Photo: François Lambert · CC BY-SA 3.0L'Avenir is about average among Canadian towns for recorded crime
A Crime Severity Index of 72.2, the 2023–2025 mean, compares with 67.2 for the typical Canadian town of 2,500+. L'Avenir’s overall Safety Grade is C+: close to the middle of Canadian towns, on crime its police reported from 2023 to 2025. On top of that, the local count comes to 18.0 violent incidents and 19.5 incidents of property crime per 1,000 people each year, with 12.0 and 31.2 in the typical Canadian town of 2,500+. Both towns next door with figures record less crime per resident.
Statistics Canada, police-reported crime, 2023–2025 means. The index weighs each crime by its seriousness; rates are incidents per 1,000 residents a year. Crime severity, crime rate and incident counts: one figure for all of the Drummond MRC.
What stands out about safety in L'Avenir
The violent half stands out
Violent crime scores 124.7 on L'Avenir’s index against 86.4 for the typical Canadian town of 2,500+; non-violent crime, 51.8 against 62.8. By type ↓
Police clear more here
Weighted by seriousness, 49% of crime in L'Avenir ends in a charge or is otherwise solved: 63% of violent crime and 35% of the rest. Across Canadian towns of 2,500 people or more the figure is 34%. Questions ↓
Over the Quebec norm
Within Quebec, the median town comes to 56.1 on the index, against 72.2 in L'Avenir. Towns its size ↓
Written from Statistics Canada’s police-reported crime by police service and detachment, 2023–2025. Figures are what police recorded, not convictions.
What’s behind L'Avenir’s grade
The grade weighs the Crime Severity Index and its violent half, averaged over 2023–2025, against every Canadian town and city neighbourhood of 1,000 people or more.
The Crime Severity Index and its two halves, beside the typical figure for Canadian towns of 2,500 people or more.
Which crimes make up L'Avenir’s figures
Against the typical town its size, L'Avenir runs highest on assault (8.9 per 1,000 against 6.7). Theft under $5,000 sits below it.
Every Statistics Canada violation line
| Violation | Incidents a year | Per 1,000 | Cleared |
|---|---|---|---|
| Homicide | 0 | 0 | — |
| Sexual violations against children | 156.7 | 1.4 | 60% |
| Assaults against a peace officer | 36.7 | 0.3 | 98% |
| Firearms: use, discharge, pointing | 3 | 0.03 | — |
| Robbery | 33.3 | 0.3 | 65% |
| Forcible confinement or kidnapping | 21 | 0.2 | 87% |
| Other violent violations | 58 | 0.5 | 72% |
| Breaking and entering | 255.7 | 2.2 | 31% |
| Possession of stolen property | 44 | 0.4 | 67% |
| Theft of a motor vehicle | 221 | 1.9 | 15% |
| Theft over $5,000 | 47.7 | 0.4 | 14% |
| Theft under $5,000 | 609.3 | 5.3 | 36% |
| Mischief | 364 | 3.2 | 18% |
| Weapons violations | 29.3 | 0.3 | 71% |
| Administration of justice violations | 377.3 | 3.3 | 86% |
| Other Criminal Code violations | 59 | 0.5 | 73% |
| Drug violations | 146.7 | 1.3 | 70% |
| Impaired driving | 261.3 | 2.3 | 91% |
| Failing to stop or remain | 260.7 | 2.3 | 12% |
Statistics Canada’s violation groups for the whole police service or detachment, incidents a year its own. Cleared: incidents solved by a charge or otherwise, as a share of those reported.
Incidents per 1,000 residents a year, 2023–2025 means, against the typical figure for Canadian towns of 2,500 people or more.
In L'Avenir, steady between 2023 and 2025
Crime Severity Index
Nothing since 2023 has matched that year’s 74.7; the lightest was 2024, at 69.4. The comparison line, the typical Canadian town of 2,500+, runs from 70.6 in 2023 to 62.9 by 2025.
