A flood study covers Vincent: 1 on the national inventory, the newest from Hamilton Conservation Authority
The national fire record shows next to nothing around Vincent, 0% of the land within 25 km since 1986 (0.000% a year). Earthquake risk in Vincent is ordinary: NRCan’s model puts building losses at $0.044 a year per $1,000 of value, close to the typical town’s $0.030. Radon around Vincent is ordinary for Canada: 5% of tested homes over the guideline (6.6% typical). Hazard risk gives Vincent a grade of B+, from earthquakes and radon alone.
What stands out about Vincent’s hazards
For Vincent, from NRCan’s seismic model, Health Canada’s radon survey, the national burned-area record and the flood map inventory.
What Vincent faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Wildfire
Earthquakes
Radon
Flood study
Vincent grades B+ for hazard risk
Seismic risk and radon set Vincent’s grade, wildfire can drag it down, and flood mapping stays out of it.
Its place: #494 of 866 in Ontario and #1,255 of 2,589 Canadian towns.
How sure: Earthquake losses are a model’s expectation over many years, not a forecast for any one. The burned-area record misses fires under about 10 ha and most grass and farm fires.
Few fires near Vincent: 0% within 5 km, 0% within 25 km
Past fire around Vincent’s homes, from the national burned-area record, with the fuel within 5 km.
The land within 25 km of Vincent burns at 0.000% a year on average, the low band; the typical Canadian town: 0.000%.
Around Vincent the forest is thin or far off: 0.2% of the land within 5 km and 0.7% within 25 km is forest fuel.
Shares of land within 5 and 25 km of populated blocks: burned at least once in 1986–2025 (CWFIS burned-area composite), forest fuel and grass (fire behaviour fuel types, 2026, 250 m grid).
Burn rate a year, towns in Ontario · highest of 871
Of the 871 towns in Ontario, 638 have a burn rate that rounds to zero, Vincent among them; Sioux Lookout leads at 0.16% a year.
Each bar: the yearly average share of land within 25 km of a town’s homes that burned, 1986–2025 (CWFIS); the seven highest towns of 2,500 people or more.
92% of Canada’s 2,610 towns are in the low band and 7.5% above it; Vincent is among the many where the yearly burn rate rounds to zero.
Bands of the yearly burn rate: low under 0.05%, moderate under 0.25%, high under 1%, very high 1% or more; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Canadian Wildland Fire Information System: National Burned Area Composite 1986–2025 and fire behaviour fuel types (2026), Natural Resources Canada. Measured within 25 km and 5 km of each populated dissemination area; past fire, not a forecast.
Hamilton Conservation Authority has mapped flooding for Vincent (1 study)
What Canada’s Flood Map Inventory lists for Vincent: who studied flooding and where to see their maps.
A 2025 study by Hamilton Conservation Authority covers Vincent, and its map, not the inventory, shows the zones.
| Study | By | Year | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Hill Creek | Hamilton Conservation Authority | 2025 | final |
Towns with a flood study on file
Its flood study puts Vincent with 69% of towns in Ontario; Canada’s share is 58%.
NRCan Canada Flood Map Inventory: a study footprint touching the town’s boundary; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Nothing here counts toward Risk; the studies are pointers to the maps their owners keep for Vincent.
The inventory’s own caution (NRCan): “The Canada Flood Map (CFM) does not include every flood hazard map in Canada and may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. It should not be relied upon as the official source of flood mapping information. Furthermore, if a map appears to be missing, this does not necessarily mean that the area has never been mapped. For the official version of a map, updated information, or confirmation of applicable regulations, please contact the local authority responsible for flood mapping.”
Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory; links go to each study’s owner.
Expected shaking damage in Vincent: $0.044 a year per $1,000
Expected yearly building losses from earthquakes, from Natural Resources Canada’s model.
Nothing unusual about Vincent’s ground: $0.044 against a typical $0.030, 1.5 times.
Nobody publishes earthquake risk for Vincent alone, so this card uses the figure for the city of Hamilton.
Shaking damage a year per $1,000 of building value
Earthquake risk around Vincent ($0.044) matches the middle in Ontario ($0.043), far from Alexandria’s $0.21.
NRCan seismic risk model (2022): mean yearly building loss per $1,000 of value; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
32% of Canada’s 2,611 towns expect more shaking damage than Vincent, which places it in the upper third.
Each column: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more in that range of yearly loss per $1,000 (NRCan, 2022).
Only shaking damage to buildings in Vincent is counted; landslides, liquefaction, tsunami and fire after a quake aren’t.
Natural Resources Canada, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model (2022), by census subdivision (2016 boundaries; a few 2021 subdivisions take their residents’ mean).
