Photo: Humphrey Bolton · CC BY-SA 2.0For violent crime, Tumble trails 85% of UK towns per resident
With 187 cases in the 12 months to August 2026, violent crime reaches 46.3 per 1,000 residents in Tumble, well above the typical 22.4. Graded on crimes police recorded inside the town’s built-up area from September 2023 to August 2026, it scores C− for safety: #8 of 23 in Dyfed. Violence recorded locally climbed 24% in a year. Annual rates stand at 40.5 violent and sexual offences and 11.5 incidents of burglary, vehicle crime and damage for every thousand residents.
Crimes and reports per 1,000 residents (Census 2021) a year, September 2023 to August 2026.
What stands out about safety in Tumble
Violent crime rose over the year
In the 12 months to August 2026 police recorded 24% more violent crime per resident in Tumble than in the year before; across UK towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people violent crime held steady. Burglary, vehicle crime and criminal damage held steady (towns its size: held steady). Trend ↓
More crime than many places its size
Of 539 UK towns of 3,000 to 5,000 people, Tumble has the 474th lowest rate of graded crime: lower than Castle Cary, Appleby-in-Westmorland and Middleton St George, higher than Lenham and Harrietsham, St Asaph and Backworth. Towns its size ↓
Written from the police.uk and government data on this page. Figures are crimes police recorded, not convictions.
Tumble: C− for safety, and why
A firm grade. Built on 567 graded crimes over three years. The grade adds violent and sexual offences and crimes against homes and vehicles per resident and ranks Tumble against every UK town of 1,000 or more.
Per resident, against all UK towns; beside it, how it compares with towns its size.
Police in Tumble identify a suspect more often than across UK towns
No suspect was identified for 48% of Tumble’s burglaries, vehicle crimes and criminal damage, against 69% across UK towns, and for 4% of violent and sexual offences against 19%. Most violent cases close as “unable to prosecute” (76% here), usually because the victim doesn’t support a prosecution. About 4% of violent and 8% of household crimes reached court.
The latest outcome police.uk shows for each crime recorded in the first of the three years (September 2023 to August 2024), so most cases have closed. 121 crimes.
How crime in Tumble has moved
Dyfed Powys Police published four months short or not at all (Jan 2024, Feb 2024, Mar 2024 and Apr 2024), so the line breaks there and those months are left out of the rates. “Towns its size” pools all UK towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people that police.uk covers each month (Greater Manchester has no data).
Rolling twelve-month rate, per 1,000 residents a year (longer windows for smaller places, where a few crimes swing a month). In the 12 months to August 2026 against the 12 before: violent +24% (towns its size +1%), homes and vehicles +2% (towns its size -1%), anti-social behaviour +8% (towns its size +0%).
How Tumble’s neighbourhoods rank in Wales
31% of residents live in the lowest-crime 30% of Wales’s neighbourhoods, and 0% in the highest-crime 20%. The community safety domain scores recorded crime, anti-social behaviour and fire incidents where people live, so it can read differently from the town-wide rate, which counts crimes where they happened.
Tumble’s residents by the crime decile of their neighbourhood (LSOA, about 1,500 people) in the Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation 2025 (community safety domain), where 1 is the highest-crime 10% of Wales’s neighbourhoods and 10 the lowest.
