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Climate in Prosper · NOAA 1991–2020 normals

Prosper reaches 100° on about 14 days a year, more than 93% of U.S. towns

A typical July afternoon reaches 95°, a January night drops to 34°, and about 3 inches of snow falls in a normal winter.

Hotter July afternoons than 94% of U.S. towns#349Hottest summers  of 632 in TX
Milder January nights than 79% of U.S. towns#484Mildest winters  of 632 in TX
All TX rankings →

A year in Prosper at a glance

Each month’s typical high and low, and what it brings.

Jan55°34°
Feb59°38°
Mar67°46° Last frost ~Mar 17
Apr75°53° 1 day 90°+
May82°62° 4 days 90°+Wettest
Jun90°70° 16 days 90°+
Jul95°74° 27 days 90°+
Aug95°74° 27 days 90°+
Sep88°66° 13 days 90°+
Oct77°55° 2 days 90°+
Nov now66°45° First frost ~Nov 15
Dec56°36°

What stands out about Prosper’s climate

Compared with towns across the U.S., with Prosper’s place in Texas beside it.

A normal year

What a year in Prosper feels like

Typical highs and lows by season and by month, from NOAA’s 30-year normals.

Winter
57° / 36°
Snow is rare
Spring
74° / 54°
Last frost around Mar 17
Summer
93° / 73°
14 days reach 100°
Fall
77° / 55°
First frost around Nov 15
Best months to be outsideMarAprMayOctNovHighs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more
Frost, heat & the growing season

About 241 frost-free days a year

In half of years the last 32° night comes by March 17 and the first by November 15. Frost and day counts come from NOAA’s station at Mckinney Municipal Airport, 13 miles from the town’s center, at about the same height.

45
nights at or below 32° in a normal year
491st fewest of 630 in Texas
Fewer freezing nights than 80% of U.S. towns
0
nights at or below 0°
None in a normal year
88
days that reach 90°
543rd most of 630 in Texas
More 90° days than 89% of U.S. towns
14
days that reach 100°
384th most of 630 in Texas
More 100° days than 93% of U.S. towns
8bUSDA zone
Plant hardiness zone 8b

The 2023 USDA map puts Prosper’s center in zone 8b: the coldest night of a typical winter, averaged over 1991–2020, reaches about 16°. Plant labels use the zone; frost dates tell you when to plant.

Freezing nights by month

Average nights at or below 32°

14
JFMAMJJASOND

90° days by month

Average days at 90° or more

27
JFMAMJJASOND
Rain & snow

About 3 inches of snow a winter

Snow, measured at Frisco, TX, falls mostly in February. Precipitation (rain plus melted snow) adds up to 40 inches a year; May is the wettest month and July the driest. Rain or snow falls on about 84 days a year.

40"
Rain + melted snow a year
406th driest of 632 in Texas
Drier than 60% of U.S. towns
2.6"
Snow in a normal winter
549th least snowy of 614 in Texas
Less snow than 74% of U.S. towns
2 days
With 1"+ of snow on the ground
570th fewest of 609 in Texas
Fewer days with snow on the ground than 69% of U.S. towns

Rain + melted snow by month

Inches of water

4.9"
JFMAMJJASOND

Snowfall by month

Inches of snow

1"
JFMAMJJASOND
Heating & cooling

Heating and cooling a home in Prosper

50% of the work is heating. Months averaging under 55° run from December through February.

2,429 heating degree daysLess heating than 84% of U.S. towns
2,416 cooling degree daysMore cooling than 88% of U.S. towns

Degree days add up how far each day’s average falls below (heating) or rises above (cooling) 65° over a year. NOAA normals at Mckinney Municipal Airport.

Living here

Living with Prosper’s climate

What the numbers mean for a garden, a free afternoon and a bad-weather day.

The garden window

241 frost-free days in zone 8b. The last frost comes by Mar 17 in half of years, so many gardeners wait a week or two past that to set out tomatoes. The first fall frost comes by Nov 15.

Get outside

Months with highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more: March, April, May, October and November. 3.6 miles of trails are waiting.

Parks & trails →
Storms and extremes

Of the yearly building losses FEMA expects in Prosper from natural hazards, tornadoes are the largest share (51%); heat waves, cold waves, winter storms and ice storms together are 6%. Normals are averages; the hazards page covers the extremes.

Natural hazards →
Next door

Prosper and its neighbors

Every town next door is within a degree of Prosper in January and July, closer than the 5 km grid can tell apart. Tap a town to see its climate.

Pilot Point: January low 34°, July high 95°Fairview: January low 34°, July high 94°Melissa: January low 34°, July high 94°Lowry Crossing: January low 34°, July high 94°Allen: January low 35°, July high 94°The Colony: January low 35°, July high 95°Plano: January low 35°, July high 95°Hackberry: January low 35°, July high 96°Providence Village: January low 34°, July high 95°Oak Point: January low 34°, July high 96°Aubrey: January low 34°, July high 95°Lakewood Village: January low 34°, July high 96°Celina: January low 34°, July high 95°McKinney: January low 34°, July high 94°Savannah: January low 34°, July high 95°Frisco: January low 35°, July high 94°Little Elm: January low 34°, July high 95°Prosper: January low 34°, July high 95°ProsperCelinaMcKinneySavannahFriscoLittle Elm
ColderMilder34° to 35°
Celina34.0° about the same
McKinney34.1° about the same
Savannah34.2° about the same
Little Elm34.2° about the same
Prosper34.4°
Frisco35.2° about the same

Climates most like Prosper’s, farther away

TownRatings’ own comparison of NOAA 1991–2020 normals, not a NOAA product: places of 5,000+ at least 150 miles away, one per state, closest on January low, July high, precipitation and snow.

