Photo: United States Air Force · Public domainMore hazard damage per building is expected in Holloman AFB than in 77% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Holloman AFB gets a C− for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 77% of U.S. towns, #43 of 73 in New Mexico. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (95%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.
Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded
What Holloman AFB faces
Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.
River and rain flooding
Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.
What’s behind Holloman AFB’s grade
River and rain flooding is 95% of the building damage FEMA expects in Holloman AFB, and Holloman AFB’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 89% of U.S. census tracts.
C− #43 of 73 in New Mexico; higher expected damage per building than 77% of U.S. towns (21,298).
Holloman AFB’s residents live in 2 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.
The typical New Mexico town has higher expected damage than 71% of U.S. towns; within the state, Holloman AFB has more expected damage per building than 58% of New Mexico towns.
In dollars, FEMA expects about $7.7M a year in losses across Holloman AFB: $7.5M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.
Does Holloman AFB flood? No paid flood claims on record
FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Holloman AFB. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.
Holloman AFB isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Otero County.The storms Holloman AFB remembers
None of the 11 disasters declared for Otero County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Holloman AFB itself in FEMA’s records, so these are its biggest flood-claim years.
Otero County has had 11 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then floods. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.
Also 9 FEMA wildfire suppression grants (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Otero County, 2000–2024.
Get ready for what Holloman AFB faces
A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.
- Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
- Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
- Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
- Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
- Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
- Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.
Questions about natural hazards in Holloman AFB
Is Holloman AFB at risk for natural disasters?
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Holloman AFB has higher expected damage per building than 77% of U.S. towns: C− for hazard risk, #43 of 73 in New Mexico. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (95%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.
Is Holloman AFB in a flood zone?
Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Otero County, 13% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 2.7% of all homes do.
How much is flood insurance in Holloman AFB?
FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Holloman AFB’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.
Is Holloman AFB at risk from river and rain flooding?
It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (95%), and Holloman AFB’s rate for it is higher than 89% of U.S. census tracts.
Storm stories
Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Holloman AFB.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Holloman AFB’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.