Every year as a table
| Year | L'Avenir | Typical town of 2,500+ |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 72.3 | 62.9 |
| 2024 | 69.4 | 68.5 |
| 2023 | 74.7 | 70.6 |
Statistics Canada, Crime Severity Index by police service, each year as published. Typical: the median of Canadian towns of 2,500 people or more.
The Crime Severity Index of the police covering L'Avenir, each year, against the typical Canadian town of 2,500+.
Around 2,050 violent incidents a year in the 115,700-resident police area around L'Avenir, 2023–2025
Violent incidents per 1,000 a year, 2023–2025
Property crimes per 1,000 a year, 2023–2025
Statistics Canada counts actual incidents; those police record as unfounded are listed apart and kept out of its crime rates and severity index. Each incident is filed under its most serious violation, which the survey sets partly by the maximum penalty.
And about 2,220 property crimes, plus 1,200 other violations, a year (2023–2025 average). Each dot is one resident; each coloured dot, one incident a year at the area’s rates.
Crime in the places around L'Avenir
| Town | People | Severity index | Violent index | Safety |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Avenir | 1,456 | 72.2 | 124.7 | C+ |
| Saint-Félix-de-Kingsey | 1,550 | 72.2 | 124.7 | C+ |
| Saint-Lucien | 1,941 | 72.2 | 124.7 | C+ |
| Durham-Sud | 1,041 | 72.2 | 124.7 | C+ |
| Wickham | 2,745 | 72.2 | 124.7 | C+ |
| Richmond | 3,419 | 45 | 82.8 | A− |
| Cleveland | 1,624 | 45 | 82.8 | A− |
Each neighbour with its own figure comes in under L'Avenir. Richmond, 17.5 km away, is the nearest lower one, at 45 to 72.2. Sharing its police with 4 neighbours, it shares their figure as well, so they aren’t compared.
Each place’s police figures, 2023–2025 means.
What this data can and can’t tell you
- How serious, not how safe. Statistics Canada builds the index from every crime police record, weighted by how seriously the courts treat it, and divides by the population. It adds a warning of its own: “The CSI is not an indicator of overall safety and should be interpreted in the broader community context.”
- The whole MRC. The Sûreté du Québec reports by MRC, so the figures cover every municipality it polices there, L'Avenir among them.
- Reading the number. Its scale starts from Canada in 2006, set at 100, so a figure above 100 means more serious crime per resident than the country had then.
- Solved cases. Weighted like the index, so solving one assault counts for more than solving a mischief; a charge laid, recommended or otherwise resolved all count.
Questions about safety in L'Avenir
Is L'Avenir safe?
The short answer is an index of 72.2 for L'Avenir (2023–2025), built from 18 violent incidents and 19.5 property crimes a year for every 1,000 residents. For Canadian towns of 2,500 people or more, the typical index is 67.2.
What is the most common crime in L'Avenir?
Top of the list is assault (8.9 per 1,000 residents a year); fraud, at 5.5, and theft under $5,000, at 5.3, follow.
Is crime going up in L'Avenir?
It held about level between 2023 and 2025, 74.7 to 72.3.
How much of L'Avenir’s crime do police solve?
Police cleared 49% of crime once each incident is weighted by seriousness: 63% of violent crime and 35% of the rest, against 34% for the typical Canadian town of 2,500+.
Whose figures are these?
Those of the police serving L'Avenir together with its neighbours or the countryside around it.
Source: Statistics Canada, police-reported crime by police service and detachment, 2023–2025 (Statistics Canada Open Licence); TownRatings calculation.
Sources: Statistics Canada, Crime severity index and weighted clearance rates, police services (tables 35-10-0186 to 0190, 0061, 0063, 0064), 2023–2025 · Statistics Canada, Incident-based crime statistics by detailed violations, police services (35-10-0178 to 0185) · Safety Grade: TownRatings calculation. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).