Photo: Earth Science and Remote Sensing Unit , Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center · Public domainA flood study covers Kettle Point 44: 1 on the national inventory, the newest from St. Clair Region Conservation Authority
Fire seldom reaches Kettle Point 44: since 1986, 0.3% of the land within 25 km has burned (0.007% a year). Earthquakes matter little: NRCan’s model puts building losses at $0.014 a year per $1,000 of value, against $0.030 for the typical town. In Health Canada’s survey, 8.4% of homes tested in Kettle Point 44’s area exceeded 200 Bq/m³, close to the typical 6.6%. Hazard risk gives Kettle Point 44 a grade of B+; its wildfire band pulls it down.
What stands out about Kettle Point 44’s hazards
Four national sources, each read for Kettle Point 44: earthquakes, radon, past fires and flood studies.
What Kettle Point 44 faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Wildfire
Earthquakes
Radon
Flood study
Hazard risk in Kettle Point 44: B+
The grade weighs Kettle Point 44’s seismic risk and radon equally, and wildfire is one-sided: a high band counts against a town, a low one earns nothing.
How sure: Earthquake losses are a model’s expectation over many years, not a forecast for any one. Small fires and grass fires are largely missing from the national burned-area record.
Little of the land around Kettle Point 44 has burned: 0% within 5 km, 0.3% within 25 km since 1986
Past fire around Kettle Point 44’s homes, from the national burned-area record, with the fuel within 5 km.
The land within 25 km of Kettle Point 44 burns at 0.007% a year on average, the low band; the typical Canadian town: 0.000%.
Nothing inside 5 km of Kettle Point 44’s homes has burned since 1986, and the nearest scar is 13 km off.
Only 1.4% of the land within 25 km of Kettle Point 44 is forest fuel, and 2.1% close in.
Shares of land within 5 and 25 km of populated blocks: burned at least once in 1986–2025 (CWFIS burned-area composite), forest fuel and grass (fire behaviour fuel types, 2026, 250 m grid).
Burn rate a year, towns in Ontario · highest of 872
At 0.007% a year, Kettle Point 44 is near the top in Ontario: 32nd of 872, behind Sioux Lookout (0.16%).
Each bar: the yearly average share of land within 25 km of a town’s homes that burned, 1986–2025 (CWFIS); the seven highest towns of 2,500 people or more.
Beside 2,610 Canadian towns, Kettle Point 44 reads low, with 92% of them; only 7.5% rank higher.
Bands of the yearly burn rate: low under 0.05%, moderate under 0.25%, high under 1%, very high 1% or more; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Canadian Wildland Fire Information System: National Burned Area Composite 1986–2025 and fire behaviour fuel types (2026), Natural Resources Canada. Measured within 25 km and 5 km of each populated dissemination area; past fire, not a forecast.
Kettle Point 44 is on the flood map inventory: 1 study, by St. Clair Region Conservation Authority
What Canada’s Flood Map Inventory lists for Kettle Point 44: who studied flooding and where to see their maps.
A 2009 study by St. Clair Region Conservation Authority covers Kettle Point 44, and its map, not the inventory, shows the zones.
| Study | By | Year | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCRCA Floodplain Estimation Study for Ontario Regulation 171-06 | St. Clair Region Conservation Authority | 2009 | final · not public |
Towns with a flood study on file
Mapping in Ontario reaches 69% of towns, Kettle Point 44 included, beside 58% across Canada.
NRCan Canada Flood Map Inventory: a study footprint touching the town’s boundary; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Flood is shown here, never graded: a study says where a map exists, not how many of Kettle Point 44’s homes stand in a flood zone.
The inventory’s own caution (NRCan): “The Canada Flood Map (CFM) does not include every flood hazard map in Canada and may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. It should not be relied upon as the official source of flood mapping information. Furthermore, if a map appears to be missing, this does not necessarily mean that the area has never been mapped. For the official version of a map, updated information, or confirmation of applicable regulations, please contact the local authority responsible for flood mapping.”
Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory; links go to each study’s owner.
Low seismic risk in Kettle Point 44: $0.014 per $1,000 of buildings a year
Expected yearly building losses from earthquakes, from Natural Resources Canada’s model.
Kettle Point 44’s $0.014 is a fraction of the typical town’s $0.030 (0.5 times as much): quiet ground by Canadian standards.
Shaking damage a year per $1,000 of building value
Below the middle in Ontario: Kettle Point 44’s $0.014 against a median of $0.043; Alexandria has $0.21.
NRCan seismic risk model (2022): mean yearly building loss per $1,000 of value; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Most of Canada’s 2,611 towns (73%) face more earthquake damage than Kettle Point 44.
Each column: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more in that range of yearly loss per $1,000 (NRCan, 2022).
