Photo: Andrepoiy · CC BY-SA 4.0Recorded crime per resident is lower in Upper Thornhill Estates than in 66% of Canadian towns
Scored on crime the police covering Upper Thornhill Estates reported across 2023 to 2025, the town lands on B+ for safety: #295 of 862 in Ontario. In 2023 the index stood at 54.6; it fell to 50.3 in 2025. Behind the grade sit 9.7 violent incidents and 21.4 incidents of property crime per 1,000 people a year, where the comparison is 10.8 and 25.1 in the typical Canadian town of 50,000+. Split in two, the index gives 67.4 for violence and 47.4 for everything else (normally 75.2 and 54.2).
Statistics Canada, police-reported crime, 2023–2025 means. The index weighs each crime by its seriousness; rates are incidents per 1,000 residents a year. Crime severity and crime rate published for the York Region service area, not by town.
Inside Upper Thornhill Estates’s B+ for safety
How sure: A less certain grade than most: it reads the city’s overall figure, which can hide how Upper Thornhill Estates itself compares.
The grade weighs the Crime Severity Index and its violent half, averaged over 2023–2025, against every Canadian town and city neighbourhood of 1,000 people or more.
Its place: #295 of 862 in Ontario and #570 of 2,572 Canadian towns.
The Crime Severity Index and its two halves, beside the typical figure for Canadian towns of 50,000 people or more.
Crime across York Region, by type
These are York Region’s figures, for its police’s whole area: they aren’t published by neighbourhood.
Against the typical town its size, York Region runs highest on motor vehicle theft (2.6 per 1,000 against 1.7). Sexual assault and mischief sit below it.
Every Statistics Canada violation line
| Violation | Incidents a year | Per 1,000 | Cleared |
|---|---|---|---|
| Homicide | 14.7 | 0.01 | 80% |
| Sexual violations against children | 128.7 | 0.1 | 58% |
| Assaults against a peace officer | 153.7 | 0.1 | 95% |
| Firearms: use, discharge, pointing | 97.7 | 0.08 | 38% |
| Robbery | 617.3 | 0.5 | 47% |
| Forcible confinement or kidnapping | 91.7 | 0.07 | 65% |
| Other violent violations | 290.7 | 0.2 | 41% |
| Breaking and entering | 2,306 | 1.8 | 18% |
| Possession of stolen property | 291 | 0.2 | 85% |
| Theft of a motor vehicle | 3,372.3 | 2.6 | 6% |
| Theft over $5,000 | 732.7 | 0.6 | 15% |
| Theft under $5,000 | 10,573 | 8.3 | 25% |
| Mischief | 2,944 | 2.3 | 24% |
| Weapons violations | 266.3 | 0.2 | 66% |
| Administration of justice violations | 4,033.3 | 3.1 | 96% |
| Other Criminal Code violations | 552.7 | 0.4 | 58% |
| Drug violations | 636 | 0.5 | 91% |
| Impaired driving | 1,207.3 | 0.9 | 99% |
| Failing to stop or remain | 3,411.7 | 2.7 | 8% |
Statistics Canada’s violation groups for the whole police service or detachment: incidents a year are its own, the town’s share is only estimated in the tiles. Cleared: incidents solved by a charge or otherwise, as a share of those reported.
Incidents per 1,000 residents a year, 2023–2025 means, against the typical figure for Canadian towns of 50,000 people or more.
Upper Thornhill Estates, year by year
Crime Severity Index
2023 opened the run as its heaviest year (54.6); 2025 was the lightest, at 50.3. Over 2023–2025, the typical Canadian town of 50,000+ moved from 64.3 to 59.2.
Every year as a table
| Year | Upper Thornhill Estates | Typical town of 50,000+ |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 50.3 | 59.2 |
| 2024 | 53.6 | 59.9 |
| 2023 | 54.6 | 64.3 |
Statistics Canada, Crime Severity Index by police service, each year as published. Typical: the median of Canadian towns of 50,000 people or more.
The Crime Severity Index of the police covering Upper Thornhill Estates, each year, against the typical Canadian town of 50,000+.
Crime in the places around Upper Thornhill Estates
| Town | People | Severity index | Violent index | Safety |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper Thornhill Estates | 10,435 | 52.8 | 67.4 | B+ |
| The Valleys of Thornhill | 9,979 | 52.8 | 67.4 | B+ |
| Hope | 6,997 | 52.8 | 67.4 | B+ |
| Carrville Corners | 13,004 | 52.8 | 67.4 | B+ |
| Richmond Hill | 222,031 | 52.8 | 67.4 | B+ |
| Thornhill Woods | 13,237 | 52.8 | 67.4 | B+ |
| Dufferin Hill | 7,910 | 52.8 | 67.4 | B+ |
6 neighbours are on the same police service or detachment: they share the figure and aren’t compared here.
Each place’s police figures, 2023–2025 means.
What this data can and can’t tell you
- What 100 means. Its scale starts from Canada in 2006, set at 100, so a figure above 100 means more serious crime per resident than the country had then.
- The clearance rate. Weighted like the index, so solving one assault counts for more than solving a mischief; a charge laid, recommended or otherwise resolved all count.
- Severity, weighed. Police-reported incidents, each multiplied by a weight drawn from court sentences, summed and divided by the population: that is the index, and its makers attach a caution, “The CSI is not an indicator of overall safety and should be interpreted in the broader community context.”
- Not the neighbourhood’s own. Its city publishes no open neighbourhood crime figures, so every figure for Upper Thornhill Estates is the city police’s, for the whole city.
Questions about safety in Upper Thornhill Estates
Is Upper Thornhill Estates safe?
On Statistics Canada’s figures, Upper Thornhill Estates scores 52.8 on the Crime Severity Index for 2023–2025, with 9.7 violent and 21.4 property incidents per 1,000 residents a year. In the middle of Canadian towns of 50,000 people or more the figure is 60.3.
What is the most common crime in Upper Thornhill Estates?
Theft under $5,000 is the most common, at 8.3 per 1,000 residents a year, then fraud (5.3) and assault (4.9).
Is crime going up in Upper Thornhill Estates?
Over 2023–2025 the index dropped 8%, to 50.3 from 54.6.
How much of Upper Thornhill Estates’s crime do police solve?
35%, by the weighted clearance rate, where the typical Canadian town of 50,000+ manages 38%. Violent crime is cleared at 53% and non-violent crime at 25%.
Whose figures are these?
The city police’s, as reported for the whole city.
Source: Statistics Canada, police-reported crime by police service and detachment, 2023–2025 (Statistics Canada Open Licence); TownRatings calculation.
Sources: Statistics Canada, Crime severity index and weighted clearance rates, police services (tables 35-10-0186 to 0190, 0061, 0063, 0064), 2023–2025 · Statistics Canada, Incident-based crime statistics by detailed violations, police services (35-10-0178 to 0185) · Safety Grade: TownRatings calculation. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).