Talbot-Grey’s hazards at a glance: a low wildfire record and 12% of area homes over the radon guideline
No wildfire is mapped within 25 km of Talbot-Grey’s homes since 1986 (0% of the land, 0.001% a year). Seismic risk runs low: $0.006 of expected damage per $1,000 of buildings a year, the typical town $0.030. Talbot-Grey grades B+ for hazard risk, with wildfire counted against it.
What stands out about Talbot-Grey’s hazards
For Talbot-Grey, from NRCan’s seismic model, Health Canada’s radon survey, the national burned-area record and the flood map inventory.
What Talbot-Grey faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Wildfire
Earthquakes
Radon
Flood study
Talbot-Grey grades B+ for hazard risk
The grade weighs Talbot-Grey’s seismic risk and radon equally, and wildfire is one-sided: a high band counts against a town, a low one earns nothing.
Its place: #10 of 185 in Manitoba and #940 of 2,589 Canadian towns.
How sure: Earthquake losses are a model’s expectation over many years, not a forecast for any one. The radon share rests on 66 home tests in the survey area, so a few homes move it. The burned-area record misses fires under about 10 ha and most grass and farm fires.
Few fires near Talbot-Grey: 0% within 5 km, 0% within 25 km
Fires mapped since 1986 around where Talbot-Grey’s residents live, and the fuel next to their homes.
Low by Canadian standards: 0.001% of the land a year around Talbot-Grey, 0.000% for the typical Canadian town.
No fire has burned within 5 km of Talbot-Grey’s homes since 1986; the nearest burn is 17 km away.
Land that isn’t forest covers nearly all the ground around Talbot-Grey: forest fuel is 0% within 5 km and 0.1% within 25 km.
Shares of land within 5 and 25 km of populated blocks: burned at least once in 1986–2025 (CWFIS burned-area composite), forest fuel and grass (fire behaviour fuel types, 2026, 250 m grid).
Burn rate a year, towns in Manitoba · highest of 189
Talbot-Grey ranks 31st of the 189 towns in Manitoba for burn rate, at 0.001% a year; Flin Flon (Part) leads with 1.68%.
Each bar: the yearly average share of land within 25 km of a town’s homes that burned, 1986–2025 (CWFIS); the seven highest towns of 2,500 people or more.
7.5% of Canada’s 2,610 towns burn fast enough to rank moderate or above; Talbot-Grey stays low, with 92%.
Bands of the yearly burn rate: low under 0.05%, moderate under 0.25%, high under 1%, very high 1% or more; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Canadian Wildland Fire Information System: National Burned Area Composite 1986–2025 and fire behaviour fuel types (2026), Natural Resources Canada. Measured within 25 km and 5 km of each populated dissemination area; past fire, not a forecast.
No flood study is listed for Talbot-Grey
Flood studies whose area touches Talbot-Grey, from NRCan’s inventory, each linked to its owner.
Canada’s Flood Map Inventory lists no study whose area touches Talbot-Grey, which doesn’t mean it has never been mapped.
Towns with a flood study on file
Flood maps are thinner in Manitoba, 18% of towns against 58% nationally, and Talbot-Grey has none.
NRCan Canada Flood Map Inventory: a study footprint touching the town’s boundary; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Nothing here counts toward Risk; the studies are pointers to the maps their owners keep for Talbot-Grey.
The inventory’s own caution (NRCan): “The Canada Flood Map (CFM) does not include every flood hazard map in Canada and may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. It should not be relied upon as the official source of flood mapping information. Furthermore, if a map appears to be missing, this does not necessarily mean that the area has never been mapped. For the official version of a map, updated information, or confirmation of applicable regulations, please contact the local authority responsible for flood mapping.”
Little shaking expected in Talbot-Grey: $0.006 a year per $1,000
NRCan’s seismic risk model: the damage shaking is expected to do to buildings each year, on average over many years.
Talbot-Grey’s $0.006 is a fraction of the typical town’s $0.030 (0.2 times as much): quiet ground by Canadian standards.
For earthquake risk, the only official count covers all of the city of Winnipeg, Talbot-Grey included.
Shaking damage a year per $1,000 of building value
Shaking damage around Talbot-Grey runs at $0.006 a year, near the $0.006 of the typical town in Manitoba; Virden has $0.007.
NRCan seismic risk model (2022): mean yearly building loss per $1,000 of value; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Earthquakes cost less around Talbot-Grey than in 88% of Canada’s 2,611 towns.
Each column: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more in that range of yearly loss per $1,000 (NRCan, 2022).
For Talbot-Grey the model prices shaking damage to buildings, nothing more.