474th of 539: Tumble among towns its size
| # | Town | People | Violent | Homes & vehicles | Shops & theft | Safety |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bailrigg Lancashire | 4,788 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 7.9 | A+ |
| … | ||||||
| 151 | Llangennech Dyfed | 4,278 | 20.1 | 5.1 | 2.2 | B+ |
| … | ||||||
| 471 | Lenham and Harrietsham Kent | 4,763 | 35.5 | 16.3 | 29.1 | C− |
| 472 | St Asaph Clwyd | 3,483 | 39.3 | 12.5 | 10.1 | C− |
| 473 | Backworth Tyne and Wear | 4,483 | 34.6 | 17.2 | 23.3 | C− |
| 474 | Tumble Dyfed | 4,040 | 40.5 | 11.5 | 2.8 | C− |
| 475 | Mytholmroyd West Yorkshire | 3,852 | 36.7 | 15.4 | 17 | C− |
| 476 | Cranbrook Kent | 3,962 | 31.8 | 20.4 | 37.1 | C− |
| 477 | Market Rasen Lincolnshire | 4,959 | 41.4 | 11.1 | 21.3 | C− |
| … | ||||||
| 482 | Glanaman Dyfed | 3,866 | 39.4 | 14.7 | 6.3 | C− |
| … | ||||||
| 487 | Neyland Dyfed | 3,250 | 40 | 15.8 | 7.3 | C− |
| … | ||||||
| 511 | Fishguard Dyfed | 3,422 | 53 | 14.1 | 8.9 | D |
| … | ||||||
| 539 | Eastchurch Kent | 3,381 | 132 | 13.9 | 3.5 | D− |
Safety letters rank against every UK town of 1,000 or more; the order here is context only.
Graded crime per 1,000 residents a year, September 2023 to August 2026, counting from the least: towns ranked near Tumble, and others in Dyfed.
What police recorded in the last 12 months
Against the typical town its size, Tumble runs highest on violence & sexual offences (46.3 per 1,000 against 22.4), criminal damage & arson (8.2 per 1,000 against 4.5) and burglary (2.7 per 1,000 against 1.9). Anti-social behaviour sits below it.
Show as a table
| Category | In the grade | Reports | Per 1,000 | Typical |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violence & sexual offences | Violent | 187 | 46.3 | 22.4 |
| Criminal damage & arson | Home & vehicle | 33 | 8.2 | 4.5 |
| Anti-social behaviour | not graded | 26 | 6.4 | 8.8 |
| Public order | not graded | 17 | 4.2 | 3.6 |
| Burglary | Home & vehicle | 11 | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| Other crime | not graded | 8 | 2 | 1.5 |
| Other theft | not graded | 6 | 1.5 | 3.2 |
| Vehicle crime | Home & vehicle | 6 | 1.5 | 2 |
| Drugs | not graded | 5 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Possession of weapons | Violent | 5 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Shoplifting | not graded | 1 | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Bicycle theft | not graded | 0 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Robbery | Violent | 0 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Theft from the person | not graded | 0 | 0 | 0 |
“Violent” is police.uk’s violence and sexual offences (which includes harassment, stalking and assault without injury), robbery and possession of weapons. Anti-social behaviour isn’t a crime category; shoplifting and other theft happen mostly in shops and town centres rather than to residents, so neither counts in the grade.
September 2025 to August 2026, per 1,000 residents. The tick on each bar is the typical (median) town among UK towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people.
Crime in Tumble per 1,000 residents
A crime isn’t a victim: one person can report several, and crimes in a town centre often involve visitors rather than residents.
And about 12 burglaries, vehicle crimes or acts of criminal damage, plus 2 shoplifting and theft reports, in the 12 months to August 2026. Each dot is one resident; each coloured dot is one recorded crime.
One person died in collisions on Tumble’s roads in 2021–2025
Police recorded 16 collisions with injuries inside Tumble in five years, in which one person died (1 was a pedestrian). 8 people were killed or seriously injured: 1 on foot and 3 on a bicycle.
Most UK towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people (81%) had no road deaths in these five years, so with numbers this small a single collision changes the picture; Tumble’s one death is context, not a ranking.
Counting serious injuries too, a town of Tumble’s size at the median for UK towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people would see about 3 people killed or seriously injured in five years; Tumble had 8.
Casualties are counted where the collision happened, not where people lived: a main road through town adds through-traffic, and residents’ own risk on roads elsewhere isn’t here. Seriously injured uses the Department for Transport’s adjusted figures, which even out the police forces’ different ways of recording injuries. There’s no national rate here: more than half of road deaths in England and Wales (58%) happen outside every town’s built-up area. Source: DfT road casualty statistics (STATS19), 2021–2025.
