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Climate in Bay Lake · NOAA 1991–2020 normals

Bay Lake’s winters are milder and less snowy than most of the U.S.

A typical July afternoon reaches 92°, a January night drops to 49°, and snow is almost unheard of.

Milder January nights than 96% of U.S. towns#351Mildest winters  of 556 in FL
Hotter July afternoons than 88% of U.S. towns#29Hottest summers  of 556 in FL
All FL rankings →

A year in Bay Lake at a glance

Each month’s typical high and low, and what it brings.

Jan72°49°
Feb75°52°
Mar79°56° 1 day 90°+
Apr84°60° 6 days 90°+
May89°66° 15 days 90°+
Jun91°72° 23 days 90°+Wettest
Jul92°74° 26 days 90°+
Aug92°74° 27 days 90°+
Sep90°72° 23 days 90°+
Oct85°66° 10 days 90°+
Nov now78°58°
Dec74°52°

What stands out about Bay Lake’s climate

Compared with towns across the U.S., with Bay Lake’s place in Florida beside it.

A normal year

What a year in Bay Lake feels like

Typical highs and lows by season and by month, from NOAA’s 30-year normals.

Winter
73° / 51°
Snow is rare
Spring
84° / 61°
Frost is rare
Summer
92° / 73°
129 days reach 90°
Fall
84° / 65°
Frost is rare
Best months to be outsideJanFebMarAprNovDecHighs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more
Frost, heat & the growing season

A freeze most winters

Frost and day counts come from NOAA’s station at Orlando W, FL, 8 miles from the town’s center, at about the same height.

Short record. NOAA estimated Orlando W, FL’s counts from 7 years of data and its neighbors’, not a full 30-year record.
Most winters bring a freeze, but not every one. A night at 32° or below comes in about 70% of years at Orlando W, FL (about 7 winters in 10), and averages 1.9 a year.
2
nights at or below 32° in a normal year
289th fewest of 555 in Florida
Fewer freezing nights than 95% of U.S. towns
0
nights at or below 0°
None in a normal year
129
days that reach 90°
17th most of 555 in Florida
More 90° days than 98% of U.S. towns
<1
days that reach 100°
189th fewest of 555 in Florida
Fewer 100° days than 68% of U.S. towns
10aUSDA zone
Plant hardiness zone 10a

The 2023 USDA map puts Bay Lake’s center in zone 10a: the coldest night of a typical winter, averaged over 1991–2020, reaches about 30°. Plant labels use the zone; frost dates tell you when to plant.

Freezing nights by month

Average nights at or below 32°

1
JFMAMJJASOND

90° days by month

Average days at 90° or more

27
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Rain & snow

About 51 inches of rain a year

June is the wettest month and November the driest. Rain falls on about 112 days a year. Snow is rare: about 0.0" in a normal year at Clermont 9 S, FL, so most winters see none.

51"
Rain + melted snow a year
463rd wettest of 556 in Florida
Wetter than 87% of U.S. towns
0.0"
Snow in a normal winter
Less snow than 93% of U.S. towns

Rain + melted snow by month

Inches of water

8.4"
JFMAMJJASOND
Heating & cooling

Heating and cooling a home in Bay Lake

14% of the work is heating, so air conditioning is the bigger bill. No month averages under 55°.

573 heating degree daysLess heating than 97% of U.S. towns
3,391 cooling degree daysMore cooling than 95% of U.S. towns

Degree days add up how far each day’s average falls below (heating) or rises above (cooling) 65° over a year. NOAA normals at Orlando W, FL.

Living here

Living with Bay Lake’s climate

What the numbers mean for a garden, a free afternoon and a bad-weather day.

The garden window

Zone 10a. Frost comes about 7 winters in 10, so tender plants can often stay out through winter.

Get outside

Months with highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more: January, February, March, April, November and December. 34 miles of trails are waiting.

Parks & trails →
Storms and extremes

Of the yearly building losses FEMA expects in Bay Lake from natural hazards, river flooding is the largest share (31%); heat waves, cold waves, winter storms and ice storms together are 9%. Normals are averages; the hazards page covers the extremes.

Natural hazards →
Next door

Bay Lake and its neighbors

Every town next door is within a degree of Bay Lake in January and July, closer than the 5 km grid can tell apart. Tap a town to see its climate.

Winter Garden: January low 49°, July high 92°Four Corners: January low 49°, July high 92°Lake Butler: January low 49°, July high 92°Horizon West: January low 49°, July high 92°Lake Buena Vista: January low 49°, July high 92°Bay Lake: January low 49°, July high 92°Bay LakeHorizon WestLake Buena Vista
ColderMilder49° to 49°
Horizon West49.0° about the same
Bay Lake49.2°
Lake Buena Vista49.3° about the same

Climates most like Bay Lake’s, farther away

TownRatings’ own comparison of NOAA 1991–2020 normals, not a NOAA product: places of 5,000+ at least 150 miles away, one per state, closest on January low, July high, precipitation and snow.