Roads, pipes and bridges aren’t in Kettle Point 44’s figure, nor landslides or tsunami: it is buildings and shaking.
Natural Resources Canada, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model (2022), by census subdivision (2016 boundaries; a few 2021 subdivisions take their residents’ mean).
Some radon around Kettle Point 44: 8.4% of area homes over the guideline
Long-term radon tests in homes across the survey area, against Health Canada’s guideline. · Area-wide: radon tests, counted over the Lambton Health Unit
Kettle Point 44’s area sits close to the typical Canadian town: 8.4% over the guideline, against 6.6%.
Tested homes over 200 Bq/m³
Over 600 Bq/m³
Kettle Point 44’s area, at 8.4%, is above the median in Ontario (4%), and 0.6% of its tests passed 600 Bq/m³.
Health Canada radon survey (2009–2011), by 2007 health region; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
26% of Canada’s 2,611 towns have more homes over 200 Bq/m³ than Kettle Point 44’s 5–10% band, which holds 37%.
Each bar: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more whose survey area had that share of tests over 200 Bq/m³.
The share describes the area, not a house: in Kettle Point 44 as anywhere, test to be sure.
Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes (2009–2011).
Weather and fire alerts for Kettle Point 44
Environment and Climate Change Canada issues the weather alerts for Kettle Point 44; Alert Ready carries the urgent ones to phones, radio and TV.
| Alert | What it means |
|---|---|
| Warning | Severe weather is happening or about to: act now. |
| Watch | Conditions favour severe weather: be ready. |
| Advisory | Weather that is less severe but could disrupt the day. |
| Special weather statement | Unusual weather worth knowing about. |
| Special air quality statement | Poor air, often wildfire smoke. |
In fire season, check CWFIS for danger and active fires around Kettle Point 44, and listen to local authorities for orders.
Weather alerts (ECCC) · Alert Ready · Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Hazards in the places around Kettle Point 44
Wildfire band, earthquake risk, radon and flood studies for each place nearby.
| Town | Wildfire | Quake $/1,000 | Radon | Flood study |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kettle Point 44 | Low | $0.014 | 8.4% | Yes |
| Forest 12,962 · 12 km | Low | $0.013 | 8.4% | Yes |
Among its neighbours Kettle Point 44 has the most fire on record (low); Forest follows (low).
Radon is the survey area’s figure, so neighbours in one area share it.
Get ready for what Kettle Point 44 faces
What to do about the hazards Kettle Point 44 faces, and what to ask before you buy.
- Test for three months in winter.
- Over 200 Bq/m³: fix it.
- Kits are cheap; pros test too.
- Never drive through floodwater.
- Move papers and medicines upstairs.
- Ask whether your street is mapped.
- Clear needles and wood nearby.
- Keep a grab-and-go bag ready.
- In smoke, stay in; filter air.
- Has it had a radon test?
- Check the address on the flood map.
- Are flood and wildfire insured?
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Flood studies aren’t flood zones. The flood inventory points to maps; it is incomplete and not the official source, so ask the municipality about any street in Kettle Point 44.
- Earthquakes are modelled. Shaking damage is modelled from the ground, the buildings and the odds of each quake, and published for whole subdivisions such as Kettle Point 44’s.
- Radon is a survey. Health Canada’s survey tested some 14,000 homes over three months; until postal-area boundaries are loaded, Kettle Point 44 takes its 2007 health region’s share.
- Wildfire counts one way. The wildfire figure is the share of land within 25 km of Kettle Point 44’s homes burned each year from 1986 to 2025, past fire rather than a forecast, and it can only lower Risk.
Questions about flooding and hazards in Kettle Point 44
Is radon a problem in Kettle Point 44?
In Health Canada’s survey, 8.4% of 178 homes tested in Kettle Point 44’s area were above 200 Bq/m³, though only a test tells you about one house.
Does Kettle Point 44 flood?
The inventory lists a study touching Kettle Point 44; whether a given street floods is on that map, not in the grade.
Is Kettle Point 44 at risk of wildfire?
Less than most of Canada: 0.3% of the land within 25 km of Kettle Point 44 has burned since 1986, the last in 2006, a low band that leaves Risk alone.
How is Kettle Point 44’s Hazard risk Grade worked out?
Kettle Point 44’s Hazard risk grade is B+, built on earthquakes and radon with a one-sided wildfire input.
How big is the earthquake risk in Kettle Point 44?
In NRCan’s seismic model, Kettle Point 44’s buildings lose $0.014 per $1,000 of value in an average year.
Seismic risk: Natural Resources Canada. Radon: Health Canada. Wildfire: Canadian Wildland Fire Information System. Flood studies: Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.
Sources: NRCan, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model 2022 · Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes · CWFIS, National Burned Area Composite and FBP fuel types · NRCan, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).