Hazard risk in Hillcrest Management Area is lower than in 91% of Canadian towns
Burn scars are few around Hillcrest Management Area, with 0.6% of the land within 25 km touched by fire since 1986 (0.02% a year). Earthquakes matter little: NRCan’s model puts building losses at $0.006 a year per $1,000 of value, against $0.030 for the typical town. Hillcrest Management Area’s survey area, 6.6% over the radon guideline, is close to the typical town’s 6.6%. Hazard risk gives Hillcrest Management Area a grade of A; its wildfire band pulls it down.
What stands out about Hillcrest Management Area’s hazards
For Hillcrest Management Area, from NRCan’s seismic model, Health Canada’s radon survey, the national burned-area record and the flood map inventory.
What Hillcrest Management Area faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Wildfire
Earthquakes
Radon
Flood study
Hazard risk in Hillcrest Management Area: A
For Hillcrest Management Area, Risk will be the average of earthquakes and radon, with wildfire added only if it makes the average worse.
Its place: #9 of 104 in Saskatchewan and #299 of 2,589 Canadian towns.
How sure: The seismic figure is a long-run average from NRCan’s model, not a prediction. The radon share rests on 76 home tests in the survey area, so a few homes move it. The burned-area record misses fires under about 10 ha and most grass and farm fires.
Wildfire is rare near Hillcrest Management Area: 0.6% of the land within 25 km burned since 1986, 0% within 5 km
Past fire around Hillcrest Management Area’s homes, from the national burned-area record, with the fuel within 5 km.
With 0.02% burned a year, Hillcrest Management Area is among the many low-band places (the typical Canadian town 0.000%).
Fire has stayed at least 21 km from Hillcrest Management Area’s homes since 1986.
Around Hillcrest Management Area the forest is thin or far off: 0% of the land within 5 km and 0% within 25 km is forest fuel.
Shares of land within 5 and 25 km of populated blocks: burned at least once in 1986–2025 (CWFIS burned-area composite), forest fuel and grass (fire behaviour fuel types, 2026, 250 m grid).
Burn rate a year, towns in Saskatchewan · highest of 104
At 0.02% a year, Hillcrest Management Area is near the top in Saskatchewan: 9th of 104, behind La Loche (1.94%).
Each bar: the yearly average share of land within 25 km of a town’s homes that burned, 1986–2025 (CWFIS); the seven highest towns of 2,500 people or more.
The low band takes in 92% of Canada’s 2,610 towns, Hillcrest Management Area among them, though its rate is above zero; 7.5% rank higher.
Bands of the yearly burn rate: low under 0.05%, moderate under 0.25%, high under 1%, very high 1% or more; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Canadian Wildland Fire Information System: National Burned Area Composite 1986–2025 and fire behaviour fuel types (2026), Natural Resources Canada. Measured within 25 km and 5 km of each populated dissemination area; past fire, not a forecast.
The flood map inventory lists nothing for Hillcrest Management Area
What Canada’s Flood Map Inventory lists for Hillcrest Management Area: who studied flooding and where to see their maps.
There is no study for Hillcrest Management Area on the national flood inventory, which is far from complete.
Towns with a flood study on file
Flood maps are thinner in Saskatchewan, 55% of towns against 58% nationally, and Hillcrest Management Area has none.
NRCan Canada Flood Map Inventory: a study footprint touching the town’s boundary; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Flood is shown here, never graded: a study says where a map exists, not how many of Hillcrest Management Area’s homes stand in a flood zone.
The inventory’s own caution (NRCan): “The Canada Flood Map (CFM) does not include every flood hazard map in Canada and may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. It should not be relied upon as the official source of flood mapping information. Furthermore, if a map appears to be missing, this does not necessarily mean that the area has never been mapped. For the official version of a map, updated information, or confirmation of applicable regulations, please contact the local authority responsible for flood mapping.”
Low seismic risk in Hillcrest Management Area: $0.006 per $1,000 of buildings a year
Expected yearly building losses from earthquakes, from Natural Resources Canada’s model.
At $0.006 per $1,000, Hillcrest Management Area carries 0.2 times the typical Canadian town’s earthquake risk ($0.030): low.
Hillcrest Management Area doesn’t get its own earthquake risk figures; the ones here come from the city of Saskatoon.
Shaking damage a year per $1,000 of building value
The median in Saskatchewan is $0.006; Hillcrest Management Area, at $0.006, is right beside it, and Weyburn tops the list at $0.033.
NRCan seismic risk model (2022): mean yearly building loss per $1,000 of value; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Toward the quiet end of Canada’s range: 88% of its 2,611 towns sit above Hillcrest Management Area.
Each column: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more in that range of yearly loss per $1,000 (NRCan, 2022).
Only shaking damage to buildings in Hillcrest Management Area is counted; landslides, liquefaction, tsunami and fire after a quake aren’t.
Natural Resources Canada, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model (2022), by census subdivision (2016 boundaries; a few 2021 subdivisions take their residents’ mean).
