behind Swift Trail Junction’s grade
River and rain flooding is 62% of the building damage FEMA expects in Swift Trail Junction, and Swift Trail Junction’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 89% of U.S. census tracts. Wildfire adds 36%, at a rate in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts.
D #109 of 140 in Arizona; higher expected damage per building than 90% of U.S. towns (21,298).
Swift Trail Junction’s residents live in 2 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.
The typical Arizona town has higher expected damage than 78% of U.S. towns; within the state, Swift Trail Junction has more expected damage per building than 78% of Arizona towns.
In dollars, FEMA expects about $1.9M a year in losses across Swift Trail Junction: $1.2M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.
Does Swift Trail Junction flood? No paid flood claims on record
FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Swift Trail Junction. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.
Swift Trail Junction isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Graham County.The storms Swift Trail Junction remembers
None of the 10 disasters declared for Graham County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Swift Trail Junction itself in FEMA’s records, so these are its biggest flood-claim years.
Graham County has had 10 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often floods, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.
Swift Trail Junction and its neighbors
Swift Trail Junction is 2nd of the 2 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.
| Town | Hazard risk | Mostly (buildings) | Flood claims |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cactus Flats | Dmore damage than 87% | river and rain flooding | — |
| Swift Trail Junction | Dmore damage than 90% | river and rain flooding | 0 |
Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.
Get ready for what Swift Trail Junction faces
A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.
- Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
- Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
- Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
- Clear dead leaves and brush within 5 feet of the house.
- Sign up for local alerts and know two ways out.
- Keep N95 masks for smoky days.
- Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
- Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
- Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.
Questions about natural hazards in Swift Trail Junction
Is Swift Trail Junction at risk for natural disasters?
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Swift Trail Junction has higher expected damage per building than 90% of U.S. towns: D for hazard risk, #109 of 140 in Arizona. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (62%) and wildfire (36%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.
Is Swift Trail Junction in a flood zone?
Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Graham County, 16% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 1.6% of all homes do.
How much is flood insurance in Swift Trail Junction?
FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Swift Trail Junction’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.
Is Swift Trail Junction at risk from river and rain flooding?
It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (62%), and Swift Trail Junction’s rate for it is higher than 89% of U.S. census tracts.
Storm stories
Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Swift Trail Junction.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Swift Trail Junction’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.