Photo: Jimj wpg · CC BY-SA 4.0Tuxedo’s hazards at a glance: a low wildfire record and 12% of area homes over the radon guideline
No wildfire is mapped within 25 km of Tuxedo’s homes since 1986 (0% of the land, 0.000% a year). Seismic risk runs low: $0.006 of expected damage per $1,000 of buildings a year, the typical town $0.030. Tuxedo grades B+ for hazard risk; wildfire is low here, so it earns no credit.
What stands out about Tuxedo’s hazards
For Tuxedo, from NRCan’s seismic model, Health Canada’s radon survey, the national burned-area record and the flood map inventory.
What Tuxedo faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Wildfire
Earthquakes
Radon
Flood study
Hazard risk in Tuxedo: B+
Earthquake risk and radon make Tuxedo’s grade; wildfire can only lower it, never raise it, and flood studies are listed but not scored.
Its place: #10 of 185 in Manitoba and #940 of 2,589 Canadian towns.
How sure: Earthquake losses are a model’s expectation over many years, not a forecast for any one. Only 66 homes were tested in the survey area, so the radon share is rough. The burned-area record misses fires under about 10 ha and most grass and farm fires.
Wildfire is rare near Tuxedo: 0% of the land within 25 km burned since 1986, 0% within 5 km
Past fire around Tuxedo’s homes, from the national burned-area record, with the fuel within 5 km.
At 0.000% of the land a year, Tuxedo’s burn rate is in the low band; the typical Canadian town sees 0.000%.
Around Tuxedo the forest is thin or far off: 0% of the land within 5 km and 0% within 25 km is forest fuel.
Shares of land within 5 and 25 km of populated blocks: burned at least once in 1986–2025 (CWFIS burned-area composite), forest fuel and grass (fire behaviour fuel types, 2026, 250 m grid).
Burn rate a year, towns in Manitoba · highest of 189
Flin Flon (Part) has the highest burn rate in Manitoba, 1.68% a year; around Tuxedo, as around 60 of the 189 towns, it rounds to zero.
Each bar: the yearly average share of land within 25 km of a town’s homes that burned, 1986–2025 (CWFIS); the seven highest towns of 2,500 people or more.
Measured against 2,610 towns, Tuxedo is in the largest group, low (92%), and at its floor, while 7.5% rank higher.
Bands of the yearly burn rate: low under 0.05%, moderate under 0.25%, high under 1%, very high 1% or more; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Canadian Wildland Fire Information System: National Burned Area Composite 1986–2025 and fire behaviour fuel types (2026), Natural Resources Canada. Measured within 25 km and 5 km of each populated dissemination area; past fire, not a forecast.
No flood study is listed for Tuxedo
What Canada’s Flood Map Inventory lists for Tuxedo: who studied flooding and where to see their maps.
There is no study for Tuxedo on the national flood inventory, which is far from complete.
Towns with a flood study on file
Mapping in Manitoba reaches 18% of towns, below the 58% across Canada, and not Tuxedo.
NRCan Canada Flood Map Inventory: a study footprint touching the town’s boundary; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Flood studies don’t enter the grade; they are listed so you can open the official map for Tuxedo.
The inventory’s own caution (NRCan): “The Canada Flood Map (CFM) does not include every flood hazard map in Canada and may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. It should not be relied upon as the official source of flood mapping information. Furthermore, if a map appears to be missing, this does not necessarily mean that the area has never been mapped. For the official version of a map, updated information, or confirmation of applicable regulations, please contact the local authority responsible for flood mapping.”
Low seismic risk in Tuxedo: $0.006 per $1,000 of buildings a year
Expected yearly building losses from earthquakes, from Natural Resources Canada’s model.
At $0.006 per $1,000, Tuxedo carries 0.2 times the typical Canadian town’s earthquake risk ($0.030): low.
Tuxedo shares its earthquake risk numbers with the rest of the city of Winnipeg.
Shaking damage a year per $1,000 of building value
Neither high nor low in Manitoba: Tuxedo’s $0.006 sits by the median of $0.006, while Virden reaches $0.007.
NRCan seismic risk model (2022): mean yearly building loss per $1,000 of value; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Toward the quiet end of Canada’s range: 88% of its 2,611 towns sit above Tuxedo.
Each column: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more in that range of yearly loss per $1,000 (NRCan, 2022).
Only shaking damage to buildings in Tuxedo is counted; landslides, liquefaction, tsunami and fire after a quake aren’t.