Some radon around Hillcrest Management Area: 6.6% of area homes over the guideline
Long-term radon tests in homes across the survey area, against Health Canada’s guideline.
The survey area of Hillcrest Management Area reads 6.6%, a shade from the typical Canadian town’s 6.6%.
Tested homes over 200 Bq/m³
Over 600 Bq/m³
Fewer homes top the guideline around Hillcrest Management Area (6.6%) than in the typical town in Saskatchewan (9.1%).
Health Canada radon survey (2009–2011), by 2007 health region; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Between 5% and 10% of tests over the guideline: Hillcrest Management Area, and 37% of Canada’s 2,611 towns; 26% are higher.
Each bar: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more whose survey area had that share of tests over 200 Bq/m³.
Neighbouring homes in Hillcrest Management Area can differ a lot; only a long-term test tells you about yours.
Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes (2009–2011). · Radon tests: the Saskatoon RHA
Where to get warnings in Hillcrest Management Area
Environment and Climate Change Canada issues the weather alerts for Hillcrest Management Area; Alert Ready carries the urgent ones to phones, radio and TV.
| Alert | What it means |
|---|---|
| Warning | Severe weather is happening or about to: act now. |
| Watch | Conditions favour severe weather: be ready. |
| Advisory | Weather that is less severe but could disrupt the day. |
| Special weather statement | Unusual weather worth knowing about. |
| Special air quality statement | Poor air, often wildfire smoke. |
For fires near Hillcrest Management Area, the national fire information system maps danger and active fires daily; local authorities give any evacuation order.
Weather alerts (ECCC) · Alert Ready · Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Hazards in the places around Hillcrest Management Area
Wildfire band, earthquake risk, radon and flood studies for each place nearby.
| Town | Wildfire | Quake $/1,000 | Radon | Flood study |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hillcrest Management Area | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | None listed |
| Rosewood 8,427 · 1.2 km | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | None listed |
| Lakewood Urban Centre 4,923 · 1.5 km | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | None listed |
| Lakewood 14,880 · 1.7 km | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | None listed |
| Brighton 7,238 · 3.0 km | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | Yes |
| Greystone Heights 6,402 · 3.2 km | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | None listed |
| Nutana Urban Centre 5,926 · 3.4 km | Low | $0.006 | 6.6% | None listed |
Fire is no heavier anywhere nearby than around Hillcrest Management Area (low), with Rosewood next at low.
Radon is the survey area’s figure, so neighbours in one area share it.
Get ready for what Hillcrest Management Area faces
Practical steps for Hillcrest Management Area’s hazards, most pressing first.
- Test for three months in winter.
- Over 200 Bq/m³: fix it.
- Kits are cheap; pros test too.
- Never drive through floodwater.
- Move papers and medicines upstairs.
- Ask whether your street is mapped.
- Clear needles and wood nearby.
- Keep a grab-and-go bag ready.
- In smoke, stay in; filter air.
- Has it had a radon test?
- Ask the municipality for flood maps.
- Are flood and wildfire insured?
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Wildfire counts one way. Burned land within 25 km of where people live, averaged over 1986–2025 and checked for fuel near homes, is the measure; it looks back, not ahead, and only ever counts against Hillcrest Management Area.
- Radon is a survey. The radon share comes from about 14,000 long-term home tests in 2009–2011, pooled for now by the 2007 health region Hillcrest Management Area sits in.
- Flood studies aren’t flood zones. A study’s area can be a whole watershed or province, so being on the inventory says a map exists, not that a home in Hillcrest Management Area floods.
- Earthquakes are modelled. The earthquake figure is an expected loss, not a forecast, worked out by NRCan for each census subdivision, Hillcrest Management Area’s included.
Questions about flooding and hazards in Hillcrest Management Area
How big is the earthquake risk in Hillcrest Management Area?
NRCan’s model expects shaking to cost buildings in Hillcrest Management Area $0.006 a year for every $1,000 of their value, on average over many years.
Is radon a problem in Hillcrest Management Area?
6.6% of the 76 homes Health Canada tested around Hillcrest Management Area topped the guideline; your own house needs its own test.
Is Hillcrest Management Area at risk of wildfire?
Not much by Canadian standards: Hillcrest Management Area’s band is low, with 0.6% of the land within 25 km burned since 1986 (last in 2023), so wildfire doesn’t change its grade.
Does Hillcrest Management Area flood?
No study on Canada’s Flood Map Inventory covers Hillcrest Management Area (0), which doesn’t mean it has never been mapped, so ask the municipality.
How is Hillcrest Management Area’s Hazard risk Grade worked out?
Hillcrest Management Area’s Hazard risk grade is A, built on earthquakes and radon with a one-sided wildfire input.
Seismic risk: Natural Resources Canada. Radon: Health Canada. Wildfire: Canadian Wildland Fire Information System. Flood studies: Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.
Sources: NRCan, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model 2022 · Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes · CWFIS, National Burned Area Composite and FBP fuel types · NRCan, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).