TownJan. lowJuly highPrecip.Snow
Prosper, TX34°95°40"2.6"
Clearlake, CA35°93°40"0.4"
Cayce, SC35°93°46"1.2"
Evans, GA35°92°45"0.8"
The Village, OK28°94°36"2.5"

Temperatures and rain come from NOAA’s 5 km grid, so each town gets its own value. Snow and frost-free days come from the nearest weather station, so neighbors often share them.

Then and now

Warmer than it used to be

The last 30 years in Prosper averaged 0.7° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in January (+1.7°).

+0.7°1991–2020 vs. 1901–2000

A smaller shift than in 92% of U.S. towns.

Winter+1.4°now 47°, was 45°
Spring+0.7°now 64°, was 63°
Summer+0.5°now 83°, was 83°
Fall+0.4°now 66°, was 66°

Change by month

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

The two periods overlap (1991–2000 is in both), which makes the gap a little smaller than it would be between separate periods.

Compared with other towns

How Prosper compares

Against 12,954 U.S. towns of 2,500 or more (one per 5 km climate cell), with Prosper’s place among Texas’.

Summer heat95° July high
Hotter July afternoons than 94% of U.S. towns349th hottest of 632 in Texas
Winter cold34° January low
Milder January nights than 79% of U.S. towns484th mildest of 632 in Texas
Precipitation40" a year
Drier than 60% of U.S. towns406th driest of 632 in Texas
Snow2.6" a winter
Less snow than 74% of U.S. towns549th least snowy of 614 in Texas
Hot days88 days at 90°+
More 90° days than 89% of U.S. towns543rd most of 630 in Texas
Freezing nights45 a year
Fewer freezing nights than 80% of U.S. towns491st fewest of 630 in Texas
Growing season241 frost-free days
A longer frost-free season than 88% of U.S. towns417th longest of 552 in Texas
Month by month

Prosper weather by month

Highs, lows and precipitation from NOAA’s grid at Prosper’s center; snow, wet days and snow on the ground from Frisco, TX. 1991–2020 normals.

MonthHighLowRain + meltSnowWet daysSnow on ground30-yr range
January55°34°2.4"0.2"7040° – 53°
February59°38°2.8"1.3"8140° – 57°
March67°46°3.9"0.4"8051° – 63°
April75°53°3.7"0.0"7059° – 70°
May82°62°4.9"0.0"9069° – 77°
June90°70°3.8"0.0"8077° – 85°
July95°74°2.4"0.0"5081° – 90°
August95°74°2.4"0.0"6078° – 92°
September88°66°3.1"0.0"6073° – 84°
October77°55°4.7"0.0"7061° – 71°
November66°45°3.0"0.1"6049° – 61°
December56°36°3.2"0.6"7138° – 51°
Year75°55°40.2"2.6"842
Year to year

How much a month can swing

A normal is an average. February swings the most: from 1991 to 2020 its average ranged from 40° to 57°. June is the most reliable, staying within 8°.

Coldest to warmest month in 30 yearsNormal
Sources

Where Prosper’s numbers come from

Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. How TownRatings reads climate data →

  • Temperatures and precipitation: NOAA’s gridded 1991–2020 normals for the 5 km cell at Prosper’s center.
  • Snow: Frisco, TX.
  • Frost, freezing nights, 90° and 100° days, heating and cooling: Mckinney Municipal Airport, 13 miles from the town’s center, at about the same height; the nearest station that passes our checks for distance, height and agreement with the grid.
  • Growing zone: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map, 2023. USDA Agricultural Research Service and PRISM Group, Oregon State University, prism.oregonstate.edu/phzm, accessed 8 Oct 2026.
  • Then and now: NOAA’s gridded normals for 1901–2000 at the same cell.
  • Storms and extremes: FEMA National Risk Index (expected annual losses to buildings).

Common questions about Prosper’s climate

What is the weather like in Prosper?

A typical July afternoon reaches 95°, a January night drops to 34°, and about 3 inches of snow falls in a normal winter. Milder January nights than 79% of U.S. towns; hotter July afternoons than 94% of U.S. towns.

How cold does it get in Prosper in winter?

January nights average 34°. About 45 nights a year reach 32° or below. In the coldest January of the last 30 years the month averaged 40°.

How much snow does Prosper get?

About 2.6 inches in a normal winter at Frisco, TX, most of it in February, with snow on the ground about 2 days a year.

How hot does it get in Prosper?

July, with a typical high of 95° and a low of 74°. About 88 days a year reach 90° and 14 reach 100° (Mckinney Municipal Airport).

When is the first and last frost in Prosper?

In half of years the last spring frost (32°) comes by March 17 and the first fall frost by November 15, about 241 frost-free days, at Mckinney Municipal Airport.

What growing zone is Prosper in?

Zone 8b on the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map: the coldest night of a typical winter reaches about 16°.

What is the best time of year to visit Prosper?

By one simple rule (highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more), March, April, May, October and November. The rule is ours, not NOAA’s; the month table has the numbers to judge by.

Is Prosper getting warmer?

Yes: 1991–2020 averaged 0.7° warmer than 1901–2000 on NOAA’s grid. A smaller shift than 92% of U.S. towns.

Neighbors talk weather

Gardens, snow, and the best days of the year in Prosper.

Town Square →
Ask your neighbors

Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000; USDA/PRISM 2023 hardiness zones; FEMA National Risk Index. Today’s forecast: National Weather Service.