Natural Resources Canada, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model (2022), by census subdivision (2016 boundaries; a few 2021 subdivisions take their residents’ mean).
Radon runs high around Tuxedo: 12% of tested homes over the guideline
Long-term radon tests in homes across the survey area, against Health Canada’s guideline.
Radon runs above the typical Canadian town (6.6%) in Tuxedo’s area, at 12%.
Tested homes over 200 Bq/m³
Over 600 Bq/m³
Around Tuxedo, 12% of tests topped the guideline, about the same as the typical town in Manitoba (12%).
Health Canada radon survey (2009–2011), by 2007 health region; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
4.6% of Canada’s 2,611 towns have a higher share of homes over 200 Bq/m³ than Tuxedo, in the 10–20% band with 22%.
Each bar: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more whose survey area had that share of tests over 200 Bq/m³.
Health Canada advises testing every home, Tuxedo’s included, whatever the area’s figure.
Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes (2009–2011). · Data for radon tests covers the Winnipeg health region
Where to get warnings in Tuxedo
Alerts for Tuxedo come from Environment and Climate Change Canada and, for emergencies, Alert Ready.
| Alert | What it means |
|---|---|
| Warning | Severe weather is happening or about to: act now. |
| Watch | Conditions favour severe weather: be ready. |
| Advisory | Weather that is less severe but could disrupt the day. |
| Special weather statement | Unusual weather worth knowing about. |
| Special air quality statement | Poor air, often wildfire smoke. |
Alert Ready carries evacuation orders for Tuxedo to phones; CWFIS shows the day’s fire danger.
Weather alerts (ECCC) · Alert Ready · Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Hazards in the places around Tuxedo
Wildfire band, earthquake risk, radon and flood studies for each place nearby.
| Town | Wildfire | Quake $/1,000 | Radon | Flood study |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuxedo | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Mathers 2,785 · 1.1 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Old Tuxedo 6,812 · 1.1 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| South Tuxedo 3,629 · 1.3 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Central River Heights 2,736 · 1.7 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| South River Heights 2,632 · 2.0 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| North River Heights 7,228 · 2.2 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
North River Heights burns a little more than Tuxedo, in the same low band (low here).
Radon is the survey area’s figure, so neighbours in one area share it.
Get ready for what Tuxedo faces
Practical steps for Tuxedo’s hazards, most pressing first.
- Test for three months in winter.
- Over 200 Bq/m³: fix it.
- Kits are cheap; pros test too.
- Never drive through floodwater.
- Move papers and medicines upstairs.
- Ask whether your street is mapped.
- Clear needles and wood nearby.
- Keep a grab-and-go bag ready.
- In smoke, stay in; filter air.
- Has it had a radon test?
- Ask the municipality for flood maps.
- Are flood and wildfire insured?
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Flood studies aren’t flood zones. NRCan’s inventory says where flood mapping exists, not where water goes; the map’s owner is the authority for Tuxedo.
- Earthquakes are modelled. Seismic risk is NRCan’s model of yearly building losses from shaking, averaged over many years and given for Tuxedo’s census subdivision (a neighbourhood shows its city’s).
- Radon is a survey. About 14,000 homes were tested across Canada in 2009–2011, and the share over the guideline for Tuxedo is its health region’s, the survey’s design unit.
- Wildfire counts one way. For Tuxedo, wildfire means how much nearby land burned in the past forty years, a one-way input that can pull Risk down and nothing more.
Questions about flooding and hazards in Tuxedo
Is Tuxedo at risk of wildfire?
No meaningful wildfire history near Tuxedo: 0% of nearby land since 1986, band low.
How is Tuxedo’s Hazard risk Grade worked out?
Tuxedo’s Hazard risk grade is B+, built on earthquakes and radon with a one-sided wildfire input.
How big is the earthquake risk in Tuxedo?
In NRCan’s seismic model, Tuxedo’s buildings lose $0.006 per $1,000 of value in an average year.
Is radon a problem in Tuxedo?
12% of the 66 homes Health Canada tested around Tuxedo topped the guideline; your own house needs its own test.
Does Tuxedo flood?
No study on Canada’s Flood Map Inventory covers Tuxedo (0), which doesn’t mean it has never been mapped, so ask the municipality.
Seismic risk: Natural Resources Canada. Radon: Health Canada. Wildfire: Canadian Wildland Fire Information System. Flood studies: Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.
Sources: NRCan, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model 2022 · Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes · CWFIS, National Burned Area Composite and FBP fuel types · NRCan, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).