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CHazard risk
Natural hazards in Arroyo Seco · FEMA

More hazard damage per building is expected in Arroyo Seco than in 65% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Arroyo Seco gets a C for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 65% of U.S. towns. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (82%), then wildfire (16%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 65%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade
By hazard

What Arroyo Seco faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

82%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 77% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 2 years in the area

Wildfire

16%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 3% of U.S. census tracts
Smaller shares here
 Earthquakes Tornadoes Hail Winter storms Strong wind Ice storms Cold waves Heat waves Landslides Lightning Avalanches top 0%
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingHurricanesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts avalanches at 49% of Arroyo Seco’s expected losses. Avalanches do little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Arroyo Seco’s grade

River and rain flooding is 82% of the building damage FEMA expects in Arroyo Seco, and Arroyo Seco’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 77% of U.S. census tracts. Wildfire adds 16%, at a rate in the top 3% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Arroyo Seco sits
Arroyo Seco
Least damageMiddleMost damage

C higher expected damage per building than 65% of U.S. towns (21,298).

All of Arroyo Seco’s residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding82%Wildfire16%Everything else2%

In dollars, FEMA expects about $2.2M a year in losses across Arroyo Seco: $980K to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

Shared tract.All of Arroyo Seco’s 1,979 residents (2020 census) live in one census tract, which it shares with Taos Ski Valley village (77 residents). FEMA publishes its model by tract, so the rate and the hazard mix are the tract’s, the same for all of them. The flood claims below are the town’s own.
A shared figure. The grade describes the whole tract, not each street in it, and FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Arroyo Seco flood? No paid flood claims on record

FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Arroyo Seco. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.

of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Arroyo Seco isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Taos County.
Disasters

The storms Arroyo Seco remembers

None of the 7 disasters declared for Taos County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Arroyo Seco itself in FEMA’s records, so these are its biggest flood-claim years.

Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in Arroyo SecoTaos County only

Taos County has had 7 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then floods. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Next door

Arroyo Seco and its neighbors

Arroyo Seco is 2nd of the 2 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Taos Pueblo: hazard risk BTaos PuebloArroyo Seco
Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
Taos PuebloBless damage than 64%river and rain flooding—
Arroyo SecoCmore damage than 65%river and rain flooding0

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Arroyo Seco faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Wildfire
  • Clear dead leaves and brush within 5 feet of the house.
  • Sign up for local alerts and know two ways out.
  • Keep N95 masks for smoky days.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Arroyo Seco

Is Arroyo Seco at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Arroyo Seco has higher expected damage per building than 65% of U.S. towns: C for hazard risk. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (82%) and wildfire (16%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Is Arroyo Seco in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Taos County, 8% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.6% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Arroyo Seco?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Arroyo Seco’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

Is Arroyo Seco at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (82%), and Arroyo Seco’s rate for it is higher than 77% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Arroyo Seco.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Arroyo Seco’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.