Collisions police recorded inside Tumble’s built-up area, 2021–2025. Described here; not part of the Safety Grade.
Crime in the places around Tumble
| Town | People | Violent | Homes & vehicles | Safety |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tumble | 4,040 | 40.5 | 11.5 | C− |
| Cross Hands and Pen-y-groes | 6,339 | 30.8 | 9.8 | C |
| Pontyberem | 1,484 | 27 | 9.6 | C+ |
| Capel Hendre | 1,143 | 42 | 10.8 | C− |
| Tycroes | 2,480 | 17.1 | 3.5 | A− |
| Pontyates | 1,475 | 40.9 | 8.6 | C− |
| Penybanc | 1,165 | 18.4 | 4.5 | A− |
| Llandybie | 2,563 | 34.1 | 7.5 | C |
Tumble records more graded crime per resident than 6 of its 7 neighbours; only Capel Hendre records more. Cross Hands and Pen-y-groes, 2 miles away, records 30.8 violent and sexual offences per 1,000 residents a year (3-year average), against Tumble’s 40.5.
Per 1,000 residents a year, the same three years. Tap a town for its safety page.
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Some months are short. Dyfed Powys Police published January 2024, February 2024, March 2024 and April 2024 only in part or not at all. Those months are left out of the rates, which average the months that were published in full; the raw counts include what was published.
- Where crimes happen, not where victims live. police.uk places each crime at a point near where it happened. Town centres with shops, stations, a hospital and nightlife record more crime per resident, and residents of nearby villages who come in to shop or go out are part of that count.
- Bigger towns record more per resident. Across UK towns, recorded crime per resident rises steeply with size, more than in the U.S., so a city’s grade sits low against the whole UK. The “towns its size” figures show where Tumble sits among towns like it; they are context and don’t change the grade.
- Points are approximate. police.uk moves each point to the nearest of a set of anonymous map points, so crimes near the edge of the built-up area can fall either side of it.
Questions about safety in Tumble
Is Tumble safe?
Police recorded 40.5 violent and sexual offences and 11.5 burglaries, vehicle crimes and acts of criminal damage per 1,000 residents a year over the three years to August 2026 (police.uk, inside Tumble’s built-up area). That earns a C− for safety: less crime per resident than 19% of UK towns. Among 539 UK towns of 3,000 to 5,000 people, Tumble is 474th from the least crime.
Is crime going up in Tumble?
In the 12 months to August 2026, against the 12 months before, violent crime rose 24%, burglary, vehicle crime and damage held steady, shoplifting and theft fell 59% and anti-social behaviour rose 8%. Across UK towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people, violent crime held steady.
What is the most common crime in Tumble?
Violence & sexual offences: 187 in the 12 months to August 2026, which in police.uk includes harassment, stalking and assault without injury. Next came criminal damage & arson (33) and public order (17), with 26 reports of anti-social behaviour.
How does Tumble compare with Llanelli?
Llanelli records 60.2 violent and sexual offences and 21.3 crimes against homes and vehicles per 1,000 residents a year, against Tumble’s 40.5 and 11.5, over the same three years.
Sources: data.police.uk street-level crime, 36 months to August 2026, points inside the built-up-area boundary · ONS Census 2021, output areas summed to the ONS 2022 built-up area · Welsh Government Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation 2025, community safety domain by LSOA · Department for Transport road casualty statistics (STATS19), collisions 2021–2025, points inside the built-up-area boundary · TownRatings grades: our own summary of the data, ranked against UK towns only. All under the Open Government Licence v3.0.
Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Contains HM Land Registry data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026 (ONS boundaries). Northern Ireland: Source: NISRA; contains Land & Property Services data and Ordnance Survey of Northern Ireland information, © Crown copyright, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Scotland: contains National Records of Scotland data, Registers of Scotland data and SEPA data, © Crown copyright / © SEPA 2025, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.