Amblard, Emile, Guest House · Photo: McGhiever · CC BY-SA 4.0Waconia has some of the coldest winter nights among U.S. towns
Sunny July days climb to about 82°. From frosty January to warm July, readings climb 77°. Precipitation is light here, less than falls on 84% of U.S. towns. Tender plants can go out after about May 5; in half of years the first frost comes by October 5.
A year in Waconia at a glance
Each month’s typical high and low, and what it brings.
What stands out about Waconia’s climate
Compared with towns across the U.S., with Waconia’s place in Minnesota beside it.
What a year in Waconia feels like
Typical highs and lows by season and by month, from NOAA’s 30-year normals.
About 151 frost-free days a year
In half of years the last 32° night comes by May 5 and the first by October 5. Frost and day counts come from NOAA’s station at Chaska 2nw, MN, 8 miles from the town’s center, at about the same height.
The 2023 USDA map puts Waconia’s center in zone 4b: the coldest night of a typical winter, averaged over 1991–2020, reaches about −21°. Plant labels use the zone; frost dates tell you when to plant.
Freezing nights by month
Average nights at or below 32°
90° days by month
Average days at 90° or more
About 52 inches of snow a winter
Snow, measured at Chaska 2nw, MN, falls mostly in December. Precipitation (rain plus melted snow) adds up to 32 inches a year; June is the wettest month and January the driest. Rain or snow falls on about 116 days a year.
Rain + melted snow by month
Inches of water
Snowfall by month
Inches of snow
Heating and cooling a home in Waconia
94% of the work is heating, so the furnace matters far more than the air conditioner. Months averaging under 55° run from October through April.
Degree days add up how far each day’s average falls below (heating) or rises above (cooling) 65° over a year. NOAA normals at Chaska 2nw, MN.
Living with Waconia’s climate
What the numbers mean for a garden, a free afternoon and a bad-weather day.
151 frost-free days in zone 4b. The last frost comes by May 5 in half of years, so many gardeners wait a week or two past that to set out tomatoes. The first fall frost comes by Oct 5.
Months with highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more: May, June, July, August and September. 1.0 miles of trails are waiting.
Parks & trails →Of the yearly building losses FEMA expects in Waconia from natural hazards, river flooding is the largest share (32%); heat waves, cold waves, winter storms and ice storms together are 23%. Normals are averages; the hazards page covers the extremes.
Natural hazards →Waconia and its neighbors
Every town next door is within a degree of Waconia in January and July, closer than the 5 km grid can tell apart. Tap a town to see its climate.
Climates most like Waconia’s, farther away
TownRatings’ own comparison of NOAA 1991–2020 normals, not a NOAA product: places of 5,000+ at least 150 miles away, one per state, closest on January low, July high, precipitation and snow.
| Town | Jan. low | July high | Precip. | Snow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waconia, MN | 6° | 82° | 32" | 52" |
| Saratoga, WI | 7° | 82° | 34" | 48" |
| Sheldon, IA | 7° | 84° | 30" | 41" |
| Plattsburgh, NY | 9° | 81° | 35" | 50" |
| Harrisburg, SD | 8° | 84° | 29" | 49" |
Temperatures and rain come from NOAA’s 5 km grid, so each town gets its own value. Snow and frost-free days come from the nearest weather station, so neighbors often share them.
Warmer than it used to be
The last 30 years in Waconia averaged 1.5° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in January (+3.4°).
A bigger shift than in 58% of U.S. towns.
Change by month
The two periods overlap (1991–2000 is in both), which makes the gap a little smaller than it would be between separate periods.
How Waconia compares
Against 12,954 U.S. towns of 2,500 or more (one per 5 km climate cell), with Waconia’s place among Minnesota’s.
