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CHazard risk
Natural hazards in Lincoln · FEMA

FEMA puts Lincoln’s expected hazard damage per building above that of 69% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Lincoln gets a C for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 69% of U.S. towns, #40 of 59 in Idaho. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (81%), then earthquakes (15%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 69%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#40 of 59 in Idaho
By hazard

What Lincoln faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

81%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 79% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 2 years in the area

Earthquakes

15%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 81% of U.S. census tracts
Smaller shares here
 Hail Tornadoes Strong wind Ice storms Cold waves Lightning Wildfire Winter storms Heat waves Volcanic activity top 4%
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingHurricanesLandslidesAvalanchesTsunamis
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts cold waves at 27% of Lincoln’s expected losses. Cold waves do little damage to buildings (0.1%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Lincoln’s grade

River and rain flooding is 81% of the building damage FEMA expects in Lincoln, and Lincoln’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 79% of U.S. census tracts. Next is earthquakes at 15% (higher than 81% of U.S. census tracts).

Where Lincoln sits
Lincoln
Least damageMiddleMost damage

C #40 of 59 in Idaho; higher expected damage per building than 69% of U.S. towns (21,298).

All of Lincoln’s residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding81%Earthquakes15%Hail4%Everything else1%

The typical Idaho town has higher expected damage than 52% of U.S. towns; within the state, Lincoln has more expected damage per building than 67% of Idaho towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $1.6M a year in losses across Lincoln: $952K to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

Shared tract.All of Lincoln’s 4,556 residents (2020 census) live in one census tract. FEMA publishes its model by tract, so the rate and the hazard mix are the tract’s. The flood claims below are the town’s own.
A shared figure. The grade describes the whole tract, not each street in it, and FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Lincoln flood? No paid flood claims on record

FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Lincoln. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.

of all homes are insured
No community discount

Lincoln isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Bonneville County.
Disasters

The storms Lincoln remembers

None of the 3 disasters declared for Bonneville County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Lincoln itself in FEMA’s records, so these are its biggest flood-claim years.

Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in LincolnBonneville County only

Bonneville County has had 3 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often floods, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Also 1 FEMA wildfire suppression grant (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Bonneville County, 2016–2016.

Next door

Lincoln and its neighbors

Lincoln is 2nd of the 3 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
Idaho FallsB−more damage than 52%river and rain flooding3
LincolnCmore damage than 69%river and rain flooding0
AmmonCmore damage than 72%river and rain flooding1

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Lincoln faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Earthquakes
  • Drop, cover and hold on.
  • Strap tall furniture and the water heater to the wall.
  • Know how to shut off the gas.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Lincoln

Is Lincoln at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Lincoln has higher expected damage per building than 69% of U.S. towns: C for hazard risk, #40 of 59 in Idaho. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (81%) and earthquakes (15%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Is Lincoln in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Bonneville County, 0.2% of all homes carry federal flood insurance.

How much is flood insurance in Lincoln?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Lincoln’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

Is Lincoln at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (81%), and Lincoln’s rate for it is higher than 79% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Lincoln.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Lincoln’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.