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Lorraine Motel Sign Resited 2016 by Chris Larson, Franconia Sculpture Park, MNPhoto: Lorie Shaull · CC BY 2.0
BHazard risk
Natural hazards in Shafer · FEMA

For strong wind, Shafer’s building-damage rate is in the top 4% of U.S. census tracts

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Shafer gets a B for hazard risk: lower expected damage per building than 56% of U.S. towns. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (76%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

less than 56%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade
By hazard

What Shafer faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

76%of expected building damage
About average · higher than 57% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 6 years in the area

Tornadoes

10%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 74% of U.S. census tracts

Strong wind

8%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 4% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 3 times a year in the area

Hail

6%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 86% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 5 times a year in the area
Smaller shares here
 Wildfire Ice storms Lightning Earthquakes Winter storms Cold waves Heat waves Landslides
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingHurricanesAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts cold waves at 10% of Shafer’s expected losses. Cold waves do little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Shafer’s grade

River and rain flooding is 76% of the building damage FEMA expects in Shafer, and Shafer’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 57% of U.S. census tracts. Strong wind adds 8%, at a rate in the top 4% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Shafer sits
Shafer
Least damageMiddleMost damage

B lower expected damage per building than 56% of U.S. towns (21,298).

All of Shafer’s residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding76%Tornadoes10%Strong wind8%Everything else7%

In dollars, FEMA expects about $477K a year in losses across Shafer: $352K to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

Shared tract.All of Shafer’s 1,142 residents (2020 census) live in one census tract, which it shares with Shafer township (1,131 residents) and Taylors Falls city (1,055 residents) and Amador township (842 residents). FEMA publishes its model by tract, so the rate and the hazard mix are the tract’s, the same for all of them. The flood claims below are the town’s own.
A shared figure. The grade describes the whole tract, not each street in it, and FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Shafer flood? No paid flood claims on record

FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Shafer. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.

of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Shafer isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Chisago County.
Disasters

The storms Shafer remembers

None of the 8 disasters declared for Chisago County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Shafer itself in FEMA’s records, so these are its biggest flood-claim years.

Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in ShaferChisago County only

Chisago County has had 8 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often floods, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Also 1 FEMA wildfire suppression grant (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Chisago County, 2000–2000.

Next door

Shafer and its neighbors

Shafer has the lowest expected damage per building of the 2 graded towns here. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
ShaferBless damage than 56%river and rain flooding0
Franconia TownshipB−more damage than 51%river and rain flooding—
Shafer Township—not graded yet

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Shafer faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Tornado warnings
  • Pick your spot now: the lowest floor, an inside room, no windows.
  • A watch means be ready; a warning means take cover now.
  • Keep shoes and a flashlight by the bed.
More from Ready.gov ↗
High winds
  • Trim dead limbs over the house and driveway.
  • Tie down trash cans and outdoor furniture.
  • Stay clear of downed lines and call the utility.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Hail
  • Park in a garage or under cover when storms are forecast.
  • Stay away from windows while it falls.
  • Photograph roof and car damage for your insurer.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Shafer

Is Shafer at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Shafer has lower expected damage per building than 56% of U.S. towns: B for hazard risk. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (76%) and tornadoes (10%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Is Shafer in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Chisago County, 10% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.1% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Shafer?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Shafer’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

Is Shafer at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (76%), and Shafer’s rate for it is higher than 57% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Shafer.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Shafer’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.