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Hinckley MinnesotaPhoto: Tim Kiser (w:User:Malepheasant) · CC BY-SA 2.5
B−Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Hinckley · FEMA

On FEMA’s figures, Hinckley faces about as much hazard damage per building as the typical U.S. town, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Hinckley gets a B− for hazard risk: lower expected damage per building than 55% of U.S. towns. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (85%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

less than 55%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade
By hazard

What Hinckley faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

85%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 66% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 2 years in the area

Tornadoes

6%of expected building damage
About average · higher than 59% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 19 years in the area

Hail

5%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 85% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 3 times a year in the area
Smaller shares here
 Strong wind Wildfire Ice storms Winter storms Lightning Earthquakes Cold waves Heat waves Landslides
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingHurricanesAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts cold waves at 30% of Hinckley’s expected losses. Cold waves do little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Hinckley’s grade

River and rain flooding is 85% of the building damage FEMA expects in Hinckley, and Hinckley’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 66% of U.S. census tracts. Next is tornadoes at 6% (higher than 59% of U.S. census tracts).

Where Hinckley sits
Hinckley
Least damageMiddleMost damage

B− lower expected damage per building than 55% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Hinckley’s residents live in 2 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding85%Tornadoes6%Hail5%Everything else4%

In dollars, FEMA expects about $1.3M a year in losses across Hinckley: $823K to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

A small-area figure. Hinckley covers 2 census tracts, combined by where residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Hinckley flood? No paid flood claims on record

FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Hinckley. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.

of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Hinckley isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Pine County.
Disasters

1 federal disaster brought FEMA money to Hinckley

Disasters that paid out in Hinckley itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Hinckley), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2022Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding$19K to the City of Hinckley for repairs
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in HinckleyPine County only

Pine County has had 10 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often floods, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Also 1 FEMA wildfire suppression grant (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Pine County, 2000–2000.

Were you here?

Old photos of Hinckley after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Hinckley archive →
Next door

Hinckley and its neighbors

Hinckley has the lowest expected damage per building of the 1 graded towns here. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Barry Township: not gradedHinckley Township: not gradedBarry TownshipHinckley TownshipHinckley
Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
HinckleyB−less damage than 55%river and rain flooding0
Barry Township—482 residents; we grade 1,000+
Hinckley Township—738 residents; we grade 1,000+

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Hinckley faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Tornado warnings
  • Pick your spot now: the lowest floor, an inside room, no windows.
  • A watch means be ready; a warning means take cover now.
  • Keep shoes and a flashlight by the bed.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Hail
  • Park in a garage or under cover when storms are forecast.
  • Stay away from windows while it falls.
  • Photograph roof and car damage for your insurer.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Hinckley

Is Hinckley at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Hinckley has lower expected damage per building than 55% of U.S. towns: B− for hazard risk. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (85%) and tornadoes (6%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Is Hinckley in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Pine County, 11% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.5% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Hinckley?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Hinckley’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Hinckley?

By FEMA money that reached Hinckley, Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding (2022): $19K to the City of Hinckley for repairs.

Is Hinckley at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (85%), and Hinckley’s rate for it is higher than 66% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Hinckley.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Hinckley’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.