TownJan. lowJuly highPrecip.Snow
Bay Lake, FL49°92°51"0.0"
Lake Jackson, TX45°92°50"0.0"
St. Marys, GA43°91°51"0.0"
Port Royal, SC41°91°49"0.0"
Morgan City, LA44°91°60"0.0"

Temperatures and rain come from NOAA’s 5 km grid, so each town gets its own value. Snow and frost-free days come from the nearest weather station, so neighbors often share them.

Then and now

Warmer than it used to be

The last 30 years in Bay Lake averaged 1.5° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in December (+2.3°).

+1.5°1991–2020 vs. 1901–2000

A bigger shift than in 60% of U.S. towns.

Winter+1.7°now 62°, was 60°
Spring+1.5°now 72°, was 71°
Summer+1.3°now 82°, was 81°
Fall+1.6°now 75°, was 73°

Change by month

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

The two periods overlap (1991–2000 is in both), which makes the gap a little smaller than it would be between separate periods.

Compared with other towns

How Bay Lake compares

Against 12,954 U.S. towns of 2,500 or more (one per 5 km climate cell), with Bay Lake’s place among Florida’s.

Summer heat92° July high
Hotter July afternoons than 88% of U.S. towns29th hottest of 556 in Florida
Winter cold49° January low
Milder January nights than 96% of U.S. towns351st mildest of 556 in Florida
Precipitation51" a year
Wetter than 87% of U.S. towns463rd wettest of 556 in Florida
Snow0.0" a winter
Less snow than 93% of U.S. townsNot ranked: under an inch a year
Hot days129 days at 90°+
More 90° days than 98% of U.S. towns17th most of 555 in Florida
Freezing nights2 a year
Fewer freezing nights than 95% of U.S. towns289th fewest of 555 in Florida
Month by month

Bay Lake weather by month

Highs, lows and precipitation from NOAA’s grid at Bay Lake’s center; snow, wet days and snow on the ground from Clermont 9 S, FL. 1991–2020 normals.

MonthHighLowRain + meltSnowWet daysSnow on ground30-yr range
January72°49°2.7"0.0"7054° – 66°
February75°52°2.2"0.0"6054° – 72°
March79°56°3.0"0.0"7061° – 73°
April84°60°2.5"0.0"6068° – 77°
May89°66°3.8"0.0"7074° – 80°
June91°72°8.4"0.0"15079° – 85°
July92°74°7.4"0.0"16081° – 85°
August92°74°7.9"0.0"17081° – 85°
September90°72°6.3"0.0"12079° – 84°
October85°66°2.9"0.0"8071° – 80°
November78°58°1.8"0.0"5063° – 75°
December74°52°2.4"0.0"7051° – 72°
Year83°63°51.4"0.0"1120
Year to year

How much a month can swing

A normal is an average. December swings the most: from 1991 to 2020 its average ranged from 51° to 72°. August is the most reliable, staying within 4°.

Coldest to warmest month in 30 yearsNormal
Sources

Where Bay Lake’s numbers come from

Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. How TownRatings reads climate data →

  • Temperatures and precipitation: NOAA’s gridded 1991–2020 normals for the 5 km cell at Bay Lake’s center.
  • Snow: Clermont 9 S, FL.
  • Frost, freezing nights, 90° and 100° days, heating and cooling: Orlando W, FL, 8 miles from the town’s center, at about the same height; the nearest station that passes our checks for distance, height and agreement with the grid.
  • Growing zone: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map, 2023. USDA Agricultural Research Service and PRISM Group, Oregon State University, prism.oregonstate.edu/phzm, accessed 8 Oct 2026.
  • Then and now: NOAA’s gridded normals for 1901–2000 at the same cell.
  • Storms and extremes: FEMA National Risk Index (expected annual losses to buildings).

Common questions about Bay Lake’s climate

What is the weather like in Bay Lake?

A typical July afternoon reaches 92°, a January night drops to 49°, and snow is almost unheard of. Milder January nights than 96% of U.S. towns; hotter July afternoons than 88% of U.S. towns.

How cold does it get in Bay Lake in winter?

January nights average 49°. About 2 nights a year reach 32° or below. In the coldest January of the last 30 years the month averaged 54°.

How much snow does Bay Lake get?

About 0.0 inches in a normal winter at Clermont 9 S, FL, so most winters see none.

How hot does it get in Bay Lake?

July, with a typical high of 92° and a low of 74°. About 129 days a year reach 90° (Orlando W, FL).

When is the first and last frost in Bay Lake?

There is no reliable frost date: a 32° night comes in about 70% of winters at Orlando W, FL, so most years bring a freeze but some pass without one.

What growing zone is Bay Lake in?

Zone 10a on the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map: the coldest night of a typical winter reaches about 30°.

What is the best time of year to visit Bay Lake?

By one simple rule (highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more), January, February, March, April, November and December. The rule is ours, not NOAA’s; the month table has the numbers to judge by.

Is Bay Lake getting warmer?

Yes: 1991–2020 averaged 1.5° warmer than 1901–2000 on NOAA’s grid. A bigger shift than 60% of U.S. towns.

Neighbors talk weather

Gardens, snow, and the best days of the year in Bay Lake.

Town Square →
Ask your neighbors

Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000; USDA/PRISM 2023 hardiness zones; FEMA National Risk Index. Today’s forecast: National Weather Service.