Waconia weather by month
Highs, lows and precipitation from NOAA’s grid at Waconia’s center; snow, wet days and snow on the ground from Chaska 2nw, MN. 1991–2020 normals.
| Month | High | Low | Rain + melt | Snow | Wet days | Snow on ground | 30-yr range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 22° | 6° | 0.8" | 7.8" | 7 | 25 | 2° – 27° |
| February | 27° | 10° | 0.8" | 11.4" | 6 | 21 | 7° – 30° |
| March | 41° | 23° | 1.5" | 8.0" | 9 | 13 | 23° – 47° |
| April | 56° | 35° | 3.0" | 4.0" | 12 | 2 | 35° – 54° |
| May | 69° | 47° | 4.2" | 0.0" | 13 | 0 | 53° – 65° |
| June | 78° | 57° | 5.0" | 0.0" | 13 | 0 | 64° – 72° |
| July | 82° | 62° | 4.0" | 0.0" | 10 | 0 | 65° – 78° |
| August | 80° | 60° | 4.2" | 0.0" | 11 | 0 | 64° – 74° |
| September | 72° | 51° | 3.4" | 0.0" | 10 | 0 | 54° – 66° |
| October | 58° | 38° | 2.5" | 0.3" | 10 | 0 | 41° – 53° |
| November | 41° | 25° | 1.5" | 3.5" | 6 | 4 | 23° – 44° |
| December | 28° | 12° | 1.1" | 16.6" | 9 | 21 | 6° – 28° |
| Year | 54° | 35° | 31.9" | 51.6" | 116 | 85 |
How much a month can swing
A normal is an average. January swings the most: from 1991 to 2020 its average ranged from 2° to 27°. June is the most reliable, staying within 8°.
Where Waconia’s numbers come from
Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. How TownRatings reads climate data →
- Temperatures and precipitation: NOAA’s gridded 1991–2020 normals for the 5 km cell at Waconia’s center.
- Snow: Chaska 2nw, MN.
- Frost, freezing nights, 90° and 100° days, heating and cooling: Chaska 2nw, MN, 8 miles from the town’s center, at about the same height; the nearest station that passes our checks for distance, height and agreement with the grid.
- Growing zone: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map, 2023. USDA Agricultural Research Service and PRISM Group, Oregon State University, prism.oregonstate.edu/phzm, accessed 8 Oct 2026.
- Then and now: NOAA’s gridded normals for 1901–2000 at the same cell.
- Storms and extremes: FEMA National Risk Index (expected annual losses to buildings).
Common questions about Waconia’s climate
What is the weather like in Waconia?
A typical July afternoon reaches 82°, a January night drops to 6°, and about 52 inches of snow falls in a normal winter. Colder January nights than 98% of U.S. towns; cooler July afternoons than 80% of U.S. towns.
How cold does it get in Waconia in winter?
January nights average 6°. About 161 nights a year reach 32° or below and 32 reach 0° or below. In the coldest January of the last 30 years the month averaged 2°.
How much snow does Waconia get?
About 52 inches in a normal winter at Chaska 2nw, MN, most of it in December, with snow on the ground about 85 days a year.
How hot does it get in Waconia?
July, with a typical high of 82° and a low of 62°. About 11 days a year reach 90° (Chaska 2nw, MN).
When is the first and last frost in Waconia?
In half of years the last spring frost (32°) comes by May 5 and the first fall frost by October 5, about 151 frost-free days, at Chaska 2nw, MN.
What growing zone is Waconia in?
Zone 4b on the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map: the coldest night of a typical winter reaches about −21°.
What is the best time of year to visit Waconia?
By one simple rule (highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more), May, June, July, August and September. The rule is ours, not NOAA’s; the month table has the numbers to judge by.
Is Waconia getting warmer?
Yes: 1991–2020 averaged 1.5° warmer than 1901–2000 on NOAA’s grid. A bigger shift than 58% of U.S. towns.
Neighbors talk weather
Gardens, snow, and the best days of the year in Waconia.
Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000; USDA/PRISM 2023 hardiness zones; FEMA National Risk Index. Today’s forecast: National Weather Service.