Some radon around Vincent: 5% of area homes over the guideline
Long-term radon tests in homes across the survey area, against Health Canada’s guideline.
At 5% over the guideline, the area around Vincent is about level with the typical Canadian town’s 6.6%. For radon tests, the only official count covers all of the City of Hamilton Health Unit, Vincent included.
Tested homes over 200 Bq/m³
Over 600 Bq/m³
More homes top the guideline around Vincent (5%) than in the typical town in Ontario (4%).
Health Canada radon survey (2009–2011), by 2007 health region; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
37% of Canada’s 2,611 towns share Vincent’s band of 5 to 10%; 26% sit higher.
Each bar: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more whose survey area had that share of tests over 200 Bq/m³.
Whatever Vincent’s area share, the reading that matters is your own home’s, over a winter.
Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes (2009–2011).
Where to get warnings in Vincent
Environment and Climate Change Canada issues the weather alerts for Vincent; Alert Ready carries the urgent ones to phones, radio and TV.
| Alert | What it means |
|---|---|
| Warning | Severe weather is happening or about to: act now. |
| Watch | Conditions favour severe weather: be ready. |
| Advisory | Weather that is less severe but could disrupt the day. |
| Special weather statement | Unusual weather worth knowing about. |
| Special air quality statement | Poor air, often wildfire smoke. |
In fire season, check CWFIS for danger and active fires around Vincent, and listen to local authorities for orders.
Weather alerts (ECCC) · Alert Ready · Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Hazards in the places around Vincent
Wildfire band, earthquake risk, radon and flood studies for each place nearby.
| Town | Wildfire | Quake $/1,000 | Radon | Flood study |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent | Low | $0.044 | 5% | Yes |
| Red Hill 4,540 · 1.1 km | Low | $0.044 | 5% | Yes |
| Corman 6,566 · 1.4 km | Low | $0.044 | 5% | Yes |
| Albion 4,585 · 1.5 km | Low | $0.044 | 5% | Yes |
| Battlefield 6,531 · 1.7 km | Low | $0.044 | 5% | Yes |
| Glenview West 3,431 · 2.4 km | Low | $0.044 | 5% | Yes |
| Rosedale 3,070 · 2.4 km | Low | $0.044 | 5% | Yes |
Red Hill (low) has the heaviest fire record of Vincent’s neighbours, and Vincent (low) matches or beats it.
Radon is the survey area’s figure, so neighbours in one area share it.
Get ready for what Vincent faces
Practical steps for Vincent’s hazards, most pressing first.
- Test for three months in winter.
- Over 200 Bq/m³: fix it.
- Kits are cheap; pros test too.
- Never drive through floodwater.
- Move papers and medicines upstairs.
- Ask whether your street is mapped.
- Clear needles and wood nearby.
- Keep a grab-and-go bag ready.
- In smoke, stay in; filter air.
- Has it had a radon test?
- Check the address on the flood map.
- Are flood and wildfire insured?
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Wildfire counts one way. For Vincent, wildfire means how much nearby land burned in the past forty years, a one-way input that can pull Risk down and nothing more.
- Flood studies aren’t flood zones. NRCan’s inventory says where flood mapping exists, not where water goes; the map’s owner is the authority for Vincent.
- Radon is a survey. About 14,000 homes were tested across Canada in 2009–2011, and the share over the guideline for Vincent is its health region’s, the survey’s design unit.
- Earthquakes are modelled. Seismic risk is NRCan’s model of yearly building losses from shaking, averaged over many years and given for Vincent’s census subdivision (a neighbourhood shows its city’s).
Questions about flooding and hazards in Vincent
Does Vincent flood?
There is flood mapping for Vincent on the national inventory, each study linked to its owner’s map, none of them graded.
How is Vincent’s Hazard risk Grade worked out?
Vincent grades B+ for hazard risk, from earthquakes and radon, with wildfire counted only where it lowers the grade.
Is radon a problem in Vincent?
5% of the 100 homes Health Canada tested around Vincent topped the guideline; your own house needs its own test.
How big is the earthquake risk in Vincent?
In NRCan’s seismic model, Vincent’s buildings lose $0.044 per $1,000 of value in an average year.
Is Vincent at risk of wildfire?
The burned-area record shows next to nothing around Vincent (0% within 25 km since 1986), so its band is low.
Seismic risk: Natural Resources Canada. Radon: Health Canada. Wildfire: Canadian Wildland Fire Information System. Flood studies: Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.
Sources: NRCan, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model 2022 · Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes · CWFIS, National Burned Area Composite and FBP fuel types · NRCan, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).