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Van Winkle's Mill SiteVan Winkle's Mill Site · Photo: Farther Along · CC BY 2.0
B−Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Prairie Creek · FEMA

For ice storms, Prairie Creek’s building-damage rate is in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Prairie Creek gets a B− for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 54% of U.S. towns. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (72%), then ice storms (18%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 54%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade
By hazard

What Prairie Creek faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

72%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 62% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Ice storms

18%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area
Smaller shares here
 Tornadoes Earthquakes Hail Winter storms top 3% Strong wind Wildfire Landslides top 2% Hurricanes Lightning Cold waves Heat waves
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts heat waves at 8% of Prairie Creek’s expected losses. Heat waves do little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Prairie Creek’s grade

River and rain flooding is 72% of the building damage FEMA expects in Prairie Creek, and Prairie Creek’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 62% of U.S. census tracts. Ice storms add 18%, at a rate in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Prairie Creek sits
Prairie Creek
Least damageMiddleMost damage

B− higher expected damage per building than 54% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Prairie Creek’s residents live in 2 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding72%Ice storms18%Everything else10%

In dollars, FEMA expects about $674K a year in losses across Prairie Creek: $477K to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

A small-area figure. Prairie Creek covers 2 census tracts, combined by where residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Prairie Creek flood? No paid flood claims on record

FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Prairie Creek. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.

of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Prairie Creek isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Benton County.
Disasters

The storms Prairie Creek remembers

None of the 20 disasters declared for Benton County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Prairie Creek itself in FEMA’s records, so these are its biggest flood-claim years.

Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in Prairie CreekBenton County only

Benton County has had 20 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then floods. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Be ready

Get ready for what Prairie Creek faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Ice storms
  • Ice brings down trees and lines: plan for days without power.
  • Run a generator outside, far from doors and windows.
  • Keep sand or salt by the door.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Prairie Creek

Is Prairie Creek at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Prairie Creek has higher expected damage per building than 54% of U.S. towns: B− for hazard risk. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (72%) and ice storms (18%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Is Prairie Creek in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Benton County, 24% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.4% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Prairie Creek?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Prairie Creek’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

Is Prairie Creek at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (72%), and Prairie Creek’s rate for it is higher than 62% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Prairie Creek.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Prairie Creek’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.