Photo: Brian Stansberry · CC BY 4.0On FEMA’s figures, Duncan faces about as much hazard damage per building as the typical U.S. town, mostly from river and rain flooding
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Duncan gets a B for hazard risk: lower expected damage per building than 56% of U.S. towns, #82 of 169 in South Carolina. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (78%). Flood insurance has paid 1 claim here since 2002.
Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded
What Duncan faces
Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.
River and rain flooding
Earthquakes
Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.
What’s behind Duncan’s grade
River and rain flooding is 78% of the building damage FEMA expects in Duncan, and Duncan’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 59% of U.S. census tracts. Ice storms add 5%, at a rate in the top 4% of U.S. census tracts.
B #82 of 169 in South Carolina; lower expected damage per building than 56% of U.S. towns (21,298).
Duncan’s residents live in 5 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.
The typical South Carolina town has lower expected damage than 55% of U.S. towns; within the state, Duncan has less expected damage per building than 52% of South Carolina towns.
In dollars, FEMA expects about $1.5M a year in losses across Duncan: $1.2M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.
Does Duncan flood? Rarely: 1 flood claim since 2002
Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Duncan, from FEMA’s records: 0.5 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 90% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.
Duncan isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Spartanburg County.4 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Duncan
Disasters that paid out in Duncan itself (aid to households or repair grants to the Town of Duncan), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.
- 2024Hurricane Helene4,254 households applied for aid$2.8M aid approved$363K to the Town of Duncan for repairs
- 2015Severe Storms and Flooding8 households applied for aid$2K aid approved
- 2005Severe Ice Storm$27K to the Town of Duncan for repairs
- 2002Severe Ice Storm$5K to the Town of Duncan for repairs1 flood claim paid that year
Spartanburg County has had 18 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often hurricanes and tropical storms, then winter storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.
Old photos of Duncan after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.
Add to the Duncan archive →Duncan and its neighbors
Duncan is 4th of the 4 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.
Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.
Get ready for what Duncan faces
A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.
- Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
- Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
- Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
- Drop, cover and hold on.
- Strap tall furniture and the water heater to the wall.
- Know how to shut off the gas.
- Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
- Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
- Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.
Questions about natural hazards in Duncan
Is Duncan at risk for natural disasters?
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Duncan has lower expected damage per building than 56% of U.S. towns: B for hazard risk, #82 of 169 in South Carolina. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (78%) and earthquakes (8%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.
Does Duncan flood?
Flood insurance has paid 1 claim in Duncan since 2002, $757 in all, or 0.5 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 90% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.
Is Duncan in a flood zone?
Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Spartanburg County, 34% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.2% of all homes do.
How much is flood insurance in Duncan?
FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Duncan’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.
What was the biggest storm in Duncan?
By FEMA money that reached Duncan, Hurricane Helene (2024): 4,254 households applied for aid, $2.8M approved, and $363K to the Town of Duncan for repairs.
Is Duncan at risk from river and rain flooding?
It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (78%), and Duncan’s rate for it is higher than 59% of U.S. census tracts.
Storm stories
Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Duncan.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Duncan’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.