Natural Resources Canada, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model (2022), by census subdivision (2016 boundaries; a few 2021 subdivisions take their residents’ mean).
12% of homes tested around Talbot-Grey are over the radon guideline
Health Canada’s survey of long-term home tests: the share above the 200 Bq/m³ guideline.
At 12% over the guideline, the area around Talbot-Grey beats the typical Canadian town’s 6.6%.
Tested homes over 200 Bq/m³
Over 600 Bq/m³
Talbot-Grey’s area, at 12%, is close to the median in Manitoba (12%).
Health Canada radon survey (2009–2011), by 2007 health region; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
One test in ten or more tops the guideline around Talbot-Grey, as in 22% of Canada’s 2,611 towns; 4.6% go higher.
Each bar: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more whose survey area had that share of tests over 200 Bq/m³.
Radon varies from house to house in Talbot-Grey, so the survey is a reason to test, not a result for yours.
Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes (2009–2011). · Radon tests: one figure for all of the Winnipeg health region
Where to get warnings in Talbot-Grey
Environment and Climate Change Canada issues the weather alerts for Talbot-Grey; Alert Ready carries the urgent ones to phones, radio and TV.
| Alert | What it means |
|---|---|
| Warning | Severe weather is happening or about to: act now. |
| Watch | Conditions favour severe weather: be ready. |
| Advisory | Weather that is less severe but could disrupt the day. |
| Special weather statement | Unusual weather worth knowing about. |
| Special air quality statement | Poor air, often wildfire smoke. |
In fire season, check CWFIS for danger and active fires around Talbot-Grey, and listen to local authorities for orders.
Weather alerts (ECCC) · Alert Ready · Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Hazards in the places around Talbot-Grey
The same four hazards for the places next door.
| Town | Wildfire | Quake $/1,000 | Radon | Flood study |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talbot-Grey | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| East Elmwood 3,611 · 1.2 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Chalmers 12,384 · 1.2 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Munroe East 8,873 · 1.6 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Munroe West 2,532 · 1.8 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| North St. Boniface 3,358 · 2.3 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Rossmere-B 4,732 · 2.4 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
Nowhere around Talbot-Grey burns more: East Elmwood, the closest rival, is low to its low.
Radon is the survey area’s figure, so neighbours in one area share it.
Get ready for what Talbot-Grey faces
What to do about the hazards Talbot-Grey faces, and what to ask before you buy.
- Test for three months in winter.
- Over 200 Bq/m³: fix it.
- Kits are cheap; pros test too.
- Never drive through floodwater.
- Move papers and medicines upstairs.
- Ask whether your street is mapped.
- Clear needles and wood nearby.
- Keep a grab-and-go bag ready.
- In smoke, stay in; filter air.
- Has it had a radon test?
- Ask the municipality for flood maps.
- Are flood and wildfire insured?
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Wildfire counts one way. For Talbot-Grey, wildfire means how much nearby land burned in the past forty years, a one-way input that can pull Risk down and nothing more.
- Earthquakes are modelled. Seismic risk is NRCan’s model of yearly building losses from shaking, averaged over many years and given for Talbot-Grey’s census subdivision (a neighbourhood shows its city’s).
- Flood studies aren’t flood zones. NRCan’s inventory says where flood mapping exists, not where water goes; the map’s owner is the authority for Talbot-Grey.
- Radon is a survey. About 14,000 homes were tested across Canada in 2009–2011, and the share over the guideline for Talbot-Grey is its health region’s, the survey’s design unit.
Questions about flooding and hazards in Talbot-Grey
Does Talbot-Grey flood?
Nothing is listed for Talbot-Grey on the national inventory (0); local maps may still exist with the municipality.
Is Talbot-Grey at risk of wildfire?
Less than most of Canada: 0% of the land within 25 km of Talbot-Grey has burned since 1986, the last in 2012, a low band that leaves Risk alone.
Is radon a problem in Talbot-Grey?
In Health Canada’s survey, 12% of 66 homes tested in Talbot-Grey’s area were above 200 Bq/m³, though only a test tells you about one house.
How big is the earthquake risk in Talbot-Grey?
About $0.006 a year per $1,000 of building value, NRCan’s long-run expectation for Talbot-Grey.
How is Talbot-Grey’s Hazard risk Grade worked out?
Talbot-Grey grades B+ for hazard risk, from earthquakes and radon, with wildfire counted only where it lowers the grade.
Seismic risk: Natural Resources Canada. Radon: Health Canada. Wildfire: Canadian Wildland Fire Information System. Flood studies: Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.
Sources: NRCan, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model 2022 · Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes · CWFIS, National Burned Area Composite and FBP fuel types · NRCan, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).