Photo: LibertyNALE · CC BY-SA 4.0Justin’s building-damage rate from hail is in the top 3% of U.S. census tracts
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Justin gets a B for hazard risk: lower expected damage per building than 57% of U.S. towns, #263 of 642 in Texas. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (52%), then hail (22%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.
Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded
What Justin faces
Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.
River and rain flooding
Hail
Tornadoes
Wildfire
Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.
What’s behind Justin’s grade
River and rain flooding is 52% of the building damage FEMA expects in Justin, and Justin’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is lower than 71% of U.S. census tracts. Hail adds 22%, at a rate in the top 3% of U.S. census tracts.
B #263 of 642 in Texas; lower expected damage per building than 57% of U.S. towns (21,298).
Justin’s residents live in 3 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.
The typical Texas town has higher expected damage than 50% of U.S. towns; within the state, Justin has less expected damage per building than 59% of Texas towns.
In dollars, FEMA expects about $1.8M a year in losses across Justin: $1.0M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.
Does Justin flood? No paid flood claims on record
FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Justin. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.
Justin isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Denton County.4 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Justin
Disasters that paid out in Justin itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Justin), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.
- 2024Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding22 households applied for aid$7K aid approved
- 2021Severe Winter Storms156 households applied for aid$48K aid approved
- 2015Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-line Winds and Flooding10 households applied for aid$2K aid approved
- 2007Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding5 households applied for aid$4K aid approved
Denton County has had 17 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then hurricanes and tropical storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.
Also 1 FEMA wildfire suppression grant (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Denton County, 2006–2006.
Old photos of Justin after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.
Add to the Justin archive →Justin and its neighbors
Justin has the lowest expected damage per building of the 2 graded towns here. Tap a town to see its hazards.
| Town | Hazard risk | Mostly (buildings) | Flood claims |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justin | Bless damage than 57% | river and rain flooding | 0 |
| Northlake | B−less damage than 52% | river and rain flooding | — |
Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.
Get ready for what Justin faces
A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.
- Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
- Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
- Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
- Park in a garage or under cover when storms are forecast.
- Stay away from windows while it falls.
- Photograph roof and car damage for your insurer.
- Pick your spot now: the lowest floor, an inside room, no windows.
- A watch means be ready; a warning means take cover now.
- Keep shoes and a flashlight by the bed.
- Clear dead leaves and brush within 5 feet of the house.
- Sign up for local alerts and know two ways out.
- Keep N95 masks for smoky days.
- Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
- Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
- Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.
Questions about natural hazards in Justin
Is Justin at risk for natural disasters?
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Justin has lower expected damage per building than 57% of U.S. towns: B for hazard risk, #263 of 642 in Texas. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (52%) and hail (22%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.
Is Justin in a flood zone?
Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Denton County, 28% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.7% of all homes do.
How much is flood insurance in Justin?
FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Justin’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.
What was the biggest storm in Justin?
By FEMA money that reached Justin, Severe Winter Storms (2021): 156 households applied for aid, $48K approved.
Is Justin at risk from river and rain flooding?
It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (52%), and Justin’s rate for it is lower than 71% of U.S. census tracts.
Storm stories
Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Justin.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Justin’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.