Photo: Dan MacNeal · CC BY 4.0Grand Valley sees less crime per resident than 98% of Canadian towns
Measured on crime the police covering Grand Valley reported between 2023 and 2025, it earns a Safety Grade of A+: #49 of 862 in Ontario. Police cleared 27% of incidents, weighted by seriousness, against 34% for the typical Canadian town its size. Annual rates stand at 4.4 violent incidents and 11.9 incidents of property crime for every thousand residents, next to 12.9 and 31.2 in the typical town its size. Split in two, the index gives 20.7 for violence and 28.9 for everything else (normally 85.7 and 62.8).
Statistics Canada, police-reported crime, 2023–2025 means. The index weighs each crime by its seriousness; rates are incidents per 1,000 residents a year.
What stands out about safety in Grand Valley
Below Ontario’s typical town
Grand Valley’s index of 26.4 compares with 56.2 for the typical town in Ontario. Towns its size ↓
A lower index than most towns its size
Of the 40 Canadian towns nearest it in size, Grand Valley places 1st from the lowest index. Towns its size ↓
Non-violent crime leads the index
Violent crime scores 20.7 on Grand Valley’s index against 85.7 for the typical Canadian town its size; non-violent crime, 28.9 against 62.8. By type ↓
Written from Statistics Canada’s police-reported crime by police service and detachment, 2023–2025. Figures are what police recorded, not convictions.
Grand Valley: A+ for safety, and why
The grade weighs the Crime Severity Index and its violent half, averaged over 2023–2025, against every Canadian town and city neighbourhood of 1,000 people or more.
Its place: #49 of 862 in Ontario and #54 of 2,572 Canadian towns.
The Crime Severity Index and its two halves, beside the typical figure for Canadian towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people.
Which crimes make up Grand Valley’s figures
Mischief and theft under $5,000 sit below it.
Every Statistics Canada violation line
| Violation | Incidents a year | Per 1,000 | Cleared |
|---|---|---|---|
| Homicide | 0 | 0 | — |
| Sexual violations against children | 0.3 | 0.07 | — |
| Assaults against a peace officer | 0.7 | 0.1 | — |
| Firearms: use, discharge, pointing | 0.7 | 0.1 | — |
| Robbery | 0 | 0 | — |
| Forcible confinement or kidnapping | 0 | 0 | — |
| Other violent violations | 0.3 | 0.07 | — |
| Breaking and entering | 9.3 | 2 | 8% |
| Possession of stolen property | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| Theft of a motor vehicle | 2.7 | 0.6 | — |
| Theft over $5,000 | 4.3 | 0.9 | — |
| Theft under $5,000 | 13 | 2.8 | 8% |
| Mischief | 6 | 1.3 | 12% |
| Weapons violations | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| Administration of justice violations | 3.7 | 0.8 | — |
| Other Criminal Code violations | 0 | 0 | — |
| Drug violations | 0 | 0 | — |
| Impaired driving | 3.3 | 0.7 | — |
| Failing to stop or remain | 0 | 0 | — |
Statistics Canada’s violation groups for the whole police service or detachment, incidents a year its own. Cleared: incidents solved by a charge or otherwise, as a share of those reported.
Incidents per 1,000 residents a year, 2023–2025 means, against the typical figure for Canadian towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people.
Grand Valley comes 1st of the 40 towns nearest in size
| # | Town | People | Severity index | Violent index | Safety |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grand Valley Ontario | 4,759 | 26.4 | 20.7 | A+ |
| 2 | Amaranth Ontario | 4,808 | 29.9 | 22.1 | A+ |
| 3 | Dutton Ontario | 4,686 | 31.5 | 41.2 | A |
| 4 | Raymond Alberta | 4,594 | 36.6 | 46.2 | A |
| … | |||||
| 11 | Marmora Ontario | 4,761 | 46.8 | 68 | B+ |
| … | |||||
| 19 | Hastings Highlands Ontario | 4,957 | 55.2 | 59.6 | B |
| … | |||||
| 40 | Battleford Saskatchewan | 4,657 | 349.1 | 479.8 | D− |
The 40 Canadian towns of 2,500+ people closest in population; city neighbourhoods, city totals and reserves are left out. Towns on one police service or detachment share its index.
The Canadian towns closest to Grand Valley in population, the lowest Crime Severity Index first (2023–2025 means).
Police in Grand Valley recorded about 20 violent incidents a year, 2023–2025
Violent incidents per 1,000 a year, 2023–2025
Property crimes per 1,000 a year, 2023–2025
Statistics Canada counts actual incidents; those police record as unfounded are listed apart and kept out of its crime rates and severity index. Each incident is filed under its most serious violation, which the survey sets partly by the maximum penalty.
And about 55 property crimes, plus 9 other violations, a year (2023–2025 average). Each dot is one resident; each coloured dot, one incident a year at the area’s rates.
The index in Grand Valley, each year
Crime Severity Index
Nothing since 2023 has matched that year’s 28.9; the lightest was 2025, at 22.7. For the typical Canadian town its size, 2023 gave 74.3 and 2025 gave 64.2.
Every year as a table
| Year | Grand Valley | Typical town its size |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22.7 | 64.2 |
| 2024 | 27.6 | 68.8 |
| 2023 | 28.9 | 74.3 |
Statistics Canada, Crime Severity Index by police service, each year as published. Typical: the median of Canadian towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people.
The Crime Severity Index of the police covering Grand Valley, each year, against the typical Canadian town its size.
Crime in the places around Grand Valley
| Town | People | Severity index | Violent index | Safety |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Valley | 4,759 | 26.4 | 20.7 | A+ |
| East Garafraxa | 2,976 | 28.7 | 22 | A+ |
| Amaranth | 4,808 | 29.9 | 22.1 | A+ |
| Orangeville | 33,070 | 43.5 | 50.6 | A− |
The places around Grand Valley all score higher on the index.
Each place’s police figures, 2023–2025 means.
What this data can and can’t tell you
- An index, not a verdict. Statistics Canada builds the index from every crime police record, weighted by how seriously the courts treat it, and divides by the population. It adds a warning of its own: “The CSI is not an indicator of overall safety and should be interpreted in the broader community context.”
- Few people behind the figures. With roughly 4,759 residents in its police area, a few cases swing the figures. In Statistics Canada’s words, “Data for police services or detachments with populations less than 5,000 should be used with caution.”
- The index’s scale. A reading of 100 is the whole country in 2006. Half of that, 50, means half the severity per resident.
- What clearance means. The clearance rate is the share of incidents police solve, by a charge or otherwise, weighted by seriousness like the index. It isn’t a conviction rate.
Questions about safety in Grand Valley
Is Grand Valley safe?
Police-reported crime in Grand Valley scores 26.4 on Statistics Canada’s Crime Severity Index (2023–2025 mean), with 4.4 violent incidents and 11.9 property crimes per 1,000 residents a year. The middle of Canadian towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people is 68.5.
What is the most common crime in Grand Valley?
Most often it is fraud: 3.8 per 1,000 residents a year. Next come theft under $5,000 at 2.8 and break and enter at 2.
Is crime going up in Grand Valley?
Over 2023–2025 the index dropped 21%, to 22.7 from 28.9. With few people or missing years behind it, the change is a rough one.
How much of Grand Valley’s crime do police solve?
Police cleared 27% of crime once each incident is weighted by seriousness: 78% of violent crime and 11% of the rest, against 34% for the typical Canadian town its size.
Whose figures are these?
A police service or contract that serves Grand Valley alone, so the figures are the town’s.
Source: Statistics Canada, police-reported crime by police service and detachment, 2023–2025 (Statistics Canada Open Licence); TownRatings calculation.
Sources: Statistics Canada, Crime severity index and weighted clearance rates, police services (tables 35-10-0186 to 0190, 0061, 0063, 0064), 2023–2025 · Statistics Canada, Incident-based crime statistics by detailed violations, police services (35-10-0178 to 0185) · Safety Grade: TownRatings calculation. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).